Result
3:2
08/03/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 25
- Referee: Verissimo F. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 3', 1 - 0, Batista D. ⚽, Olamilekan Fatai S. (A),
- 4', Maga 🟨,
- 12', 1 - 1, Ageu E. ⚽,
- 19', Shinga K. 🟨,
- 37', Gustavo Fernandes 🟨,
- 42', 2 - 1, Maga ⚽,
- 45+2', 2 - 2, Joao Marcos ⚽, Ageu E. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Andrezinho ↓, Mendonca I. ↑,
- 62', Shinga K. ↓, Thauan Lara ↑,
- 64', Reko 🟨,
- 65', Batista D. ↓, Suker H. ↑,
- 67', Thauan Lara 🟨,
- 73', Joao Bravim 🟨,
- 73', Brenner ↓, Reinaldo ↑,
- 75', Gustavo Fernandes ↓, Ze Leite ↑,
- 79', 3 - 2, Reko ⚽, Rodrigues T. (A),
- 84', Rodrigues T. ↓, Ewerton ↑,
- 84', Silva A. ↓, Brito D. ↑,
- 84', Olamilekan Fatai S. ↓, Pereira B. ↑,
- 85', Dias R. ↓, Pedro Bicalho ↑,
- 85', Varela F. ↓, Bukia A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Penafiel
28.1% | Draw
29.2% | Alverca
42.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Alverca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Penafiel - Alverca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.31 ↑
(3.09) |
3.19 ↑
(3.09) |
2.18 ↓
(2.3) |
7.5%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Penafiel - Alverca?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Penafiel will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Alverca will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).
- Penafiel is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Alverca is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Alverca could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Alverca will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Penafiel won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2
How many head-to-head matches has Penafiel won against Alverca?
Penafiel has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alverca won against Penafiel?
Alverca has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Penafiel - Alverca were as follows:
12.10.2024
Alverca
-
Penafiel
2:2
Latest results of Penafiel
Latest results of Alverca
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 49:25 | 24 | 66 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 56:33 | 23 | 55 |
| 3 | Torreense | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 40:32 | 8 | 53 |
| 4 | Leiria | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 50:43 | 7 | 49 |
| 5 | Vizela | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 48 |
| 6 | Feirense | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 34:36 | -2 | 45 |
| 7 | FC Porto B | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 45 |
| 8 | Benfica B | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 43:40 | 3 | 44 |
| 9 | Leixoes | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 44 |
| 10 | Lusitania FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:48 | -6 | 43 |
| 11 | Chaves | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
| 12 | Sporting CP B | 32 | 13 | 2 | 17 | 41:33 | 8 | 41 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 40 |
| 14 | SC Farense | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 30:35 | -5 | 39 |
| 15 | Penafiel | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:37 | -2 | 38 |
| 16 | Portimonense | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 37:48 | -11 | 36 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 31:46 | -15 | 35 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 31:43 | -12 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
