Result
1:0
12/09/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 5
- Referee: Filipe L. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 2.10 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (289/357) | 83% (296/356) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 2.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 3.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (289/357) | 83% (296/356) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (27/58) | 43% (18/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (45/71) | 64% (68/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 13% (4/32) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.22 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 43% (9/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 45 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.06 | 0.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 3.06 | 0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 43', Manso T. (Pen),
- 44', 1 - 0, Maviram E. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 51', Meupiyou B. 🟨,
- 56', Bebeto 🟨,
- 57', Manso T. ↓, Vita R. ↑,
- 57', Maviram E. ↓, Yarlen ↑,
- 66', Marezi ↓, Sandro Lima ↑,
- 71', Abdulai S. ↓, Gui D. ↑,
- 71', Gomez S. ↓, Baseya S. ↑,
- 71', Rony Lopes ↓, Siebatcheu J. ↑,
- 79', Sithole S. ↓, Pedro Maranhao ↑,
- 79', Bebeto ↓, Felix H. ↑,
- 82', Pedro Maranhao 🟨,
- 85', Lincoln ↓, Nuozzi C. ↑,
- 85', Figueiredo ↓, Cabezas G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Alverca
42.1% | Draw
29.9% | Tondela
28% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alverca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Tondela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
Alverca - Tondela Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↓
(2.45) |
3.16 ↓
(3.22) |
3.34 ↑
(2.94) |
5.5%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Alverca - Tondela?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Alverca will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Tondela will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alverca: 54% – 99.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alverca will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Alverca is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There are questionable in Alverca: Chiquinho
(Injury)
Martinez J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Tondela: Cicero
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alverca won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Alverca won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Alverca won against Tondela?
Alverca has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tondela won against Alverca?
Tondela has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alverca - Tondela were as follows:
11.05.2025
Tondela
-
Alverca
1:2
12.01.2025
Alverca
-
Tondela
1:1
Latest results of Alverca
Latest results of Tondela
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20:5 | 15 | 19 |
| 3 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:4 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | Benfica | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Braga | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Nacional | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 11 | Arouca | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:19 | -9 | 9 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Estrela | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Estoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Tondela | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:14 | -10 | 5 |
| 18 | AFS | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:20 | -15 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
