Arka Gdynia vs Cracovia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
04/10/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 11
  • Referee: Myc W. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
ukraineUkraineSport 1, Sport 3

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.080.80
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
814
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
73% (222/306)83% (423/510)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.080.80
xG on target (xGOT)
0.480.28
Total shots
814
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
38
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
413
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
723
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1620
Passes
73% (222/306)83% (423/510)
Long passes
30% (18/60)39% (21/54)
Passes in final third
57% (43/75)70% (86/122)
Crosses
31% (4/13)12% (3/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.660.64
Throw-ins
1313
Fouls
2016
Tackles
73% (8/11)50% (7/14)
Duels won
4453
Clearances
3012
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
0.280.48
Goals prevented
-0.72-1.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Kerk S. , Navarro M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Aleksic M. , Kameri D. ,
  • 60', Maigaard M. , Minchev M. ,
  • 78', 1 - 1, Kakabadze O. , Perkovic M. (A),
  • 78', Rusyn N. , Szysz P. ,
  • 81', Klich M. , Praszelik M. ,
  • 83', Henriksson G. 🟨,
  • 84', 2 - 1, Kerk S. ,
  • 90', Henriksson G. , Zahiroleslam K. ,
  • 90', Perkovic M. , Biedrzycki B. ,
  • 90', Espiau Hernandez E. D. , Sobczak S. ,
  • 90', Kerk S. , Sidibe A. ,
  • 90+3', Sutalo B. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Jakubczyk K. , Predenkiewicz M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Arka Gdynia
33.1%
Draw
32.1%
Cracovia
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.3% 28.1% 37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8% 27.7% 38%

Arka Gdynia - Cracovia Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.93
(2.7)
3.06
(3.3)
2.88
(2.47)
1.6%
(7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Arka Gdynia - Cracovia?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Arka (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Cracovia will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cracovia will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Arka (votes: 1 - 20%). Cracovia (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arka won 1.
    • Recent performances by Arka have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cracovia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Cracovia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Arka: Gojny D. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Cracovia: Glik K. (Knee Injury) Hasic A. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Arka won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 0.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arka won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.8:1).
    Latest results of Arka Gdynia
    Latest results of Cracovia
    27.09.2025 Cracovia - Górnik Zabrze 1:1
    19.09.2025 GKS Katowice - Cracovia 0:3
    04.09.2025 Cracovia - Polonia Bytom 0:0
    31.08.2025 Cracovia - Legia Warsaw 2:1
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Jagiellonia19105436:231335
    2Wisla Plock2089323:14933
    3Gornik Zabrze20103731:26533
    4Zaglebie2087533:27631
    5Cracovia2087527:22531
    6Rakow2093827:25230
    7Lech Poznan2078531:30129
    8Radomiak Radom1976635:30527
    9Korona Kielce2076724:22227
    10Piast Gliwice2075822:21126
    11GKS Katowice1982926:28-226
    12Lechia Gdansk2085741:39224
    13Motor Lublin2059626:33-724
    14Pogon Szczecin20641030:35-522
    15Arka Gdynia1964917:34-1722
    16Legia2048822:25-320
    17Widzew Lodz20621227:32-520
    18Termalica B-B20551025:37-1220

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1