Result
2:0
02/09/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 24
- Referee: Belence P. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.35 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (350/422) | 86% (378/438) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
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| 4 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 10 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 10 | 8 |
| Passes |
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| 83% (350/422) | 86% (378/438) |
| Long passes |
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| 48% (31/65) | 57% (36/63) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 73% (90/124) | 68% (74/109) |
| Crosses |
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| 9% (1/11) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.29 | 0.32 |
| Throw-ins |
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| 20 | 16 |
| Fouls |
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| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
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| 71% (10/14) | 33% (4/12) |
| Duels won |
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| 43 | 39 |
| Clearances |
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| 25 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
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| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.30 | 1.27 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.30 | -0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', Romildo Del Piage ↓, Jamerson ↑,
- 34', 1 - 0, Arthur Sousa ⚽, Stenio (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Mariano ↓, Rafa Barcelos ↑,
- 46', Joao Vitor ↓, Thayllon ↑,
- 53', 2 - 0, Kaua Diniz ⚽, Willian Bigode (A),
- 64', Arthur Sousa ↓, David Lopes ↑,
- 64', Felipe Amaral ↓, Aloisio ↑,
- 66', DG 🟨,
- 72', Kaua Diniz ↓, Yago Souza ↑,
- 76', Jamerson ↓, Alef Manga ↑,
- 76', Cleber ↓, Hygor ↑,
- 78', Elizari F. ↓, Emerson Santos ↑,
- 81', Railan ↓, Leo Reis ↑,
- 90', Yago Souza 🟨,
Chances of winning
América Mineiro
39.7% | Draw
31.5% | Avaí
28.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that América Mineiro's form might have worsened.Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Avaí's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+9.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for América Mineiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Avaí, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
América Mineiro - Avaí Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.34 ↑
(1.94) |
3 ↓
(3.15) |
3.3 ↓
(4.18) |
6.4%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for América Mineiro - Avaí?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. América MG will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Avaí will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Avaí (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Avaí (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Avaí (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Avaí (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Avaí (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América MG won 1.
- América MG is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Avaí has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- América MG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- América MG could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, América MG won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, América MG won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 1.4:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has América Mineiro won against Avaí?
América Mineiro has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Avaí won against América Mineiro?
Avaí has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between América Mineiro - Avaí were as follows:
26.04.2025
Avaí
-
América Mineiro
3:0
11.10.2024
Avaí
-
América Mineiro
2:2
25.06.2024
América Mineiro
-
Avaí
1:1
Latest results of América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Avai | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Operario-PR | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Botafogo SP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Nautico | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Ceara | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Vila Nova FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | Athletic Club | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | Londrina | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Sao Bernardo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Criciuma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Fortaleza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | CRB | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
| 15 | Novorizontino | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 16 | Cuiaba | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Ponte Preta | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | America MG | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 19 | Juventude | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | Atletico GO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
