Arka Gdynia vs Lechia Gdańsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
27/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 23
  • Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport, Ekstraklasa TV
ukraineUkraineSport 1
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
worldWorldSport 1 Baltic

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.331.99
Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
37
Big chances
16
Corner kicks
41
Passes
63% (189/301)60% (181/300)
Yellow cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.331.99
xG on target (xGOT)
0.931.49
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
45
Blocked shots
41
Shots inside the box
810
Shots outside the box
33
Hit the woodwork
31
Big chances
16
Corner kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
2029
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
25
Free kicks
139
Passes
63% (189/301)60% (181/300)
Long passes
26% (19/72)26% (19/73)
Passes in final third
49% (47/96)46% (58/125)
Crosses
25% (4/16)55% (6/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.661.58
Throw ins
2727
Fouls
913
Tackles
30% (3/10)60% (6/10)
Duels won
6348
Clearances
4735
Interceptions
74
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
42
xGOT faced
1.490.93
Goals prevented
-0.51-1.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Kubiak O. , Perea L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', 2 - 0, Navarro M. , Hermoso K. (A),
  • 54', 2 - 1, Sezonienko K. , Kapic R. (A),
  • 57', 2 - 2, Zhelizko I. , Cirkovic A. (A),
  • 67', Cirkovic A. , Neugebauer T. ,
  • 71', Espiau Hernandez E. D. , Gutkovskis V. ,
  • 77', Sezonienko K. , Viunnyk B. ,
  • 80', Jakubczyk K. , Nguiamba A. ,
  • 80', Navarro M. , Kocyla D. ,
  • 86', Rusyn N. , Szysz P. ,
  • 87', Kapic R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Arka Gdynia
29.5%
Draw
28.5%
Lechia Gdańsk
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.2% 28.7% 40.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Arka Gdynia - Lechia Gdańsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.16
    (2.86)
    3.28
    (3.11)
    2.24
    (2.23)
    6.9%
    (12%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Arka Gdynia - Lechia Gdańsk?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Arka will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Lechia will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lechia: 47.7%95.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lechia (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Arka (1.67) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Arka (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Lechia (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arka won 1.
    • In recent matches, Lechia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Arka: Marcjanik M. (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Arka won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:21. (average 1.1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arka won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arka Gdynia - Lechia Gdańsk were as follows:
    24.08.2025 Lechia Gdańsk - Arka Gdynia 1:0
    19.05.2024 Lechia Gdańsk - Arka Gdynia 2:1
    24.11.2023 Arka Gdynia - Lechia Gdańsk 1:0
    Latest results of Arka Gdynia
    Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lech Poznan26128646:37944
    2Zaglebie26118740:301041
    3Jagiellonia26118743:34941
    4Gornik Zabrze26116936:32439
    5Wisla Plock26109728:25339
    6Rakow261151035:33238
    7Motor Lublin26910735:38-337
    8Korona Kielce261061033:29436
    9Cracovia2699831:28336
    10GKS Katowice261131235:35036
    11Piast Gliwice261051132:33-135
    12Lechia Gdansk26116951:48334
    13Pogon Szczecin261041236:40-434
    14Radomiak Radom2689942:40233
    15Legia26612830:31-130
    16Arka Gdynia26861225:44-1930
    17Widzew Lodz26851331:34-329
    18Termalica B-B26571430:48-1822

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1