Result
1:1
30/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 4
- Referee: Correia G. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, Free |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 6 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (347/429) | 79% (284/359) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.61 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (347/429) | 79% (284/359) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (23/60) | 34% (15/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (57/100) | 61% (34/56) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 100% (8/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.39 | -0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 31', 1 - 0, Gustavo ⚽,
- 34', 1 - 1, Djouahra N. ⚽, Trezza A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 54', Rivas Viondi O. 🟨,
- 57', Nogueira G. 🟨,
- 60', Nogueira G. ↓, Tiago Silva ↑,
- 61', Beni ↓, Mitrovic M. ↑,
- 66', Simao D. ↓, Pedro Santos ↑,
- 67', Oliveira N. 🟨,
- 71', Arcanjo T. ↓, Santos N. ↑,
- 71', Oliveira N. ↓, Ndoye A. ↑,
- 77', Lee H. ↓, Gozalbez P. ↑,
- 77', Djouahra N. ↓, Puche ↑,
- 77', Nogueira M. ↓, Felix V. ↑,
- 79', Tiago Esgaio 🟨,
- 82', Nandin D. ↓, Barbero I. ↑,
- 82', Trezza A. ↓, Mansilla B. ↑,
- 85', Rocha M. 🟨,
- 86', Tiago Silva 🟨,
- 90+4', Fontan J. 🟨,
- 90+6', Puche 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vitoria Guimarães
48.1% | Draw
27.2% | Arouca
24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vitoria Guimarães's form might have worsened.Arouca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arouca's recent form is better than expected.
Vitoria Guimarães - Arouca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↑
(1.63) |
3.48 ↓
(3.6) |
3.89 ↓
(4.75) |
5.7%
(10.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vitoria Guimarães - Arouca?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Guimarães (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Vitoria Guimarães will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guimarães won 3.
- Guimarães has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- In this match, Guimarães is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Guimarães: Rivas Viondi O.
(Injury)
Samu
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Arouca: Barbero I.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guimarães won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:23. (average 1.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guimarães won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Vitoria Guimarães won against Arouca?
Vitoria Guimarães has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arouca won against Vitoria Guimarães?
Arouca has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitoria Guimarães - Arouca were as follows:
18.01.2025
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Arouca
2:2
12.08.2024
Arouca
-
Vitoria Guimarães
0:1
18.05.2024
Arouca
-
Vitoria Guimarães
1:3
15.01.2024
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Arouca
2:1
11.03.2023
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Arouca
0:2
Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 21 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19:4 | 15 | 18 |
| 3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Alverca | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | Nacional | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 | Braga | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 9 |
| 11 | Santa Clara | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 | Arouca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:18 | -9 | 8 |
| 14 | Estrela | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | Estoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8:13 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Tondela | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 5 |
| 18 | AFS | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:20 | -15 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
