Antalyaspor vs Çaykur Rizespor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Turkish Super League Antalyaspor - Çaykur Rizespor
Result
2:5
03/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 8
  • Referee: Ergun O. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.021.70
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1514
Shots on target
77
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
88% (397/451)88% (389/440)
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.021.70
xG on target (xGOT)
1.532.94
Total shots
1514
Shots on target
77
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
1110
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2020
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1610
Passes
88% (397/451)88% (389/440)
Long passes
64% (28/44)61% (23/38)
Passes in final third
78% (101/130)84% (96/114)
Crosses
32% (7/22)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.981.02
Throw-ins
1914
Fouls
1016
Tackles
59% (10/17)61% (11/18)
Duels won
6543
Clearances
1727
Interceptions
115
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
2.941.53
Goals prevented
-2.06-0.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Rak-Sakyi J. , Laci Q. (A),
  • 9', 0 - 2, Jurecka V. , Bulut E. (A),
  • 13', 1 - 2, Dikmen S. , van de Streek S. (A),
  • 21', Akaydin S. 🟨,
  • 27', Ilcin H. , Ceesay J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 48', 1 - 3, Rak-Sakyi J. , Laci Q. (A),
  • 59', van de Streek S. 🟨,
  • 59', van de Streek S. 🟨,
  • 65', Bulut E. , Mihaila V. ,
  • 68', Balci B. , Cvancara T. ,
  • 68', Storm N. , Omur A. ,
  • 68', Safuri R. , Ballet S. ,
  • 69', Jurecka V. 🟨,
  • 71', Sahin T. 🟨,
  • 77', Papanikolaou G. , Pala M. ,
  • 77', Jurecka V. , Sowe A. ,
  • 77', Rak-Sakyi J. , Zeqiri A. ,
  • 81', Dikmen S. , Sinik D. ,
  • 86', 1 - 4, Zeqiri A. , Sowe A. (A),
  • 89', Hojer C. , Antalyali T. ,
  • 90', 2 - 4, Cvancara T. , Boli Y. (A),
  • 90+1', Zeqiri A. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 2 - 5, Mihaila V. , Akaydin S. (A),

Chances of winning


Antalyaspor
25.9%
Draw
28.2%
Çaykur Rizespor
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.4% 25.5% 40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9% 24.4% 38.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Antalyaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Antalyaspor's form might have worsened.
  • Çaykur Rizespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Çaykur Rizespor's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antalyaspor than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Antalyaspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Çaykur Rizespor than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Çaykur Rizespor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Antalyaspor - Çaykur Rizespor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.35
    (2.7)
    3.88
    (3.65)
    2.31
    (2.32)
    -7.9%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Antalyaspor - Çaykur Rizespor?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Antalyaspor will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Rizespor will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Antalyaspor: 23.8%76.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Antalyaspor (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Rizespor (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Antalyaspor won 1.
    • Antalyaspor is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Rizespor has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Antalyaspor: Ozturk B. (Muscle Injury) Sari V. (Inactive) Saric D. (Inactive) Turkmen H. (Inactive) Yesilyurt E. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Antalyaspor: Omur A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Rizespor: Alikulov K. (Injury) Olawoyin I. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Antalyaspor won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:32. (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Antalyaspor won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Antalyaspor - Çaykur Rizespor were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Antalyaspor - Çaykur Rizespor 2:1
    04.10.2024 Çaykur Rizespor - Antalyaspor 2:1
    14.04.2024 Çaykur Rizespor - Antalyaspor 3:0
    26.11.2023 Antalyaspor - Çaykur Rizespor 0:0
    24.07.2023 Antalyaspor - Çaykur Rizespor 0:0
    Latest results of Antalyaspor
    Latest results of Çaykur Rizespor
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray770019:21721
    2Trabzonspor852113:6717
    3Fenerbahce743012:5715
    4Goztepe734010:2813
    5Besiktas640211:8312
    6Samsunspor733110:8212
    7Gaziantep732210:12-211
    8Konyaspor631212:8410
    9Antalyaspor83149:13-410
    10Alanyaspor72328:719
    11Kasimpasa72237:8-18
    12Rizespor72239:11-28
    13Basaksehir61326:606
    14Eyupspor71244:10-65
    15Kayserispor80535:17-125
    16Genclerbirligi71155:10-54
    17Karagumruk71067:16-93
    18Kocaelispor70254:12-82

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig