Arua Hill vs UPDF – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
24/11/2023 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • UGANDA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 8

Chances of winning


Arua Hill
36.7%
Draw
29.9%
UPDF
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.7% 24.8% 39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2% 24.4% 40.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arua Hill has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • UPDF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UPDF might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arua Hill than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for UPDF than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UPDF could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Arua Hill - UPDF Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.48
    (2.55)
    3.05
    (3.68)
    2.72
    (2.31)
    10%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 10).
    • Arua Hill has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches UPDF is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Arua Hill won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Arua Hill won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arua Hill - UPDF were as follows:
    04.04.2023 UPDF - Arua Hill 3:1
    04.11.2022 Arua Hill - UPDF 3:0
    Latest results of Arua Hill
    09.11.2023 Villa - Arua Hill 3:1
    25.10.2023 Mbarara City - Arua Hill 1:0
    20.10.2023 Arua Hill - Entebbe UPPC 0:1
    01.10.2023 Arua Hill - Bul 1:2
    Latest results of UPDF
    09.11.2023 UPDF - Bul 2:0
    01.11.2023 Busoga United - UPDF 0:2
    27.10.2023 UPDF - Express 1:1
    20.10.2023 NEC FC - UPDF 2:0
    29.09.2023 UPDF - Wakiso Giants 0:2
    Ugandan Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vipers26178149:163359
    2Kitara26166438:152354
    3Kampala City26164637:201752
    4Villa26156538:142451
    5NEC FC261112326:161045
    6Police26135839:31844
    7Entebbe UPPC26127723:19443
    8BUL26971029:28134
    9Maroons26810825:21434
    10Express26791023:27-430
    11URA SC26413922:28-625
    12Lugazi26581319:34-1523
    13UPDF26561522:35-1321
    14Mbarara City26491321:39-1821
    15Buhimba26431916:56-4015
    16Calvary26271710:38-2813

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Big League