Result
1:2
07/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 11
- Referee: Oliveira M. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Brazil | Claro TV+, ESPN, RedeTV!, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.96 | 1.01 |
Ball Possession |
---|
51% | 49% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
86% (388/453) | 86% (384/448) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 3 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.96 | 1.01 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.71 | 1.80 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
30 | 17 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
9 | 15 |
Passes |
---|
86% (388/453) | 86% (384/448) |
Long passes |
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61% (39/64) | 64% (36/56) |
Passes in final third |
---|
66% (85/129) | 72% (77/107) |
Crosses |
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23% (7/31) | 40% (6/15) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.04 | 0.87 |
Throw-ins |
---|
16 | 24 |
Fouls |
---|
15 | 9 |
Tackles |
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62% (8/13) | 67% (8/12) |
Duels won |
---|
38 | 40 |
Clearances |
---|
17 | 35 |
Interceptions |
---|
12 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.80 | 0.71 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.20 | -0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', Mariano 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 0, Stenio ⚽, Figueiredo (A),
- 44', Gustavo Medina 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Stenio 🟨,
- 49', Thiago Lopes 🟨,
- 61', Thayllon ↓, Vitor Barreto ↑,
- 63', Elizari F. ↓, Yago Souza ↑,
- 63', Stenio ↓, Jhosefer ↑,
- 71', 1 - 1, Vitor Barreto ⚽, Eric Melo (A),
- 74', Eric Melo 🟨,
- 74', Thiago Lopes ↓, Ian Luccas ↑,
- 75', Albano ↓, Juninho ↑,
- 80', 1 - 2, Carlao ⚽, Juninho (A),
- 83', Marlon ↓, Paulinho ↑,
- 83', Miqueias ↓, Arthur Sousa ↑,
- 84', Vitor Barreto ↓, Alencar ↑,
- 84', Carlao ↓, Quirino ↑,
- 90+2', Quirino 🟥,
Chances of winning
América Mineiro 56.8% | Draw 26.4% | Ferroviária 16.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
América Mineiro - Ferroviária Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.65 ↓ (1.66) |
3.55 ↓ (3.62) |
5.46 ↑ (5.19) |
7.1% (7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for América Mineiro - Ferroviária?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. América MG will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for América MG: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 13).
- América MG is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ferroviária has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- América MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, América MG is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in América MG: Ale
(Inactive)
Fabinho
(Inactive)
Guilherme Pato
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Ferroviária: Caua A.
(Inactive)
Denilson
(Inactive)
Lucas Rodrigues
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in América MG: Ricardo Silva
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Ferroviária: Gustavo Medina
(Inactive)
Tarik
(Inactive)
Thayllon
(Inactive)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, América MG won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
- Including home match between the teams, América MG won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has América Mineiro won against Ferroviária?
América Mineiro has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviária won against América Mineiro?
Ferroviária has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between América Mineiro - Ferroviária were as follows:
Latest results of América Mineiro
Latest results of Ferroviária
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Coritiba | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 42 |
2 | Goias | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 28:20 | 8 | 41 |
3 | Chapecoense-SC | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 34:20 | 14 | 40 |
4 | Criciuma | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 30:21 | 9 | 36 |
5 | Novorizontino | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 25:21 | 4 | 36 |
6 | Remo | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 34 |
7 | Vila Nova FC | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 22:20 | 2 | 33 |
8 | Avai | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 29:21 | 8 | 33 |
9 | Cuiaba | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 25:25 | 0 | 32 |
10 | CRB | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 24:21 | 3 | 31 |
11 | Ferroviaria | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 25:24 | 1 | 29 |
12 | Operario-PR | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 23:22 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Athletico-PR | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 28:32 | -4 | 27 |
14 | Atletico GO | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 27 |
15 | Athletic Club | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 25 |
16 | America MG | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 23:31 | -8 | 22 |
17 | Volta Redonda | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 14:24 | -10 | 22 |
18 | Botafogo SP | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 15:31 | -16 | 22 |
19 | Paysandu PA | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 21 |
20 | Amazonas | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 23:31 | -8 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )