Arouca vs Estoril Praia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal Arouca - Estoril Praia
16/03/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 26
  • Referee: Rodrigues A. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
portugalPortugalSport TV1
romaniaRomaniaAntenaPLAY
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 9

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.822.20
Ball Possession
37%63%
Goal Attempts
312
Shots on Goal
13
Shots off Goal
14
Blocked Shots
15
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
34
Shots inside the Box
27
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
01
Goalkeeper Saves
20
Free Kicks
1414
Offsides
53
Fouls
1414
Yellow Cards
01
Throw-ins
2630
Touches in the Opposition Box
723
Passes
64% (184/287)83% (424/512)
Passes in the final third
41% (31/75)67% (93/139)
Crosses
18% (2/11)8% (1/12)
Tackles
71% (17/24)65% (11/17)
Clearances Total
2424
Interceptions
167

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Sylla M. ,
  • 23', Simao D. , Pedro Santos ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 55', Nandin D. , Araujo H. ,
  • 66', Alvaro P. , Costa G. ,
  • 66', Begraoui Y. , Marques A. ,
  • 67', Holsgrove J. 🟨,
  • 79', Trezza A. , Puche ,
  • 79', Tiago Esgaio , Yalcin G. ,
  • 79', Sylla M. , Mansilla B. ,
  • 80', Xeka , Jandro ,
  • 80', Pina W. , Carvalho P. ,
  • 85', Guitane R. , Salazar I. P. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 1, Marques A. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Arouca
48.8%
Draw
27.1%
Estoril Praia
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.3% 27.1% 24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2% 28.7% 23.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arouca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Arouca - Estoril Praia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (1.96)
    3.47
    (3.5)
    3.9
    (3.84)
    6.3%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Arouca - Estoril Praia?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Arouca will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Estoril will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Estoril: 25.1%83.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 8).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Arouca won 3.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Arouca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Arouca will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Arouca: Galovic N. (Knee Injury) Gozalbez P. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Estoril: Boma K. (Yellow Cards)
    • Last 19 head-to-head matches Arouca won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 24:27 (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Arouca won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:10 (average 1.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arouca - Estoril Praia were as follows:
    26.10.2024 Estoril Praia - Arouca 4:1
    20.01.2024 Estoril Praia - Arouca 1:2
    13.08.2023 Arouca - Estoril Praia 4:3
    15.05.2023 Estoril Praia - Arouca 2:0
    07.01.2023 Arouca - Estoril Praia 2:0
    Latest results of Arouca
    08.03.2025 AVS - Arouca 0:1
    01.03.2025 Arouca - Porto 0:2
    23.02.2025 Arouca - Farense 2:2
    15.02.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Arouca 2:2
    10.02.2025 Arouca - Rio Ave 1:1
    Latest results of Estoril Praia
    08.03.2025 Estoril Praia - Farense 2:2
    22.02.2025 Estoril Praia - Rio Ave 2:1
    15.02.2025 Nacional - Estoril Praia 2:2
    09.02.2025 Estoril Praia - Boavista 2:1
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting CP330012:1119
    2FC Porto33009:099
    3Moreirense33005:149
    4Famalicao32104:047
    5Braga22006:066
    6Benfica22004:046
    7Gil Vicente31112:204
    8Arouca31116:10-44
    9Vitoria Guimaraes31023:7-43
    10Casa Pia31022:6-43
    11Rio Ave20204:402
    12Estrela20111:2-11
    13Estoril20113:4-11
    14Nacional30122:7-51
    15Santa Clara20020:4-40
    16Alverca20021:5-40
    17AFS20021:5-40
    18Tondela30030:7-70

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