América Mineiro vs Ferroviária – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B América Mineiro - Ferroviária
Result
1:2
07/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 11
  • Referee: Oliveira M. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, ESPN, RedeTV!, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.961.01
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1514
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
93
Passes
86% (388/453)86% (384/448)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.961.01
xG on target (xGOT)
0.711.80
Total shots
1514
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
47
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
3017
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
915
Passes
86% (388/453)86% (384/448)
Long passes
61% (39/64)64% (36/56)
Passes in final third
66% (85/129)72% (77/107)
Crosses
23% (7/31)40% (6/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.040.87
Throw-ins
1624
Fouls
159
Tackles
62% (8/13)67% (8/12)
Duels won
3840
Clearances
1735
Interceptions
126
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.800.71
Goals prevented
-0.20-0.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', Mariano 🟨,
  • 33', 1 - 0, Stenio , Figueiredo (A),
  • 44', Gustavo Medina 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Stenio 🟨,
  • 49', Thiago Lopes 🟨,
  • 61', Thayllon , Vitor Barreto ,
  • 63', Elizari F. , Yago Souza ,
  • 63', Stenio , Jhosefer ,
  • 71', 1 - 1, Vitor Barreto , Eric Melo (A),
  • 74', Eric Melo 🟨,
  • 74', Thiago Lopes , Ian Luccas ,
  • 75', Albano , Juninho ,
  • 80', 1 - 2, Carlao , Juninho (A),
  • 83', Marlon , Paulinho ,
  • 83', Miqueias , Arthur Sousa ,
  • 84', Vitor Barreto , Alencar ,
  • 84', Carlao , Quirino ,
  • 90+2', Quirino 🟥,

Chances of winning


América Mineiro
56.8%
Draw
26.4%
Ferroviária
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.3% 25.7% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6% 24.5% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • América Mineiro - Ferroviária Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.66)
    3.55
    (3.62)
    5.46
    (5.19)
    7.1%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for América Mineiro - Ferroviária?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. América MG will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for América MG: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 13).
    • América MG is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Ferroviária has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • América MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, América MG is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in América MG: Ale (Inactive) Fabinho (Inactive) Guilherme Pato (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Ferroviária: Caua A. (Inactive) Denilson (Inactive) Lucas Rodrigues (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in América MG: Ricardo Silva (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Ferroviária: Gustavo Medina (Inactive) Tarik (Inactive) Thayllon (Inactive)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, América MG won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
    • Including home match between the teams, América MG won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    Latest results of América Mineiro
    Latest results of Ferroviária
    29.05.2025 Ferroviária - Botafogo SP 1:1
    23.05.2025 Goiás - Ferroviária 2:0
    15.05.2025 Ferroviária - Avaí 1:1
    02.05.2025 Ferroviária - Coritiba 2:1
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba22126424:15942
    2Goias22125528:20841
    3Chapecoense-SC23124734:201440
    4Criciuma23106730:21936
    5Novorizontino2399525:21436
    6Remo22810424:20434
    7Vila Nova FC22103922:20233
    8Avai2289529:21833
    9Cuiaba2295825:25032
    10CRB2294924:21331
    11Ferroviaria2278725:24129
    12Operario-PR2276923:22127
    13Athletico-PR2276928:32-427
    14Atletico GO2269722:24-227
    15Athletic Club23741224:33-925
    16America MG22641223:31-822
    17Volta Redonda22571014:24-1022
    18Botafogo SP22571015:31-1622
    19Paysandu PA2249919:25-621
    20Amazonas2249923:31-821

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