Result
0:2
05/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Turkish Cup - Round 4
- Referee: Taskinsoy A. B. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | A Spor |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
 Turkey | A Haber, A Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Gueye B. 🟨,
- 45+5', Dzhikiya G. 🟨,
- 45+6', Ndiaye C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Saric D. ↓, Ceesay J. ↑,
- 49', Tavsan E. 🟨,
- 59', 0 - 1, Ndiaye C. ⚽, Gonul S. (A),
- 61', Gueye B. ↓, Storm N. ↑,
- 61', Boli Y. ↓, Kayaarasi K. ↑,
- 62', Karakoc S. 🟨,
- 67', Diabbate A. B. ↓, Van Drongelen R. ↑,
- 67', Tavsan E. ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
- 67', Albak E. ↓, Marius ↑,
- 67', Ndiaye C. ↓, Holse C. ↑,
- 71', Yesilyurt E. ↓, Ballet S. ↑,
- 77', Ozturk B. 🟨,
- 84', Tivsiz E. B. ↓, Ozkul M. ↑,
- 85', Kayan Y. ↓, Tomasson L. ↑,
- 89', 0 - 2, Marius ⚽,
Chances of winning
Antalyaspor
11.3% | Draw
21.2% | Samsunspor
67.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Antalyaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Antalyaspor's form might have worsened.Samsunspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Samsunspor's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antalyaspor than the current prediction. (+14.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Antalyaspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (-17.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Samsunspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Antalyaspor - Samsunspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.05 ↑
(3.4) |
4.5 ↑
(3.5) |
1.45 ↓
(1.85) |
3.8%
(12%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Antalyaspor - Samsunspor?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1 - Antalyaspor (1.70) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- EH +1 - Antalyaspor (2.52) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- DC - Antalyaspor (2.40) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +1.5 - Antalyaspor (1.46) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +1.75 - Antalyaspor (1.34) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- DNB - Antalyaspor (3.57) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.25 - Antalyaspor (1.56) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +0.75 - Antalyaspor (1.97) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +0.25 - Antalyaspor (2.65) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +0.5 - Antalyaspor (2.10) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.75 - Antalyaspor (6.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Antalyaspor (4.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Antalyaspor (4.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Antalyaspor (3.69) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +2 - Antalyaspor (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Samsunspor will win
(14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Samsunspor will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 35 high ROI users predict this event. Antalyaspor (votes: 28 - 80%). Samsunspor (votes: 7 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Turkish Cup (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Antalyaspor won 3.
- Recent form of Antalyaspor has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Samsunspor has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Samsunspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Samsunspor is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Antalyaspor won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Antalyaspor won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Antalyaspor won against Samsunspor?
Antalyaspor has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Samsunspor won against Antalyaspor?
Samsunspor has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Antalyaspor - Samsunspor were as follows:
13.02.2026
Antalyaspor
-
Samsunspor
3:1
13.09.2025
Samsunspor
-
Antalyaspor
1:2
05.04.2025
Antalyaspor
-
Samsunspor
2:1
04.11.2024
Samsunspor
-
Antalyaspor
2:0
12.02.2024
Samsunspor
-
Antalyaspor
2:0
Latest results of Antalyaspor
Latest results of Samsunspor
Turkish Cup Table
MainGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Trabzonspor | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:4 | 9 | 9 |
| 3 | Alanyaspor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Basaksehir | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Karagumruk | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 6 | Boluspor | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 2 |
| 7 | Istanbulspor AS | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:9 | -7 | 2 |
| 8 | Fethiyespor | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Samsunspor | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | 9 | 12 |
| 2 | Konyaspor | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 8 | 12 |
| 3 | Genclerbirligi | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Igdir FK | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 5 |
| 5 | Eyupspor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 6 | Bodrumspor | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 1 |
| 7 | Aliaga | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:16 | -11 | 1 |
| 8 | Antalyaspor | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:10 | -10 | 0 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Besiktas | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 9 |
| 3 | Erzurumspor | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Gaziantep | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 5 | Kocaelispor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Rizespor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 4 |
| 7 | Beyoglu Yeni Carsi | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 8 | Keciorengucu | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:13 | -7 | 3 |
Ranking of third-placed teams | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Genclerbirligi | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Alanyaspor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Erzurumspor | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Turkish Cup (Play Offs: )
