Result
2:3
07/03/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', 1 - 0, Hussein A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 35', 1 - 1, Temirov S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 51', 1 - 2, John C. ⚽,
- 69', 2 - 2, Hussein A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 83', 2 - 3, Omar A. S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Al-Karma
46.2% | Draw
31% | Arbil
22.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Karma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Arbil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Karma than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Karma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arbil than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Al-Karma - Arbil Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↑
(1.89) |
2.88 ↓
(3.1) |
3.92 ↓
(4.5) |
12.1%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 5).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Arbil may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Al-Karma is a strong favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al-Karma won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Al-Karma won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Karma won against Arbil?
Al-Karma has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arbil won against Al-Karma?
Arbil has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Karma - Arbil were as follows:
03.10.2025
Arbil
-
Al-Karma
2:1
23.04.2025
Al-Karma
-
Arbil
1:0
10.01.2025
Arbil
-
Al-Karma
1:1
Latest results of Al-Karma
Iraqi Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 33:12 | 21 | 55 |
| 2 | Erbil | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 35:18 | 17 | 50 |
| 3 | Al Shorta | 23 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 41:19 | 22 | 49 |
| 4 | Al Talaba | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 33:20 | 13 | 44 |
| 5 | Al-Karma | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 33:17 | 16 | 42 |
| 6 | Al Zawraa | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 31:20 | 11 | 42 |
| 7 | Zakho | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 31:19 | 12 | 40 |
| 8 | Al Karkh | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 32:23 | 9 | 38 |
| 9 | Duhok | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 26:23 | 3 | 33 |
| 10 | Newroz | 23 | 10 | 1 | 12 | 28:30 | -2 | 31 |
| 11 | Diyala | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 25:24 | 1 | 29 |
| 12 | Al Naft | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 24:23 | 1 | 29 |
| 13 | Al Gharraf | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 23:25 | -2 | 29 |
| 14 | Al Mosul | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 23:30 | -7 | 29 |
| 15 | Al Minaa | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23:27 | -4 | 25 |
| 16 | Al Kahraba | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 24:33 | -9 | 21 |
| 17 | Naft Missan | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 26:39 | -13 | 21 |
| 18 | Baghdad | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 23:41 | -18 | 19 |
| 19 | Al Najaf | 23 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 15:41 | -26 | 9 |
| 20 | Al-Qassim | 23 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 7:52 | -45 | 2 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Stars League (Relegation)
Relegation
