América Mineiro vs Avaí – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B América Mineiro - Avaí
Result
2:0
02/09/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 24
  • Referee: Belence P. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.35
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
83% (350/422)86% (378/438)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.35
xG on target (xGOT)
1.270.30
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
48
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
712
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
1010
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
108
Passes
83% (350/422)86% (378/438)
Long passes
48% (31/65)57% (36/63)
Passes in final third
73% (90/124)68% (74/109)
Crosses
9% (1/11)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.290.32
Throw-ins
2016
Fouls
912
Tackles
71% (10/14)33% (4/12)
Duels won
4339
Clearances
2522
Interceptions
47
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
0.301.27
Goals prevented
0.30-0.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', Romildo Del Piage , Jamerson ,
  • 34', 1 - 0, Arthur Sousa , Stenio (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Mariano , Rafa Barcelos ,
  • 46', Joao Vitor , Thayllon ,
  • 53', 2 - 0, Kaua Diniz , Willian Bigode (A),
  • 64', Arthur Sousa , David Lopes ,
  • 64', Felipe Amaral , Aloisio ,
  • 66', DG 🟨,
  • 72', Kaua Diniz , Yago Souza ,
  • 76', Jamerson , Alef Manga ,
  • 76', Cleber , Hygor ,
  • 78', Elizari F. , Emerson Santos ,
  • 81', Railan , Leo Reis ,
  • 90', Yago Souza 🟨,

Chances of winning


América Mineiro
39.7%
Draw
31.5%
Avaí
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.1% 29.6% 22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49% 30.1% 21.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that América Mineiro's form might have worsened.
  • Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Avaí's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for América Mineiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Avaí, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • América Mineiro - Avaí Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.34
    (1.94)
    3
    (3.15)
    3.3
    (4.18)
    6.4%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for América Mineiro - Avaí?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. América MG will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Avaí will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.4%86.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América MG won 1.
    • América MG is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Avaí has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • América MG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • América MG could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, América MG won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, América MG won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 1.4:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between América Mineiro - Avaí were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Avaí - América Mineiro 3:0
    11.10.2024 Avaí - América Mineiro 2:2
    25.06.2024 América Mineiro - Avaí 1:1
    Latest results of América Mineiro
    Latest results of Avaí
    25.08.2025 Avaí - Amazonas 1:2
    10.08.2025 Avaí - Cuiabá 2:0
    28.07.2025 Avaí - Botafogo SP 5:0
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias27146733:25848
    2Coritiba27138628:171147
    3Criciuma27137734:211346
    4Novorizontino271110630:25543
    5Athletico-PR27126939:36342
    6Chapecoense-SC271251038:281041
    7Cuiaba27118832:30241
    8Remo27912628:24439
    9Atletico GO27911730:28238
    10CRB271141228:24437
    11Avai27910835:30537
    12Vila Nova FC271061126:28-236
    13Operario-PR2799929:26336
    14Athletic Club27951329:35-632
    15Ferroviaria27711930:34-432
    16America MG27861327:33-630
    17Botafogo SP27781222:39-1729
    18Amazonas27691227:39-1227
    19Volta Redonda27691216:28-1227
    20Paysandu PA274101321:32-1122

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )