Lechia Gdańsk vs Arka Gdynia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Lechia Gdańsk - Arka Gdynia
24/08/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Lechia Gdańsk
43.4%
Draw
25.1%
Arka Gdynia
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.3% 25.1% 31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 25.5% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Lechia Gdańsk - Arka Gdynia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2.19)
    3.73
    (3.77)
    2.97
    (3)
    6.5%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 2.
    • Lechia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Arka's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Arka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Lechia might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:13. (average 1.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lechia won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 2.8:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lechia Gdańsk - Arka Gdynia were as follows:
    19.05.2024 Lechia Gdańsk - Arka Gdynia 2:1
    24.11.2023 Arka Gdynia - Lechia Gdańsk 1:0
    Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
    Latest results of Arka Gdynia
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla Plock54108:2613
    2Cracovia531111:8310
    3Gornik Zabrze53027:439
    4Jagiellonia430110:919
    5Legia42115:237
    6Radomiak Radom521210:827
    7Termalica B-B52128:627
    8Widzew Lodz52127:527
    9Lech Poznan42118:9-17
    10Rakow42026:7-16
    11Zaglebie41219:635
    12Korona Kielce51225:6-15
    13Motor Lublin41215:7-25
    14Arka Gdynia51224:7-35
    15GKS Katowice51137:10-34
    16Pogon Szczecin51137:12-54
    17Piast Gliwice30120:3-31
    18Lechia Gdansk502311:17-6-3

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1