Athletico Paranaense vs Athletic Club – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Athletico Paranaense - Athletic Club
Result
1:0
24/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.620.41
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
127
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
82% (290/355)83% (384/461)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
0.620.41
xG on target (xGOT)
0.450.12
Total shots
127
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
50
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
1714
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1522
Passes
82% (290/355)83% (384/461)
Long passes
50% (23/46)56% (24/43)
Passes in final third
64% (52/81)66% (52/79)
Crosses
25% (5/20)44% (4/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.960.33
Throw-ins
1532
Fouls
2215
Tackles
74% (14/19)77% (10/13)
Duels won
4753
Clearances
1722
Interceptions
85
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.120.45
Goals prevented
0.12-0.55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 34', Isaac , Joao Cruz ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', 1 - 0, Renan Peixoto , Joao Cruz (A),
  • 65', Max , Alason Carioca ,
  • 65', David Braga , Wesley Gasolina ,
  • 74', Douglas Pele , Andrey ,
  • 76', Giuliano , Tevis ,
  • 76', Luiz Fernando , Patrick ,
  • 76', Matheus Guilherme 🟨,
  • 83', Falcao , Alan Kardec ,
  • 83', Moraes K. , Belezi ,
  • 90+3', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Athletico Paranaense
61.5%
Draw
24.7%
Athletic Club
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.9% 23.2% 14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4% 22.7% 14.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Athletic Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Athletico Paranaense - Athletic Club Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.52)
    3.81
    (4.05)
    6.68
    (6.33)
    6.8%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 15).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Athletico PR may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Athletico PR is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Athletico PR: Dudu Kogitzki (Inactive) Leozinho (Inactive) Palacios H. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Athletic: Edson Miranda (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Athletic: Ezequiel (Injury) Matheus Guilherme (Injury) Wesley Gasolina (Inactive)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
    Latest results of Athletic Club
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias24135631:23844
    2Coritiba24127524:16843
    3Chapecoense-SC24125736:221441
    4Criciuma24116731:211039
    5Novorizontino2499626:23336
    6Remo24811524:21335
    7CRB241041026:22434
    8Vila Nova FC241041024:24034
    9Cuiaba2497829:29034
    10Operario-PR2496926:23333
    11Athletico-PR2496931:33-233
    12Avai2389630:23733
    13Ferroviaria24710727:26131
    14Atletico GO24710726:26031
    15Athletic Club24841226:33-728
    16Botafogo SP24771020:33-1328
    17Amazonas24591025:34-924
    18Volta Redonda24581114:26-1223
    19America MG23641323:32-922
    20Paysandu PA24491120:29-921

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
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