Result
05/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Turkish Cup - Round 4
- Referee: Taskinsoy A. B. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | A Spor |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
 Turkey | A Haber, A Spor |
Chances of winning
Antalyaspor
13.5% | Draw
20.9% | Samsunspor
65.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Antalyaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Antalyaspor's form might have worsened.Samsunspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Samsunspor's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antalyaspor than the current prediction. (+12%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Antalyaspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (-15.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Samsunspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Antalyaspor - Samsunspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.71 ↑
(3.4) |
4.48 ↑
(3.5) |
1.45 ↓
(1.85) |
6.3%
(12%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Antalyaspor - Samsunspor?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Samsunspor (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1 - Antalyaspor (2.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Samsunspor will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Antalyaspor (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Samsunspor (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Turkish Cup (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Antalyaspor won 3.
- Antalyaspor has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Samsunspor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Antalyaspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Samsunspor is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Antalyaspor won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Antalyaspor won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Antalyaspor won against Samsunspor?
Antalyaspor has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Samsunspor won against Antalyaspor?
Samsunspor has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Antalyaspor - Samsunspor were as follows:
13.02.2026
Antalyaspor
-
Samsunspor
3:1
13.09.2025
Samsunspor
-
Antalyaspor
1:2
05.04.2025
Antalyaspor
-
Samsunspor
2:1
04.11.2024
Samsunspor
-
Antalyaspor
2:0
12.02.2024
Samsunspor
-
Antalyaspor
2:0
Latest results of Antalyaspor
Latest results of Samsunspor
Turkish Cup Table
MainGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Trabzonspor | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:4 | 9 | 9 |
| 3 | Alanyaspor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Basaksehir | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Karagumruk | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 6 | Boluspor | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 2 |
| 7 | Istanbulspor AS | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:9 | -7 | 2 |
| 8 | Fethiyespor | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Samsunspor | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Konyaspor | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 9 |
| 3 | Genclerbirligi | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Igdir FK | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 4 |
| 5 | Eyupspor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Aliaga | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:13 | -9 | 1 |
| 7 | Bodrumspor | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
| 8 | Antalyaspor | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:8 | -8 | 0 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Besiktas ✔ | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 9 |
| 3 | Erzurumspor | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Gaziantep | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 5 | Kocaelispor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Rizespor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 4 |
| 7 | Beyoglu Yeni Carsi | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 8 | Keciorengucu | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:13 | -7 | 3 |
Ranking of third-placed teams | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Alanyaspor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Genclerbirligi | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Erzurumspor | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Turkish Cup (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Besiktas is Qualified for Turkish Cup (Play Offs )
