Result
1:0
24/08/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 6
- Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (282/367) | 73% (247/337) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (282/367) | 73% (247/337) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (15/53) | 32% (20/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (72/124) | 51% (37/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.97 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 36 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.35 | -0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Hermoso K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', Jakubczyk K. 🟨,
- 62', Oliveira J. ↓, Sidibe A. ↑,
- 62', Vitalucci H. ↓, Kocyla D. ↑,
- 69', Mena C. 🟨,
- 70', Bobcek T. ↓, Kurminowski D. ↑,
- 70', Viunnyk B. ↓, Neugebauer T. ↑,
- 75', Kerk S. ↓, Nguiamba A. ↑,
- 75', Espiau Hernandez E. D. ↓, Percan ↑,
- 77', Sezonienko K. ↓, Awad M. ↑,
- 78', Percan 🟨,
- 85', 1 - 0, Kurminowski D. ⚽, Vojtko M. (A),
- 86', Kurminowski D. 🟨,
- 90+2', Kapic R. ↓, Glogowski M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lechia Gdańsk
46.2% | Draw
25.3% | Arka Gdynia
28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Lechia Gdańsk - Arka Gdynia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↓
(2.19) |
3.7 ↓
(3.77) |
3.26 ↑
(3) |
6.6%
(5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lechia Gdańsk - Arka Gdynia?
Users Predictions:
Lechia Gdańsk will win
(12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lechia Gdańsk will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 2.
- Lechia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Arka has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Arka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Lechia might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:13. (average 1.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lechia won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 2.8:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Lechia Gdańsk won against Arka Gdynia?
Lechia Gdańsk has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arka Gdynia won against Lechia Gdańsk?
Arka Gdynia has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lechia Gdańsk - Arka Gdynia were as follows:
19.05.2024
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Arka Gdynia
2:1
24.11.2023
Arka Gdynia
-
Lechia Gdańsk
1:0
Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
Latest results of Arka Gdynia
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 | 10 | 24 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:10 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Cracovia | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Wisla Plock | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Korona Kielce | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:18 | 2 | 19 |
| 7 | Zaglebie | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 24:17 | 7 | 16 |
| 8 | Widzew Lodz | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | Legia | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 10 | Radomiak Radom | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 22:22 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 | Rakow | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Pogon Szczecin | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 14 |
| 13 | Arka Gdynia | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7:19 | -12 | 12 |
| 14 | GKS Katowice | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 11 |
| 15 | Motor Lublin | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13:21 | -8 | 11 |
| 16 | Lechia Gdansk | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21:27 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | Termalica B-B | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 | Piast Gliwice | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
