Result
3:2
08/03/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 25
- Referee: Verissimo F. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 3', 1 - 0, Batista D. ⚽, Olamilekan Fatai S. (A),
- 4', Maga 🟨,
- 12', 1 - 1, Ageu E. ⚽,
- 19', Shinga K. 🟨,
- 37', Gustavo Fernandes 🟨,
- 42', 2 - 1, Maga ⚽,
- 45+2', 2 - 2, Joao Marcos ⚽, Ageu E. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Andrezinho ↓, Mendonca I. ↑,
- 62', Shinga K. ↓, Thauan Lara ↑,
- 64', Reko 🟨,
- 65', Batista D. ↓, Suker H. ↑,
- 67', Thauan Lara 🟨,
- 73', Joao Bravim 🟨,
- 73', Brenner ↓, Reinaldo ↑,
- 75', Gustavo Fernandes ↓, Ze Leite ↑,
- 79', 3 - 2, Reko ⚽, Rodrigues T. (A),
- 84', Rodrigues T. ↓, Ewerton ↑,
- 84', Silva A. ↓, Brito D. ↑,
- 84', Olamilekan Fatai S. ↓, Pereira B. ↑,
- 85', Dias R. ↓, Pedro Bicalho ↑,
- 85', Varela F. ↓, Bukia A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Penafiel
28.1% | Draw
29.2% | Alverca
42.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Alverca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Penafiel - Alverca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.31 ↑
(3.09) |
3.19 ↑
(3.09) |
2.18 ↓
(2.3) |
7.5%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Penafiel - Alverca?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Penafiel will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Alverca will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).
- Penafiel is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Alverca is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Alverca could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Alverca will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Penafiel won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2
How many head-to-head matches has Penafiel won against Alverca?
Penafiel has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alverca won against Penafiel?
Alverca has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Penafiel - Alverca were as follows:
12.10.2024
Alverca
-
Penafiel
2:2
Latest results of Penafiel
Latest results of Alverca
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 44:21 | 23 | 60 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 53:33 | 20 | 50 |
| 3 | Torreense | 29 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 36:30 | 6 | 46 |
| 4 | Leiria | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 45:36 | 9 | 46 |
| 5 | Vizela | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 37:34 | 3 | 44 |
| 6 | FC Porto B | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 37:36 | 1 | 42 |
| 7 | Benfica B | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 41:35 | 6 | 41 |
| 8 | Sporting CP B | 29 | 13 | 2 | 14 | 41:30 | 11 | 41 |
| 9 | Feirense | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 41 |
| 10 | Chaves | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 31:29 | 2 | 39 |
| 11 | Lusitania FC | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 38:45 | -7 | 39 |
| 12 | Leixoes | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 35:50 | -15 | 38 |
| 13 | Penafiel | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 28:30 | -2 | 35 |
| 14 | Felgueiras | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 34 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 25:35 | -10 | 32 |
| 16 | Pacos Ferreira | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 26:39 | -13 | 32 |
| 17 | Portimonense | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 31:42 | -11 | 30 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 27:41 | -14 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
