Result
13/02/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Tondela
36.4% | Draw
30.4% | Alverca
33.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Tondela - Alverca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.59 ↓
(2.74) |
3.09 ↓
(3.26) |
2.84 ↑
(2.79) |
6.2%
(3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Tondela - Alverca?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alverca (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 10).
- Recent form of Tondela has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Alverca has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tondela won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Tondela won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Tondela won against Alverca?
Tondela has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alverca won against Tondela?
Alverca has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tondela - Alverca were as follows:
12.09.2025
Alverca
-
Tondela
1:0
11.05.2025
Tondela
-
Alverca
1:2
12.01.2025
Alverca
-
Tondela
1:1
Latest results of Tondela
Latest results of Alverca
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 21 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 42:7 | 35 | 56 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 21 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 55:12 | 43 | 52 |
| 3 | Benfica | 21 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 44:12 | 32 | 49 |
| 4 | Braga | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 44:18 | 26 | 39 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 31:17 | 14 | 37 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 27:20 | 7 | 32 |
| 7 | Estoril | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 43:35 | 8 | 30 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 27:29 | -2 | 30 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 23:30 | -7 | 28 |
| 10 | Alverca | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 21:36 | -15 | 24 |
| 11 | Estrela | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 25:37 | -12 | 23 |
| 12 | Arouca | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26:46 | -20 | 23 |
| 13 | Nacional | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 27:30 | -3 | 21 |
| 14 | Rio Ave | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 22:41 | -19 | 20 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 22:39 | -17 | 19 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 16:26 | -10 | 17 |
| 17 | Tondela | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14:35 | -21 | 14 |
| 18 | AFS | 21 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 15:54 | -39 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
