Cuiabá vs Athletic Club – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
28/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 29
  • Referee: Lima Barbosa M. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.301.18
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
76
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
84% (305/362)84% (350/417)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
1.301.18
xG on target (xGOT)
1.112.07
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
79
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
1520
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1618
Passes
84% (305/362)84% (350/417)
Long passes
56% (22/39)41% (20/49)
Passes in final third
55% (41/74)60% (37/62)
Crosses
20% (3/15)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.260.26
Throw-ins
1020
Fouls
1816
Tackles
46% (6/13)67% (2/3)
Duels won
4647
Clearances
1218
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
2.071.11
Goals prevented
1.07-0.89

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 21', 0 - 1, David Braga ,
  • 33', Wesley Gasolina 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 1, Bruno Alves ,
  • 37', Jader 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', Alan Empereur , Sander ,
  • 58', Da Cruz A. , Welinton Torrao ,
  • 58', Neto Costa , Tavares R. ,
  • 58', Alason Carioca , Rodrigo Gelado ,
  • 67', Jader , Juan Christian ,
  • 68', Carlos Alberto , Nathan Cruz ,
  • 69', 2 - 1, Juan Christian , Max Alves (A),
  • 71', Juan Christian 🟨,
  • 77', De Lucca , Lucas Mineiro ,
  • 77', David Miguel , Guilherme Mariano ,
  • 80', Fabricio Isidoro , Chico Geraldes ,
  • 80', Yuri , Guilherme Cachoeira ,
  • 90+2', Martinez A. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Matheusinho 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cuiabá
57.3%
Draw
26.6%
Athletic Club
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.6% 27.7% 22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6% 27.2% 22.2%

Cuiabá - Athletic Club Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.66
(1.87)
3.51
(3.35)
5.74
(4.1)
6.2%
(7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cuiabá - Athletic Club?
  • Users Predictions: Cuiabá will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 15).
    • Cuiabá is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Athletic has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Cuiabá may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Cuiabá is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Cuiabá: Alisson Safira (Yellow Cards) Asad Y. (Injury) Denilson Alves (Yellow Cards) Mateus Pasinato (Inactive) Nathan Pelae (Injury)
    • There will not play in Athletic: Edson Miranda (Inactive) Luiz Filipe (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Athletic: Joao Miguel (Injury) Max (Inactive)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cuiabá won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cuiabá - Athletic Club were as follows:
    31.05.2025 Athletic Club - Cuiabá 0:2
    Latest results of Cuiabá
    24.09.2025 Vila Nova - Cuiabá 2:2
    21.09.2025 Cuiabá - Chapecoense 1:0
    08.09.2025 Cuiabá - CRB Maceio 1:0
    01.09.2025 Ferroviária - Cuiabá 2:2
    Latest results of Athletic Club
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba381911839:231668
    2Athletico-PR381981153:431065
    3Chapecoense-SC381881252:351762
    4Remo381614851:391262
    5Criciuma3817101147:331461
    6Goias3817101142:37561
    7Novorizontino381515843:321160
    8CRB381681445:40556
    9Avai3814141050:401056
    10Cuiaba3814121243:44-154
    11Atletico GO3813131239:38152
    12Operario-PR3812121440:44-448
    13Vila Nova FC3811141340:44-447
    14America MG3812101641:44-346
    15Athletic Club381281843:53-1044
    16Botafogo SP3810121632:52-2042
    17Ferroviaria388161443:52-940
    18Amazonas388121838:55-1736
    19Volta Redonda388121826:43-1736
    20Paysandu PA385132036:52-1628

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