Result
2:0
02/09/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 24
- Referee: Belence P. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.94 | 0.35 |
Ball Possession |
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49% | 51% |
Total shots |
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12 | 17 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 4 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 3 |
Passes |
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83% (350/422) | 86% (378/438) |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.94 | 0.35 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.27 | 0.30 |
Total shots |
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12 | 17 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 4 |
Shots off target |
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4 | 8 |
Blocked Shots |
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4 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
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5 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
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7 | 12 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
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10 | 10 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
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10 | 8 |
Passes |
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83% (350/422) | 86% (378/438) |
Long passes |
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48% (31/65) | 57% (36/63) |
Passes in final third |
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73% (90/124) | 68% (74/109) |
Crosses |
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9% (1/11) | 31% (5/16) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.29 | 0.32 |
Throw-ins |
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20 | 16 |
Fouls |
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9 | 12 |
Tackles |
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71% (10/14) | 33% (4/12) |
Duels won |
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43 | 39 |
Clearances |
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25 | 22 |
Interceptions |
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4 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
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1 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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4 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
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0.30 | 1.27 |
Goals prevented |
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0.30 | -0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', Romildo Del Piage ↓, Jamerson ↑,
- 34', 1 - 0, Arthur Sousa ⚽, Stenio (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Mariano ↓, Rafa Barcelos ↑,
- 46', Joao Vitor ↓, Thayllon ↑,
- 53', 2 - 0, Kaua Diniz ⚽, Willian Bigode (A),
- 64', Arthur Sousa ↓, David Lopes ↑,
- 64', Felipe Amaral ↓, Aloisio ↑,
- 66', DG 🟨,
- 72', Kaua Diniz ↓, Yago Souza ↑,
- 76', Jamerson ↓, Alef Manga ↑,
- 76', Cleber ↓, Hygor ↑,
- 78', Elizari F. ↓, Emerson Santos ↑,
- 81', Railan ↓, Leo Reis ↑,
- 90', Yago Souza 🟨,
Chances of winning
América Mineiro 39.7% | Draw 31.5% | Avaí 28.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that América Mineiro's form might have worsened.Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Avaí's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+9.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for América Mineiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Avaí, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
América Mineiro - Avaí Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.34 ↑ (1.94) |
3 ↓ (3.15) |
3.3 ↓ (4.18) |
6.4% (7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for América Mineiro - Avaí?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. América MG will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Avaí will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América MG won 1.
- América MG is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Avaí has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- América MG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- América MG could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, América MG won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, América MG won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 1.4:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has América Mineiro won against Avaí?
América Mineiro has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Avaí won against América Mineiro?
Avaí has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between América Mineiro - Avaí were as follows:
26.04.2025
Avaí
-
América Mineiro
3:0
11.10.2024
Avaí
-
América Mineiro
2:2
25.06.2024
América Mineiro
-
Avaí
1:1
Latest results of América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Goias | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 33:25 | 8 | 48 |
2 | Coritiba | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 28:17 | 11 | 47 |
3 | Criciuma | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 34:21 | 13 | 46 |
4 | Novorizontino | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 30:25 | 5 | 43 |
5 | Athletico-PR | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 39:36 | 3 | 42 |
6 | Chapecoense-SC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 38:28 | 10 | 41 |
7 | Cuiaba | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 41 |
8 | Remo | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 28:24 | 4 | 39 |
9 | Atletico GO | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 38 |
10 | CRB | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 28:24 | 4 | 37 |
11 | Avai | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 35:30 | 5 | 37 |
12 | Vila Nova FC | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 26:28 | -2 | 36 |
13 | Operario-PR | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29:26 | 3 | 36 |
14 | Athletic Club | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 29:35 | -6 | 32 |
15 | Ferroviaria | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 30:34 | -4 | 32 |
16 | America MG | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 27:33 | -6 | 30 |
17 | Botafogo SP | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 22:39 | -17 | 29 |
18 | Amazonas | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 27:39 | -12 | 27 |
19 | Volta Redonda | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 16:28 | -12 | 27 |
20 | Paysandu PA | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 21:32 | -11 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )