Aretxabaleta vs Pasaia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
14/12/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 61', 1 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Aretxabaleta
45.6%
Draw
29.2%
Pasaia
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.5% 28.1% 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5% 26.9% 25.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aretxabaleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Pasaia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aretxabaleta than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pasaia than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Aretxabaleta - Pasaia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (2)
    3.12
    (3.23)
    3.61
    (3.44)
    9.9%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 12).
    • Aretxabaleta is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Pasaia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Pasaia has had a series of home games.
    • Aretxabaleta could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aretxabaleta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    • Including home match between the teams, Aretxabaleta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aretxabaleta - Pasaia were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Aretxabaleta - Pasaia 2:1
    Latest results of Aretxabaleta
    06.12.2025 Lagun Onak - Aretxabaleta 2:0
    23.11.2025 Aretxabaleta - Deusto 0:2
    16.11.2025 Portugalete - Aretxabaleta 3:2
    09.11.2025 Aretxabaleta - San Ignacio 0:0
    31.10.2025 Derio - Aretxabaleta 1:0
    Latest results of Pasaia
    06.12.2025 Pasaia - Zamudio 1:1
    22.11.2025 Santurtzi - Pasaia 1:3
    15.11.2025 Pasaia - Real Sociedad C 0:0
    08.11.2025 Pasaia - Zarautz KE 0:4
    25.10.2025 Pasaia - Deusto 0:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portugalete27214258:174167
    2Leioa27164740:251552
    3Touring KE27138636:261047
    4Lagun Onak27144941:261546
    5Derio27144945:311446
    6Aurrera de Vitoria27144935:31446
    7Alaves C27126944:311342
    8San Ignacio27126927:20742
    9UD Aretxabaleta271151144:44038
    10Durango2799929:28136
    11Real Sociedad C271131329:35-636
    12Santurtzi277101027:35-831
    13Pasaia27771320:32-1228
    14Eibar C27761430:43-1327
    15Anorga27831626:49-2327
    16Zamudio27751528:43-1526
    17Zarautz KE27641722:50-2822
    18SD Deusto27461718:33-1521

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