Result
2:2
28/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 4', 0 - 1, Serrao J. ⚽, Vilela M. (A),
- 8', 0 - 2, Jota ⚽, Ca L. (A),
- 21', 1 - 2, Rodrigues D. ⚽,
- 31', Serrao J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Roger ↓, Arome ↑,
- 46', Innusah H. ↓, Helder Pedro ↑,
- 64', Castro J. 🟨,
- 65', 🟨,
- 67', Barbosa D. 🟨,
- 68', Rodrigues D. ↓, Saint-Louis J. ↑,
- 68', Aguiar E. ↓, Antunes Tiago C. J. ↑,
- 68', Castro J. ↓, Marques P. ↑,
- 68', Firmino H. ↓, Valente R. ↑,
- 68', Ca L. ↓, Tavares D. ↑,
- 69', Saint-Louis J. 🟨,
- 75', 2 - 2, Lawrence ⚽,
- 81', Filipe J. 🟨,
- 87', Serrao J. ↓, Chadai ↑,
- 87', Jesse ↓, Erick Gabriel ↑,
- 90+2', Ribeiro O. ↓, Ventura ↑,
- 90+6', Lawrence 🟨,
Chances of winning
Amarante
41.2% | Draw
35.4% | São João de Ver
23.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amarante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)São João de Ver has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and São João de Ver might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for São João de Ver than the current prediction. (+4%)
Amarante - São João de Ver Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.41 ↑
(2.14) |
2.81 ↓
(3.16) |
4.26 ↑
(3.22) |
0.6%
(9.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amarante won 5.
- Amarante is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, São João de Ver has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- São João de Ver may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Amarante could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Amarante won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:2. (average 2.2:0.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Amarante won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Amarante won against São João de Ver?
Amarante has won 6 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São João de Ver won against Amarante?
São João de Ver has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Amarante - São João de Ver were as follows:
01.12.2024
Amarante
-
São João de Ver
2:0
17.08.2024
São João de Ver
-
Amarante
0:3
01.06.2024
Amarante
-
São João de Ver
2:1
05.05.2024
São João de Ver
-
Amarante
0:1
03.03.2024
São João de Ver
-
Amarante
1:2
Latest results of Amarante
Latest results of São João de Ver
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sanjoanense | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 2 | Trofense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 11 |
| 3 | Braga B | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 9 |
| 4 | Varzim | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | AD Marco 09 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Amarante | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 8 | Paredes | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
| 9 | Sao Joao Ver | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4:10 | -6 | 4 |
| 10 | AD Fafe | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:9 | -6 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Caldas | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
| 2 | Os Belenenses | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 10 |
| 3 | 1u00ba Dezembro | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Academica | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Santarem | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 8 |
| 6 | Lusitano GC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:6 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Amora | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 8 | Atletico CP | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 9 | Mafra | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 10 | Covilha | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )
