Avaí vs América Mineiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Avaí - América Mineiro
Result
3:0
26/04/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 5
  • Referee: Ferreira Y. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.871.27
Ball Possession
30%70%
Total shots
1416
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
512
Passes
70% (169/242)87% (478/549)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
0.871.27
xG on target (xGOT)
1.310.39
Total shots
1416
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
47
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
88
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
512
Touches in opposition box
1734
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
179
Passes
70% (169/242)87% (478/549)
Long passes
32% (18/57)57% (25/44)
Passes in final third
61% (42/69)81% (175/217)
Crosses
22% (2/9)15% (6/41)
Expected assists (xA)
0.741.42
Throw-ins
1821
Fouls
917
Tackles
86% (18/21)77% (10/13)
Duels won
5339
Clearances
5615
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
0.391.31
Goals prevented
0.39-1.69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', Ricardo Silva 🟨,
  • 21', Eduardo Brock 🟨,
  • 30', Marlon 🟨,
  • 33', 1 - 0, JP ,
  • 35', Kaua Diniz 🟨,
  • 40', JP 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Quaresma , Gaspar ,
  • 46', Kaua Diniz , Cauan Barros ,
  • 49', Cauan Barros 🟨,
  • 65', Willian Bigode , Martin Benitez ,
  • 74', Miqueias , Elizari F. ,
  • 74', Julio Cesar , Mariano ,
  • 75', Alef Manga , Emerson Negueba ,
  • 75', Cleber , Railan ,
  • 79', Elizari F. 🟨,
  • 80', Stenio , Renato Marques ,
  • 80', JP , Pedrao ,
  • 87', 2 - 0, Railan ,
  • 90+1', 3 - 0, Gaspar ,
  • 90+5', Marquinhos Gabriel , Jamerson ,

Chances of winning


Avaí
40.7%
Draw
31.1%
América Mineiro
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 27.5% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8% 27.2% 27.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Avaí - América Mineiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2.1)
    3
    (3.39)
    3.35
    (3.32)
    6.7%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Avaí - América Mineiro?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Avaí will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Avaí won 1.
    • Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
    • Avaí could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently América MG have a series of home games.
    • Avaí will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in América MG: Ale (Inactive) Guilherme Pato (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Avaí: Gustavo Barreto (Inactive) Hygor (Injury) Leo Reis (Inactive) Renan (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in América MG: Gustavinho (Injury)
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Avaí won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11:17 (average 0.8:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Avaí won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:7 (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Avaí - América Mineiro were as follows:
    11.10.2024 Avaí - América Mineiro 2:2
    25.06.2024 América Mineiro - Avaí 1:1
    Latest results of Avaí
    21.04.2025 Amazonas - Avaí 0:2
    10.04.2025 Cuiabá - Avaí 2:2
    22.03.2025 Avaí - Chapecoense 1:1
    Latest results of América Mineiro
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
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    3Novorizontino2098324:17735
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    6Remo2079422:19330
    7Criciuma2085723:18529
    8Avai2078527:21629
    9Vila Nova FC2083919:20-127
    10Operario-PR2075822:20226
    11Athletico-PR2075825:27-226
    12CRB2074922:21125
    13Athletic Club20731023:27-424
    14Atletico GO2059619:21-224
    15Ferroviaria2058720:22-223
    16America MG20631121:28-721
    17Volta Redonda2056914:23-921
    18Botafogo SP2056914:28-1421
    19Paysandu PA2049719:22-321
    20Amazonas2048820:27-720

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