Result
2:2
18/01/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 18
- Referee: Nogueira M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Sportklub 4 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free |
 Montenegro | Sportklub 4 |
 North-macedonia | Sportklub 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Serbia | SportKlub 4 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 35 | 26 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 27 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (351/423) | 81% (314/387) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 68% (65/96) | 67% (71/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (5/24) | 6% (1/18) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 63% (12/19) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 46 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Dieu M. ⚽, Tiago Silva (A),
- 40', 2 - 0, Santos N. ⚽, Kaio Cesar (A),
- 45', Kaio Cesar 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Jason ↓, Sylla M. ↑,
- 56', 2 - 1, Tiago Esgaio ⚽,
- 58', Yalcin G. ↓, Nandin D. ↑,
- 58', Pedro Santos ↓, Fukui T. ↑,
- 66', Tiago Silva ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 2, Lamba C. ⚽,
- 75', Trezza A. ↓, Puche ↑,
- 76', Santos N. ↓, Oliveira N. ↑,
- 80', Weverson 🟨,
- 81', Samu ↓, Arcanjo T. ↑,
- 81', Ze Carlos ↓, Cruz M. ↑,
- 85', Mantl N. 🟨,
- 90', Gozalbez P. ↓, Araujo H. ↑,
- 90+1', Nandin D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vitoria Guimarães
58.7% | Draw
25.2% | Arouca
16% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Arouca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Vitoria Guimarães - Arouca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↑
(1.58) |
3.75 ↓
(3.95) |
5.87 ↑
(5.79) |
5.9%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vitoria Guimarães - Arouca?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Guimarães will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Arouca will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guimarães: 38.8% – 86.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Guimarães won 3.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Guimarães could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Guimarães is a favorite.
- There will not play in Guimarães: Mendes J.
(Yellow Cards)
Oliveira N.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Arouca: Busquets O.
(Injury)
Fontan J.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Guimarães: Gaspar B.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Arouca: Galovic N.
(Knee Injury)
Kouassi E.
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 19 head-to-head matches Guimarães won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 27:21 (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Guimarães won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1.1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Vitoria Guimarães won against Arouca?
Vitoria Guimarães has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arouca won against Vitoria Guimarães?
Arouca has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitoria Guimarães - Arouca were as follows:
12.08.2024
Arouca
-
Vitoria Guimarães
0:1
18.05.2024
Arouca
-
Vitoria Guimarães
1:3
15.01.2024
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Arouca
2:1
11.03.2023
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Arouca
0:2
18.09.2022
Arouca
-
Vitoria Guimarães
2:2
Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estrela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Estoril | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Rio Ave | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Santa Clara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | FC Porto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Sporting CP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Nacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Arouca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Tondela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Alverca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Famalicao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | AFS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
