Athletico Paranaense vs Athletic Club – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Athletico Paranaense - Athletic Club
Result
1:0
24/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.620.41
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
127
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
82% (290/355)83% (384/461)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
0.620.41
xG on target (xGOT)
0.450.12
Total shots
127
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
50
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
1714
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1522
Passes
82% (290/355)83% (384/461)
Long passes
50% (23/46)56% (24/43)
Passes in final third
64% (52/81)66% (52/79)
Crosses
25% (5/20)44% (4/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.960.33
Throw-ins
1532
Fouls
2215
Tackles
74% (14/19)77% (10/13)
Duels won
4753
Clearances
1722
Interceptions
85
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.120.45
Goals prevented
0.12-0.55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 34', Isaac , Joao Cruz ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', 1 - 0, Renan Peixoto , Joao Cruz (A),
  • 65', Max , Alason Carioca ,
  • 65', David Braga , Wesley Gasolina ,
  • 74', Douglas Pele , Andrey ,
  • 76', Giuliano , Tevis ,
  • 76', Luiz Fernando , Patrick ,
  • 76', Matheus Guilherme 🟨,
  • 83', Falcao , Alan Kardec ,
  • 83', Moraes K. , Belezi ,
  • 90+3', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Athletico Paranaense
61.5%
Draw
24.7%
Athletic Club
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.9% 23.2% 14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4% 22.7% 14.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Athletic Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Athletico Paranaense - Athletic Club Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.52)
    3.81
    (4.05)
    6.68
    (6.33)
    6.8%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 15).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Athletico PR may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Athletico PR is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Athletico PR: Dudu Kogitzki (Inactive) Leozinho (Inactive) Palacios H. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Athletic: Edson Miranda (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Athletic: Ezequiel (Injury) Matheus Guilherme (Injury) Wesley Gasolina (Inactive)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
    Latest results of Athletic Club
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias17113323:131036
    2Coritiba17103418:11733
    3Novorizontino1787222:121031
    4Chapecoense-SC1782721:16526
    5Remo1768319:15426
    6Cuiaba1774619:20-125
    7Avai1767420:18225
    8Vila Nova FC1773715:16-124
    9Athletico-PR1772821:23-223
    10Criciuma1765620:17323
    11CRB1764716:16022
    12Atletico GO1757518:17122
    13Athletic Club17701020:24-421
    14America MG1762917:21-420
    15Operario-PR1754818:20-219
    16Paysandu PA1746716:19-318
    17Ferroviaria1746717:21-418
    18Volta Redonda1746710:16-618
    19Botafogo SP1746712:20-818
    20Amazonas1745816:23-717

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )