Result
1:2
07/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 11
- Referee: Oliveira M. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, ESPN, RedeTV!, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (388/453) | 86% (384/448) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (388/453) | 86% (384/448) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (39/64) | 64% (36/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (85/129) | 72% (77/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (7/31) | 40% (6/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.20 | -0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', Mariano 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 0, Stenio ⚽, Figueiredo (A),
- 44', Gustavo Medina 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Stenio 🟨,
- 49', Thiago Lopes 🟨,
- 61', Thayllon ↓, Vitor Barreto ↑,
- 63', Elizari F. ↓, Yago Souza ↑,
- 63', Stenio ↓, Jhosefer ↑,
- 71', 1 - 1, Vitor Barreto ⚽, Eric Melo (A),
- 74', Eric Melo 🟨,
- 74', Thiago Lopes ↓, Ian Luccas ↑,
- 75', Albano ↓, Juninho ↑,
- 80', 1 - 2, Carlao ⚽, Juninho (A),
- 83', Marlon ↓, Paulinho ↑,
- 83', Miqueias ↓, Arthur Sousa ↑,
- 84', Vitor Barreto ↓, Alencar ↑,
- 84', Carlao ↓, Quirino ↑,
- 90+2', Quirino 🟥,
Chances of winning
América Mineiro
56.8% | Draw
26.4% | Ferroviária
16.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
América Mineiro - Ferroviária Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↓
(1.66) |
3.55 ↓
(3.62) |
5.46 ↑
(5.19) |
7.1%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for América Mineiro - Ferroviária?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. América MG will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for América MG: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 13).
- América MG is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ferroviária has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- América MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, América MG is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in América MG: Ale
(Inactive)
Fabinho
(Inactive)
Guilherme Pato
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Ferroviária: Caua A.
(Inactive)
Denilson
(Inactive)
Lucas Rodrigues
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in América MG: Ricardo Silva
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Ferroviária: Gustavo Medina
(Inactive)
Tarik
(Inactive)
Thayllon
(Inactive)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, América MG won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
- Including home match between the teams, América MG won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has América Mineiro won against Ferroviária?
América Mineiro has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviária won against América Mineiro?
Ferroviária has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between América Mineiro - Ferroviária were as follows:
Latest results of América Mineiro
Latest results of Ferroviária
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 28:16 | 12 | 47 |
| 2 | Goias | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 32:25 | 7 | 45 |
| 3 | Criciuma | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 33:21 | 12 | 43 |
| 4 | Chapecoense-SC | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 41 |
| 5 | Remo | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 38 |
| 6 | Cuiaba | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 30:29 | 1 | 37 |
| 7 | Novorizontino | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 37 |
| 8 | Athletico-PR | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 34:34 | 0 | 36 |
| 9 | Avai | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 32:26 | 6 | 36 |
| 10 | Vila Nova FC | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 25:25 | 0 | 35 |
| 11 | CRB | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 26:23 | 3 | 34 |
| 12 | Operario-PR | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 27:24 | 3 | 34 |
| 13 | Atletico GO | 25 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 27:27 | 0 | 32 |
| 14 | Ferroviaria | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 27:30 | -3 | 31 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 21:36 | -15 | 28 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 16:27 | -11 | 27 |
| 18 | America MG | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 26:33 | -7 | 26 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 26:37 | -11 | 24 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 21:31 | -10 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
