Ferroviária vs América Mineiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Ferroviária - América Mineiro
Result
1:3
04/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 30
  • Referee: do Nascimento W. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.961.66
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
85
Passes
80% (295/370)79% (244/309)
Yellow Cards
52
Expected Goals (xG)
0.961.66
xG on target (xGOT)
0.552.19
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
104
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
67
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
02
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
85
Touches in opposition box
2018
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1113
Passes
80% (295/370)79% (244/309)
Long passes
56% (29/52)59% (29/49)
Passes in final third
69% (74/108)63% (55/88)
Crosses
32% (7/22)44% (8/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.040.73
Throw-ins
1921
Fouls
1311
Tackles
58% (11/19)40% (6/15)
Duels won
4940
Clearances
2420
Interceptions
97
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
2.190.55
Goals prevented
-0.81-0.45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Fabricio Daniel ,
  • 24', Juninho , Vitor Barreto ,
  • 27', Alencar 🟨,
  • 30', 1 - 1, Maguinho , Paulinho (A),
  • 33', Gustavo Medina 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 47', Ze Mario 🟨,
  • 59', Alencar , Thiago Lopes ,
  • 59', Ze Mario , Edson Lucas ,
  • 60', Felipe Amaral 🟨,
  • 62', Miguelito 🟨,
  • 62', Miguelito , Fabinho ,
  • 71', Willian Bigode , Arthur Sousa ,
  • 71', Yago Souza , Ortiz C. ,
  • 78', Vitor Barreto , Ze Hugo ,
  • 78', Fabricio Daniel , Albano ,
  • 84', Felipe Amaral , Aloisio ,
  • 84', Kaua Diniz , Miqueias ,
  • 87', Netinho 🟨,
  • 90+1', 1 - 2, Lucao , Ortiz C. (A),
  • 90+5', Edson Lucas 🟨,
  • 90+7', 1 - 3, Fabinho (Pen),

Chances of winning


Ferroviária
36.8%
Draw
31%
América Mineiro
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.2% 28.6% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5% 29.5% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferroviária, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Ferroviária - América Mineiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.52
    (2.27)
    2.99
    (3.27)
    2.89
    (3.1)
    7.6%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Ferroviária - América Mineiro?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ferroviária will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). América MG will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 15).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ferroviária won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ferroviária won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ferroviária - América Mineiro were as follows:
    07.06.2025 América Mineiro - Ferroviária 1:2
    Latest results of Ferroviária
    28.09.2025 Botafogo SP - Ferroviária 1:2
    23.09.2025 Ferroviária - Goiás 1:1
    20.09.2025 Avaí - Ferroviária 2:2
    05.09.2025 Coritiba - Ferroviária 4:0
    Latest results of América Mineiro
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba34179835:211460
    2Remo341512745:331257
    3Novorizontino341413737:28955
    4Chapecoense-SC331661147:321554
    5Criciuma33159943:301354
    6Goias331410937:32552
    7Athletico-PR331481145:42350
    8Cuiaba3413111041:40150
    9CRB331461339:34548
    10Atletico GO331212936:33348
    11Avai3311121041:35645
    12Vila Nova FC3311101232:34-243
    13Operario-PR331191334:37-342
    14America MG341181537:40-341
    15Ferroviaria338141138:44-638
    16Athletic Club341071738:49-1137
    17Botafogo SP348111530:50-2035
    18Volta Redonda348101623:37-1434
    19Amazonas337111533:48-1532
    20Paysandu PA335121630:42-1227

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