Arenas Club de Getxo vs Real Madrid Castilla – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
10/01/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball possession
41%59%
Total shots
77
Shots on target
54
Corner kicks
53
Yellow cards
42
Total shots
77
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
23
Corner kicks
53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 1)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Mattheus C. ,
  • 29', 2 - 0, Diocou B. ,
  • 32', 3 - 0, Garcia P. ,
  • 42', 3 - 1, Yanez D. ,
  • 45+1', 4 - 1, Vizcay T. ,
  • 45+2', Verde A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 53', Sillero J. , Alvarez P. ,
  • 60', Martinez J. 🟨,
  • 60', Boriko S. 🟨,
  • 60', 🟨,
  • 65', Vizcay T. , Vazquez A. ,
  • 82', Vazquez A. 🟨,
  • 83', Diocou B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Arenas Club de Getxo
33%
Draw
30%
Real Madrid Castilla
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.9% 28.2% 35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1% 28.4% 35.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arenas Club de Getxo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenas Club de Getxo than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Arenas Club de Getxo - Real Madrid Castilla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.77
    (2.59)
    2.99
    (3.3)
    2.46
    (2.59)
    10.1%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
    • Recent performances by Arenas have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Real Madrid Castilla is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Arenas won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arenas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    Latest results of Arenas Club de Getxo
    Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife31198451:183365
    2Celta Vigo B31159747:42554
    3Ponferradina311381035:251047
    4Barakaldo311211840:32847
    5Real Madrid B311371146:41546
    6Zamora311210942:37546
    7Pontevedra311113735:231246
    8Lugo311112830:30045
    9Unionistas311281144:42244
    10Ath Bilbao B311281133:35-244
    11AD Merida311281141:44-344
    12Arenas Getxo311351338:42-444
    13Racing Club Ferrol311261335:36-142
    14Real Aviles311071445:53-837
    15CF Talavera31981432:40-835
    16Guadalajara31981435:46-1135
    17Ourense CF318101332:35-334
    18Cacereno316131229:41-1231
    19Osasuna B31791523:37-1430
    20Arenteiro31681728:42-1426

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