Arka Gdynia vs Lech Poznań – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Cup Arka Gdynia - Lech Poznań
Result
0:1
07/12/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • POLAND: POLISH CUP - 1/8-FINALS

Chances of winning


Arka Gdynia
25.5%
Draw
26.2%
Lech Poznań
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.6% 24.8% 55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9% 24.4% 54.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arka Gdynia's performance.
  • Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lech Poznań might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arka Gdynia that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lech Poznań could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Arka Gdynia - Lech Poznań Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.62
    (4.75)
    3.53
    (3.75)
    1.91
    (1.67)
    8.3%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Arka Gdynia - Lech Poznań?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Lech will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lech: 46.4%99%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Arka won 2.
    • Arka in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Lech is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Lech will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Arka won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-11.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Arka won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.
    Latest results of Arka Gdynia
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/64-finals
    1Warta PoznanOlimpia Elblag
    2S. WolaSkra
    3Polonia BytomZaglebie II
    4Grodzisk M. (WO.)Wisla Pulawy3 : 0
    5KS Wieczysta KrakowOl. Grudziadz
    6ChojniczankaBielsko-Biala
    7Swit SzczecinLKS Lodz II
    8KKS KaliszGKS Jastrzebie
    9PodbeskidzieR. Rzeszow
    10Hutnik KrakowZaglebie Sosnowiec