Result
16/03/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 26
- Referee: Rodrigues A. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Georgia | Silk Sport 1 |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Romania | AntenaPLAY |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 9 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.82 | 2.20 |
Ball Possession |
---|
37% | 63% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
3 | 12 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
1 | 3 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
1 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
2 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
1 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 14 |
Offsides |
---|
5 | 3 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 14 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Throw-ins |
---|
26 | 30 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
---|
7 | 23 |
Passes |
---|
64% (184/287) | 83% (424/512) |
Passes in the final third |
---|
41% (31/75) | 67% (93/139) |
Crosses |
---|
18% (2/11) | 8% (1/12) |
Tackles |
---|
71% (17/24) | 65% (11/17) |
Clearances Total |
---|
24 | 24 |
Interceptions |
---|
16 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Sylla M. ⚽,
- 23', Simao D. ↓, Pedro Santos ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', Nandin D. ↓, Araujo H. ↑,
- 66', Alvaro P. ↓, Costa G. ↑,
- 66', Begraoui Y. ↓, Marques A. ↑,
- 67', Holsgrove J. 🟨,
- 79', Trezza A. ↓, Puche ↑,
- 79', Tiago Esgaio ↓, Yalcin G. ↑,
- 79', Sylla M. ↓, Mansilla B. ↑,
- 80', Xeka ↓, Jandro ↑,
- 80', Pina W. ↓, Carvalho P. ↑,
- 85', Guitane R. ↓, Salazar I. P. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 1, Marques A. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Arouca 48.8% | Draw 27.1% | Estoril Praia 24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arouca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Arouca - Estoril Praia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.93 ↓ (1.96) |
3.47 ↓ (3.5) |
3.9 ↑ (3.84) |
6.3% (5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Arouca - Estoril Praia?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Arouca will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Estoril will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estoril: 25.1% – 83.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 8).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Arouca won 3.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Arouca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Arouca will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Arouca: Galovic N.
(Knee Injury)
Gozalbez P.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Estoril: Boma K.
(Yellow Cards)
- Last 19 head-to-head matches Arouca won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 24:27 (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Arouca won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:10 (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Arouca won against Estoril Praia?
Arouca has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estoril Praia won against Arouca?
Estoril Praia has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arouca - Estoril Praia were as follows:
26.10.2024
Estoril Praia
-
Arouca
4:1
20.01.2024
Estoril Praia
-
Arouca
1:2
13.08.2023
Arouca
-
Estoril Praia
4:3
15.05.2023
Estoril Praia
-
Arouca
2:0
07.01.2023
Arouca
-
Estoril Praia
2:0
Latest results of Estoril Praia
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Estrela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Estoril | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Gil Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Rio Ave | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Santa Clara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Moreirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | FC Porto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Sporting CP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Nacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Arouca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Casa Pia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Tondela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Alverca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Famalicao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | AFS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2