Result
2:0
07/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 29
- Referee: Jalilov J. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', Suleymanly A. 🟨,
- 20', 1 - 0, Ramon Machado (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Suleymanly A. ↓, Muradli S. ↑,
- 46', Abdullazada S. ↓, Nimely S. ↑,
- 52', Milovic M. 🟨,
- 62', Benny ↓, Rodrigues N. ↑,
- 63', Abdikholikov B. ↓, Yansane M. ↑,
- 65', 2 - 0, Igor Ribeiro ⚽, Qarayev Q. (A),
- 71', Vasquez R. ↓, Jaloliddinov J. ↑,
- 78', Ramon Machado ↓, Isgandarov U. ↑,
- 78', Tashkyn S. ↓, Orujov N. ↑,
- 83', Qarayev Q. ↓, Abdullayev V. ↑,
Chances of winning
Araz Naxçıvan
46.9% | Draw
30.1% | Sumgayit
23.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Araz Naxçıvan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Araz Naxçıvan's form might have worsened.Sumgayit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Araz Naxçıvan than the current prediction. (+9.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Araz Naxçıvan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumgayit than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sumgayit, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Araz Naxçıvan - Sumgayit Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↑
(1.66) |
3.03 ↓
(3.39) |
3.94 ↓
(4.99) |
10%
(9.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Araz Naxçıvan - Sumgayit?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Araz will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Sumgayit will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Araz (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Araz Naxçıvan won 2.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Sumgayit could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Sumgayit have a series of home games.
- In this match Araz Naxçıvan is a favorite.
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Araz Naxçıvan won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:6 (average 0.5:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Araz Naxçıvan won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Araz Naxçıvan won against Sumgayit?
Araz Naxçıvan has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sumgayit won against Araz Naxçıvan?
Sumgayit has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Araz Naxçıvan - Sumgayit were as follows:
01.02.2025
Sumgayit
-
Araz Naxçıvan
0:0
10.11.2024
Araz Naxçıvan
-
Sumgayit
1:0
30.08.2024
Sumgayit
-
Araz Naxçıvan
0:1
31.03.2024
Sumgayit
-
Araz Naxçıvan
1:0
28.01.2024
Araz Naxçıvan
-
Sumgayit
1:1
Latest results of Araz Naxçıvan
Latest results of Sumgayit
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sumqayit | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Turan Tovuz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Shamakhi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Karvan | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Gabala | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Neftci Baku | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Araz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Zira | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Qarabag | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Sabah Baku | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Imisli FK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Kapaz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
