Arka Gdynia vs Cracovia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
04/10/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 11
  • Referee: Myc W. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
ukraineUkraineSport 1, Sport 3

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.080.80
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
814
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
73% (222/306)83% (423/510)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.080.80
xG on target (xGOT)
0.480.28
Total shots
814
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
38
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
413
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
723
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1620
Passes
73% (222/306)83% (423/510)
Long passes
30% (18/60)39% (21/54)
Passes in final third
57% (43/75)70% (86/122)
Crosses
31% (4/13)12% (3/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.660.64
Throw-ins
1313
Fouls
2016
Tackles
73% (8/11)50% (7/14)
Duels won
4453
Clearances
3012
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
0.280.48
Goals prevented
-0.72-1.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Kerk S. , Navarro M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Aleksic M. , Kameri D. ,
  • 60', Maigaard M. , Minchev M. ,
  • 78', 1 - 1, Kakabadze O. , Perkovic M. (A),
  • 78', Rusyn N. , Szysz P. ,
  • 81', Klich M. , Praszelik M. ,
  • 83', Henriksson G. 🟨,
  • 84', 2 - 1, Kerk S. ,
  • 90', Henriksson G. , Zahiroleslam K. ,
  • 90', Perkovic M. , Biedrzycki B. ,
  • 90', Espiau Hernandez E. D. , Sobczak S. ,
  • 90', Kerk S. , Sidibe A. ,
  • 90+3', Sutalo B. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Jakubczyk K. , Predenkiewicz M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Arka Gdynia
33.1%
Draw
32.1%
Cracovia
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.3% 28.1% 37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8% 27.7% 38%

Arka Gdynia - Cracovia Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.93
(2.7)
3.06
(3.3)
2.88
(2.47)
1.6%
(7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Arka Gdynia - Cracovia?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cracovia (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Cracovia will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arka won 1.
    • Recent performances by Arka have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cracovia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Cracovia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Arka: Gojny D. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Cracovia: Glik K. (Knee Injury) Hasic A. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Arka won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 0.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arka won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.8:1).
    Latest results of Arka Gdynia
    Latest results of Cracovia
    27.09.2025 Cracovia - Górnik Zabrze 1:1
    19.09.2025 GKS Katowice - Cracovia 0:3
    13.09.2025 Wisła Płock - Cracovia Postponed
    04.09.2025 Cracovia - Polonia Bytom 0:0
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gornik Zabrze1592426:141229
    2Jagiellonia1483327:18927
    3Wisla Plock1475219:10926
    4Rakow1472520:18223
    5Radomiak Radom1564528:24422
    6Cracovia1464421:17422
    7Zaglebie1456327:18921
    8Lech Poznan1456323:23021
    9Korona Kielce1555517:16120
    10Arka Gdynia1553713:26-1318
    11Legia1445516:15117
    12Widzew Lodz1552822:23-117
    13GKS Katowice1552821:27-617
    14Pogon Szczecin1552821:27-617
    15Motor Lublin1437419:24-516
    16Lechia Gdansk1553725:32-713
    17Termalica B-B1534819:29-1013
    18Piast Gliwice1325613:16-311

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1