Result
2:1
28/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 29
- Referee: Lima Barbosa M. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.18 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (305/362) | 84% (350/417) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 2.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (305/362) | 84% (350/417) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (22/39) | 41% (20/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (41/74) | 60% (37/62) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 67% (2/3) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
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| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.07 | 1.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.07 | -0.89 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 21', 0 - 1, David Braga ⚽,
- 33', Wesley Gasolina 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 1, Bruno Alves ⚽,
- 37', Jader 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', Alan Empereur ↓, Sander ↑,
- 58', Da Cruz A. ↓, Welinton Torrao ↑,
- 58', Neto Costa ↓, Tavares R. ↑,
- 58', Alason Carioca ↓, Rodrigo Gelado ↑,
- 67', Jader ↓, Juan Christian ↑,
- 68', Carlos Alberto ↓, Nathan Cruz ↑,
- 69', 2 - 1, Juan Christian ⚽, Max Alves (A),
- 71', Juan Christian 🟨,
- 77', De Lucca ↓, Lucas Mineiro ↑,
- 77', David Miguel ↓, Guilherme Mariano ↑,
- 80', Fabricio Isidoro ↓, Chico Geraldes ↑,
- 80', Yuri ↓, Guilherme Cachoeira ↑,
- 90+2', Martinez A. 🟨,
- 90+5', Matheusinho 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cuiabá
57.3% | Draw
26.6% | Athletic Club
16.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cuiabá's performance.Athletic Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Athletic Club might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cuiabá that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Athletic Club could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cuiabá - Athletic Club Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↓
(1.87) |
3.51 ↑
(3.35) |
5.74 ↑
(4.1) |
6.2%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cuiabá - Athletic Club?
Users Predictions:
Cuiabá will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 15).
- Cuiabá is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Athletic has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Cuiabá may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Cuiabá is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Cuiabá: Alisson Safira
(Yellow Cards)
Asad Y.
(Injury)
Denilson Alves
(Yellow Cards)
Mateus Pasinato
(Inactive)
Nathan Pelae
(Injury)
- There will not play in Athletic: Edson Miranda
(Inactive)
Luiz Filipe
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Athletic: Joao Miguel
(Injury)
Max
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cuiabá won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Cuiabá won against Athletic Club?
Cuiabá has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Club won against Cuiabá?
Athletic Club has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cuiabá - Athletic Club were as follows:
31.05.2025
Athletic Club
-
Cuiabá
0:2
Latest results of Athletic Club
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 32:19 | 13 | 53 |
| 2 | Criciuma | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 39:26 | 13 | 50 |
| 3 | Goias | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 34:26 | 8 | 50 |
| 4 | Athletico-PR | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 43:36 | 7 | 48 |
| 5 | Novorizontino | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 32:26 | 6 | 47 |
| 6 | Cuiaba | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 37:34 | 3 | 46 |
| 7 | Chapecoense-SC | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 41:30 | 11 | 44 |
| 8 | CRB | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 34:30 | 4 | 43 |
| 9 | Remo | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 33:28 | 5 | 42 |
| 10 | Atletico GO | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 42 |
| 11 | Avai | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 36:33 | 3 | 40 |
| 12 | Operario-PR | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 31:28 | 3 | 39 |
| 13 | Vila Nova FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 30:32 | -2 | 39 |
| 14 | Ferroviaria | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 33:36 | -3 | 36 |
| 15 | America MG | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 29:35 | -6 | 33 |
| 16 | Athletic Club | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 32:42 | -10 | 33 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 19:31 | -12 | 30 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 25:46 | -21 | 29 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 31:46 | -15 | 28 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 26:36 | -10 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
