Result
1:3
04/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 30
- Referee: do Nascimento W. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.66 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (295/370) | 79% (244/309) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 2.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (295/370) | 79% (244/309) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (29/52) | 59% (29/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (74/108) | 63% (55/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (7/22) | 44% (8/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.73 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 40% (6/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
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| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.19 | 0.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.81 | -0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 16', 1 - 0, Fabricio Daniel ⚽,
- 24', Juninho ↓, Vitor Barreto ↑,
- 27', Alencar 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 1, Maguinho ⚽, Paulinho (A),
- 33', Gustavo Medina 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 47', Ze Mario 🟨,
- 59', Alencar ↓, Thiago Lopes ↑,
- 59', Ze Mario ↓, Edson Lucas ↑,
- 60', Felipe Amaral 🟨,
- 62', Miguelito 🟨,
- 62', Miguelito ↓, Fabinho ↑,
- 71', Willian Bigode ↓, Arthur Sousa ↑,
- 71', Yago Souza ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
- 78', Vitor Barreto ↓, Ze Hugo ↑,
- 78', Fabricio Daniel ↓, Albano ↑,
- 84', Felipe Amaral ↓, Aloisio ↑,
- 84', Kaua Diniz ↓, Miqueias ↑,
- 87', Netinho 🟨,
- 90+1', 1 - 2, Lucao ⚽, Ortiz C. (A),
- 90+5', Edson Lucas 🟨,
- 90+7', 1 - 3, Fabinho (Pen),
Chances of winning
Ferroviária
36.8% | Draw
31% | América Mineiro
32.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferroviária, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-3%)
Ferroviária - América Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.52 ↑
(2.27) |
2.99 ↓
(3.27) |
2.89 ↓
(3.1) |
7.6%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ferroviária - América Mineiro?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Ferroviária will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). América MG will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 15).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ferroviária won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Ferroviária won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviária won against América Mineiro?
Ferroviária has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has América Mineiro won against Ferroviária?
América Mineiro has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ferroviária - América Mineiro were as follows:
07.06.2025
América Mineiro
-
Ferroviária
1:2
Latest results of Ferroviária
Latest results of América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 35:21 | 14 | 60 |
| 2 | Remo | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 45:33 | 12 | 57 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 37:28 | 9 | 55 |
| 4 | Chapecoense-SC | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 47:32 | 15 | 54 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 43:30 | 13 | 54 |
| 6 | Goias | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 37:32 | 5 | 52 |
| 7 | Athletico-PR | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 45:42 | 3 | 50 |
| 8 | Cuiaba | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 41:40 | 1 | 50 |
| 9 | CRB | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 39:34 | 5 | 48 |
| 10 | Atletico GO | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 36:33 | 3 | 48 |
| 11 | Avai | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 41:35 | 6 | 45 |
| 12 | Vila Nova FC | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 32:34 | -2 | 43 |
| 13 | Operario-PR | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 34:37 | -3 | 42 |
| 14 | America MG | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37:40 | -3 | 41 |
| 15 | Ferroviaria | 33 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 38:44 | -6 | 38 |
| 16 | Athletic Club | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 38:49 | -11 | 37 |
| 17 | Botafogo SP | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 30:50 | -20 | 35 |
| 18 | Volta Redonda | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 23:37 | -14 | 34 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 32 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 30:42 | -12 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
