Cuiabá vs Athletic Club – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Cuiabá - Athletic Club
Result
2:1
28/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 29
  • Referee: Lima Barbosa M. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.301.18
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
76
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
84% (305/362)84% (350/417)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
1.301.18
xG on target (xGOT)
1.112.07
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
79
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
1520
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1618
Passes
84% (305/362)84% (350/417)
Long passes
56% (22/39)41% (20/49)
Passes in final third
55% (41/74)60% (37/62)
Crosses
20% (3/15)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.260.26
Throw-ins
1020
Fouls
1816
Tackles
46% (6/13)67% (2/3)
Duels won
4647
Clearances
1218
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
2.071.11
Goals prevented
1.07-0.89

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 21', 0 - 1, David Braga ,
  • 33', Wesley Gasolina 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 1, Bruno Alves ,
  • 37', Jader 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', Alan Empereur , Sander ,
  • 58', Da Cruz A. , Welinton Torrao ,
  • 58', Neto Costa , Tavares R. ,
  • 58', Alason Carioca , Rodrigo Gelado ,
  • 67', Jader , Juan Christian ,
  • 68', Carlos Alberto , Nathan Cruz ,
  • 69', 2 - 1, Juan Christian , Max Alves (A),
  • 71', Juan Christian 🟨,
  • 77', De Lucca , Lucas Mineiro ,
  • 77', David Miguel , Guilherme Mariano ,
  • 80', Fabricio Isidoro , Chico Geraldes ,
  • 80', Yuri , Guilherme Cachoeira ,
  • 90+2', Martinez A. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Matheusinho 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cuiabá
57.3%
Draw
26.6%
Athletic Club
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.6% 27.7% 22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6% 27.2% 22.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cuiabá's performance.
  • Athletic Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Athletic Club might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cuiabá that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Athletic Club could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Cuiabá - Athletic Club Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.87)
    3.51
    (3.35)
    5.74
    (4.1)
    6.2%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Cuiabá - Athletic Club?
  • Users Predictions: Cuiabá will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 15).
    • Cuiabá is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Athletic has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Cuiabá may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Cuiabá is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Cuiabá: Alisson Safira (Yellow Cards) Asad Y. (Injury) Denilson Alves (Yellow Cards) Mateus Pasinato (Inactive) Nathan Pelae (Injury)
    • There will not play in Athletic: Edson Miranda (Inactive) Luiz Filipe (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Athletic: Joao Miguel (Injury) Max (Inactive)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cuiabá won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cuiabá - Athletic Club were as follows:
    31.05.2025 Athletic Club - Cuiabá 0:2
    Latest results of Cuiabá
    24.09.2025 Vila Nova - Cuiabá 2:2
    21.09.2025 Cuiabá - Chapecoense 1:0
    08.09.2025 Cuiabá - CRB Maceio 1:0
    01.09.2025 Ferroviária - Cuiabá 2:2
    Latest results of Athletic Club
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba34179835:211460
    2Remo341512745:331257
    3Goias341510939:33655
    4Novorizontino341413737:28955
    5Chapecoense-SC331661147:321554
    6Criciuma341591044:321254
    7Athletico-PR331481145:42350
    8Cuiaba3413111041:40150
    9CRB331461339:34548
    10Avai3412121043:36748
    11Atletico GO331212936:33348
    12Vila Nova FC3311101232:34-243
    13Operario-PR331191334:37-342
    14America MG341181537:40-341
    15Ferroviaria338141138:44-638
    16Athletic Club341071738:49-1137
    17Botafogo SP348111530:50-2035
    18Volta Redonda348101623:37-1434
    19Amazonas337111533:48-1532
    20Paysandu PA345121731:44-1327

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