APS Bomet vs Tusker – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
21/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 81', 0 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


APS Bomet
22.5%
Draw
31%
Tusker
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.4% 30.6% 40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7% 29.9% 41%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • APS Bomet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that APS Bomet's form might have worsened.
  • Tusker has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tusker's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for APS Bomet than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for APS Bomet, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tusker than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tusker, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • APS Bomet - Tusker Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.02
    (3.11)
    2.92
    (2.99)
    1.94
    (2.29)
    10.6%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for APS Bomet - Tusker?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 6).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • APS Bomet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of APS Bomet
    16.12.2025 Kenya CB - APS Bomet 4:2
    12.12.2025 APS Bomet - Posta Rangers 0:0
    07.12.2025 APS Bomet - Bandari 1:0
    29.11.2025 Sofapaka - APS Bomet 0:0
    25.11.2025 Gor Mahia - APS Bomet 1:4
    Latest results of Tusker
    17.12.2025 Tusker - Nairobi United 0:1
    14.12.2025 Sofapaka - Tusker 0:2
    05.12.2025 Tusker - Ulinzi Stars 1:0
    29.11.2025 Mara Sugar - Tusker 0:1
    22.11.2025 Gor Mahia - Tusker 1:0
    Kenyan Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gor Mahia26176344:182657
    2Leopards27167436:181855
    3Kakamega Homeboyz271210542:281446
    4Police FC261110523:17643
    5Shabana27127831:30143
    6KCB27117927:27040
    7Nairobi United27109834:27739
    8Muranga27108933:30338
    9Bandari27814521:18338
    10Tusker261141123:26-337
    11Mara Sugar27713725:25034
    12Posta Rangers277101023:32-931
    13Mathare Utd26861222:27-530
    14Kariobangi Sharks275111118:29-1126
    15Ulinzi Stars27671424:31-725
    16APS Bomet275101225:33-825
    17Bidco United274101316:30-1422
    18Sofapaka27371715:36-2116

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Super League