Arenas Club de Getxo vs Real Madrid Castilla – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
10/01/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball possession
41%59%
Total shots
77
Shots on target
54
Corner kicks
53
Yellow cards
42
Total shots
77
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
23
Corner kicks
53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 1)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Mattheus C. ,
  • 29', 2 - 0, Diocou B. ,
  • 32', 3 - 0, Garcia P. ,
  • 42', 3 - 1, Yanez D. ,
  • 45+1', 4 - 1, Vizcay T. ,
  • 45+2', Verde A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 53', Sillero J. , Alvarez P. ,
  • 60', Martinez J. 🟨,
  • 60', Boriko S. 🟨,
  • 60', 🟨,
  • 65', Vizcay T. , Vazquez A. ,
  • 82', Vazquez A. 🟨,
  • 83', Diocou B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Arenas Club de Getxo
33%
Draw
30%
Real Madrid Castilla
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.9% 28.2% 35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1% 28.4% 35.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arenas Club de Getxo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenas Club de Getxo than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Arenas Club de Getxo - Real Madrid Castilla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.77
    (2.59)
    2.99
    (3.3)
    2.46
    (2.59)
    10.1%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
    • Recent performances by Arenas have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Real Madrid Castilla is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Arenas won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arenas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    Latest results of Arenas Club de Getxo
    Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife28186449:173260
    2Celta Vigo B28148643:35850
    3Ath Bilbao B28127930:30043
    4Barakaldo281110738:29943
    5Pontevedra271012532:201242
    6Zamora28119836:31542
    7Real Madrid B281261038:36242
    8Lugo281011727:27041
    9Racing Club Ferrol281251134:33141
    10Ponferradina281171028:23540
    11AD Merida281171037:38-140
    12Unionistas281081037:36138
    13Arenas Getxo271041331:38-734
    14Real Aviles28961340:48-833
    15Ourense CF28881231:33-232
    16Guadalajara28871330:41-1131
    17CF Talavera28861429:38-930
    18Cacereno286111126:37-1129
    19Arenteiro28671525:36-1125
    20Osasuna B28591418:33-1524

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
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