Result
2:2
12/04/2026 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 28
- Referee: Arys K. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.75 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (284/372) | 76% (267/351) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.80 | 1.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (284/372) | 76% (267/351) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (14/50) | 44% (27/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (82/140) | 58% (48/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 32% (6/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.62 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 55% (11/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 70 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.36 | 2.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.64 | 0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 24', 1 - 0, Charpentier G. ⚽, Al Ammari A. (A),
- 29', 1 - 1, Kubiak O. ⚽, Kerk S. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Charpentier G. ↓, Praszelik M. ↑,
- 48', 1 - 2, Gutkovskis V. ⚽, Gojny D. (A),
- 53', 2 - 2, Perkovic M. ⚽, Hasic A. (A),
- 61', Kocyla D. ↓, Szysz P. ↑,
- 61', Kameri D. ↓, Dominguez M. ↑,
- 73', Nguiamba A. ↓, Perea L. ↑,
- 73', Kubiak O. ↓, Rusyn N. ↑,
- 74', Al Ammari A. 🟨,
- 81', Sans P. ↓, Tabisz M. ↑,
- 82', Perkovic M. ↓, Traore B. ↑,
- 82', Gutkovskis V. ↓, Espiau Hernandez E. D. ↑,
- 82', Jakubczyk K. ↓, Rzuchowski M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cracovia
50.4% | Draw
28.3% | Arka Gdynia
21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cracovia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Cracovia - Arka Gdynia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↑
(1.75) |
3.3 ↓
(3.38) |
4.4 ↑
(3.82) |
6.9%
(12.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cracovia - Arka Gdynia?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Cracovia will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Arka will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cracovia: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cracovia won 3.
- Cracovia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Arka has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Cracovia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Cracovia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Cracovia: Bogacz W.
(Broken collarbone)
Kakabadze O.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Sutalo B.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Cracovia won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cracovia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Cracovia won against Arka Gdynia?
Cracovia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arka Gdynia won against Cracovia?
Arka Gdynia has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cracovia - Arka Gdynia were as follows:
04.10.2025
Arka Gdynia
-
Cracovia
2:1
Latest results of Cracovia
Latest results of Arka Gdynia
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 49:40 | 9 | 46 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 42:33 | 9 | 44 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 44:35 | 9 | 43 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 40:33 | 7 | 43 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 29:26 | 3 | 42 |
| 6 | Rakow | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 37:35 | 2 | 40 |
| 7 | GKS Katowice | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 39:38 | 1 | 40 |
| 8 | Motor Lublin | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 37:40 | -3 | 39 |
| 9 | Lechia Gdansk | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 55:51 | 4 | 37 |
| 10 | Korona Kielce | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 36:34 | 2 | 37 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 33:33 | 0 | 37 |
| 12 | Piast Gliwice | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 34:36 | -2 | 35 |
| 13 | Legia | 28 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 33:32 | 1 | 34 |
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 43:42 | 1 | 34 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 30:47 | -17 | 34 |
| 16 | Pogon Szczecin | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 36:42 | -6 | 34 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 33:35 | -2 | 33 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 33:51 | -18 | 25 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
