Arka Gdynia vs Cracovia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
04/10/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 11
  • Referee: Myc W. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
ukraineUkraineSport 1, Sport 3

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.080.80
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
814
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
73% (222/306)83% (423/510)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.080.80
xG on target (xGOT)
0.480.28
Total shots
814
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
38
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
413
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
723
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1620
Passes
73% (222/306)83% (423/510)
Long passes
30% (18/60)39% (21/54)
Passes in final third
57% (43/75)70% (86/122)
Crosses
31% (4/13)12% (3/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.660.64
Throw-ins
1313
Fouls
2016
Tackles
73% (8/11)50% (7/14)
Duels won
4453
Clearances
3012
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
0.280.48
Goals prevented
-0.72-1.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Kerk S. , Navarro M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Aleksic M. , Kameri D. ,
  • 60', Maigaard M. , Minchev M. ,
  • 78', 1 - 1, Kakabadze O. , Perkovic M. (A),
  • 78', Rusyn N. , Szysz P. ,
  • 81', Klich M. , Praszelik M. ,
  • 83', Henriksson G. 🟨,
  • 84', 2 - 1, Kerk S. ,
  • 90', Henriksson G. , Zahiroleslam K. ,
  • 90', Perkovic M. , Biedrzycki B. ,
  • 90', Espiau Hernandez E. D. , Sobczak S. ,
  • 90', Kerk S. , Sidibe A. ,
  • 90+3', Sutalo B. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Jakubczyk K. , Predenkiewicz M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Arka Gdynia
33.1%
Draw
32.1%
Cracovia
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.3% 28.1% 37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8% 27.7% 38%

Arka Gdynia - Cracovia Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.93
(2.7)
3.06
(3.3)
2.88
(2.47)
1.6%
(7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Arka Gdynia - Cracovia?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cracovia (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Cracovia will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arka won 1.
    • Recent performances by Arka have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cracovia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Cracovia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Arka: Gojny D. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Cracovia: Glik K. (Knee Injury) Hasic A. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Arka won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 0.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arka won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.8:1).
    Latest results of Arka Gdynia
    Latest results of Cracovia
    27.09.2025 Cracovia - Górnik Zabrze 1:1
    19.09.2025 GKS Katowice - Cracovia 0:3
    04.09.2025 Cracovia - Polonia Bytom 0:0
    31.08.2025 Cracovia - Legia Warsaw 2:1
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla Plock1879221:12930
    2Gornik Zabrze1893629:24530
    3Rakow1792626:22429
    4Jagiellonia1684428:20828
    5Cracovia1876525:21427
    6Radomiak Radom1875635:30526
    7Lech Poznan1768329:26326
    8Zaglebie1767430:24625
    9Korona Kielce1866621:19224
    10Pogon Szczecin1863928:32-421
    11Arka Gdynia1863915:32-1721
    12Lechia Gdansk1874737:37020
    13Widzew Lodz18621026:28-220
    14GKS Katowice1762923:28-520
    15Motor Lublin1748522:27-520
    16Legia1747619:20-119
    17Termalica B-B1854924:35-1119
    18Piast Gliwice1645718:19-117

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1