Result
16/03/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 26
- Referee: Rodrigues A. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 9 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 2.20 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 30 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 7 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (184/287) | 83% (424/512) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 41% (31/75) | 67% (93/139) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 8% (1/12) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (17/24) | 65% (11/17) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 24 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Sylla M. ⚽,
- 23', Simao D. ↓, Pedro Santos ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', Nandin D. ↓, Araujo H. ↑,
- 66', Alvaro P. ↓, Costa G. ↑,
- 66', Begraoui Y. ↓, Marques A. ↑,
- 67', Holsgrove J. 🟨,
- 79', Trezza A. ↓, Puche ↑,
- 79', Tiago Esgaio ↓, Yalcin G. ↑,
- 79', Sylla M. ↓, Mansilla B. ↑,
- 80', Xeka ↓, Jandro ↑,
- 80', Pina W. ↓, Carvalho P. ↑,
- 85', Guitane R. ↓, Salazar I. P. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 1, Marques A. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Arouca
48.8% | Draw
27.1% | Estoril Praia
24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arouca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Arouca - Estoril Praia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↓
(1.96) |
3.47 ↓
(3.5) |
3.9 ↑
(3.84) |
6.3%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Arouca - Estoril Praia?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Arouca will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Estoril will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estoril: 25.1% – 83.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 8).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Arouca won 3.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Arouca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Arouca will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Arouca: Galovic N.
(Knee Injury)
Gozalbez P.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Estoril: Boma K.
(Yellow Cards)
- Last 19 head-to-head matches Arouca won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 24:27 (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Arouca won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:10 (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Arouca won against Estoril Praia?
Arouca has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estoril Praia won against Arouca?
Estoril Praia has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arouca - Estoril Praia were as follows:
26.10.2024
Estoril Praia
-
Arouca
4:1
20.01.2024
Estoril Praia
-
Arouca
1:2
13.08.2023
Arouca
-
Estoril Praia
4:3
15.05.2023
Estoril Praia
-
Arouca
2:0
07.01.2023
Arouca
-
Estoril Praia
2:0
Latest results of Estoril Praia
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 23:5 | 18 | 22 |
| 3 | Benfica | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 18:4 | 14 | 21 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:4 | 10 | 19 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
| 6 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
| 7 | Braga | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16:8 | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Rio Ave | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13:14 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Santa Clara | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 | Nacional | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
| 11 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 | Arouca | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:24 | -14 | 9 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 |
| 15 | Estrela | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 | Estoril | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 | Tondela | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4:17 | -13 | 5 |
| 18 | AFS | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5:22 | -17 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
