Result
2:2
27/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 23
- Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Ukraine | Sport 1 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.99 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (189/301) | 60% (181/300) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (189/301) | 60% (181/300) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (19/72) | 26% (19/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (47/96) | 46% (58/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 55% (6/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.58 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 47 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.51 | -1.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Kubiak O. ⚽, Perea L. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', 2 - 0, Navarro M. ⚽, Hermoso K. (A),
- 54', 2 - 1, Sezonienko K. ⚽, Kapic R. (A),
- 57', 2 - 2, Zhelizko I. ⚽, Cirkovic A. (A),
- 67', Cirkovic A. ↓, Neugebauer T. ↑,
- 71', Espiau Hernandez E. D. ↓, Gutkovskis V. ↑,
- 77', Sezonienko K. ↓, Viunnyk B. ↑,
- 80', Jakubczyk K. ↓, Nguiamba A. ↑,
- 80', Navarro M. ↓, Kocyla D. ↑,
- 86', Rusyn N. ↓, Szysz P. ↑,
- 87', Kapic R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Arka Gdynia
29.5% | Draw
28.5% | Lechia Gdańsk
42% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Arka Gdynia - Lechia Gdańsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.16 ↑
(2.86) |
3.28 ↑
(3.11) |
2.24 ↑
(2.23) |
6.9%
(12%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Arka Gdynia - Lechia Gdańsk?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Arka will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Lechia will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lechia: 47.7% – 95.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lechia (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Arka (1.67) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Arka (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Lechia (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arka won 1.
- In recent matches, Lechia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Arka: Marcjanik M.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Arka won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:21. (average 1.1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arka won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Arka Gdynia won against Lechia Gdańsk?
Arka Gdynia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lechia Gdańsk won against Arka Gdynia?
Lechia Gdańsk has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arka Gdynia - Lechia Gdańsk were as follows:
24.08.2025
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Arka Gdynia
1:0
19.05.2024
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Arka Gdynia
2:1
24.11.2023
Arka Gdynia
-
Lechia Gdańsk
1:0
Latest results of Arka Gdynia
Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 37:27 | 10 | 38 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 40:34 | 6 | 38 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 33:31 | 2 | 34 |
| 5 | Rakow | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 31:29 | 2 | 34 |
| 6 | Cracovia | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 29:25 | 4 | 33 |
| 7 | Wisla Plock | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 33 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33:35 | -2 | 31 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27:26 | 1 | 30 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 30 |
| 11 | Motor Lublin | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 32:37 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Radomiak Radom | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 37:34 | 3 | 29 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 26:28 | -2 | 29 |
| 14 | Lechia Gdansk | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 46:45 | 1 | 28 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 21:38 | -17 | 26 |
| 16 | Legia | 23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 27:29 | -2 | 25 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 29:33 | -4 | 24 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
