Astana vs Bačka Topola – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League
Football UEFA Europa Conference League Astana - Bačka Topola
Result
1:0
03/10/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Reitala O. (Fin)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 6, Moja TV
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandElisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 14
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
montenegroMontenegroArena Premium 1
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaArena Premium 1
norwayNorwayViaplay
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1, Arena Premium 3
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 17
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 14
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK
usaUsaParamount+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.841.31
Ball Possession
34%66%
Goal Attempts
925
Shots on Goal
34
Shots off Goal
412
Blocked Shots
29
Free Kicks
919
Corner Kicks
32
Offsides
60
Goalkeeper Saves
42
Fouls
95
Yellow Cards
12
Total Passes
345669
Completed Passes
265569
Crosses Completed
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', Jovanovic S. 🟨,
  • 15', 1 - 0, Kazukolovas K. ⚽, Vorogovskiy Y. (A),
  • 39', Radin M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 69', Djakovac I. ↓, Mboungou V. ↑,
  • 72', Geoffrey C. ↓, Karimov R. ↑,
  • 78', Banjac M. ↓, Sos B. ↑,
  • 84', Gripshi N. ↓, Kuat I. ↑,
  • 84', Cirkovic A. ↓, Lazetic M. ↑,
  • 86', Karimov R. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Camara O. ↓, Astanov E. ↑,
  • 90+1', Tomasov M. ↓, Ahanonu N. F. ↑,

Chances of winning


Astana
55.6%		Draw
24.9%		Bačka Topola
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.7% 26.1% 21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5% 25.2% 20.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Bačka Topola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astana than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bačka Topola than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
    •

    Astana - Bačka Topola Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.69 ↓
    (1.77)    		 3.78 ↑
    (3.58)    		 4.8 ↑
    (4.4)    		 6.5%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Astana - Bačka Topola?
  • Users Predictions: Astana will win (62 of 67 users predict this - 92.54%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 86.25% – 98.83%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Astana in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Bačka Topola is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Astana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Astana is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Astana to win the game is with odds 1.7.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Astana
    29.09.2024 Zhenis - Astana 1:1 ✺
    25.09.2024 Astana - Yelimay Semey 1:0
    22.09.2024 Ordabasy - Astana 2:4
    18.09.2024 Kaisar - Astana 0:1 ✺
    14.09.2024 Astana - Kyzylzhar 2:1
    Latest results of Bačka Topola
    28.09.2024 Čukarički - Bačka Topola 1:2
    21.09.2024 Bačka Topola - Novi Pazar 5:2 ✺
    15.09.2024 Tekstilac Odžaci - Bačka Topola 2:1 ✺
    01.09.2024 Bačka Topola - Mladost Lučani 1:2 ✺
    29.08.2024 Bačka Topola - Maccabi Tel Aviv 1:5 ✺
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fiorentina22005:056
    2AEK Larnaca22005:056
    3Celje22005:146
    4Lausanne22004:046
    5Samsunspor22004:046
    6Mainz22002:026
    7Rayo Vallecano21104:224
    8Rakow21103:124
    9Strasbourg21103:214
    10Jagiellonia21102:114
    11Noah21102:114
    12AEK Athens FC21017:343
    13Zrinjski21015:143
    14Lech Poznan21015:323
    15Sparta Prague21014:223
    16Crystal Palace21012:113
    17Shakhtar Donetsk21014:403
    18Legia21012:203
    19Rijeka21011:103
    20Shkendija21011:2-13
    21AZ Alkmaar21011:4-33
    22Lincoln Red Imps21012:6-43
    23Drita20202:202
    24Hacken20202:202
    25KuPS20201:102
    26Omonia20111:2-11
    27Shelbourne20110:1-11
    28Sigma Olomouc20111:3-21
    29Univ. Craiova20111:3-21
    30Breidablik20110:3-31
    31Slovan Bratislava20021:3-20
    32Hamrun20020:2-20
    33Shamrock Rovers20021:6-50
    34Dyn. Kyiv20020:5-50
    35SK Rapid20021:7-60
    36Aberdeen20022:9-70

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