Chattanooga vs Atlanta United II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1 penalties
05/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.001.63
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
1023
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
80% (273/340)91% (480/528)
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.001.63
xG on target (xGOT)
0.431.27
Total shots
1023
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
410
Blocked Shots
310
Shots inside the Box
613
Shots outside the Box
410
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
1129
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1417
Passes
80% (273/340)91% (480/528)
Long passes
51% (41/80)58% (19/33)
Passes in final third
60% (52/86)79% (112/141)
Crosses
33% (3/9)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.501.37
Throw-ins
1011
Fouls
1714
Tackles
48% (13/27)84% (16/19)
Duels won
4956
Clearances
1521
Interceptions
128
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.270.43
Goals prevented
0.27-0.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Pita S. ,
  • 14', Mangarov D. 🟨,
  • 26', 1 - 1, Cohen Y. , Mangarov D. (A), Louis S. (A2)
  • 45+4', Garcia A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 49', Wynne R. 🟨,
  • 60', Garcia A. , Ancelin K. ,
  • 69', Sibrian D. , Torres A. ,
  • 69', Garvanian M. , Robertson T. ,
  • 74', Majub T. B. 🟨,
  • 77', Pita S. , Kovac A. ,
  • 79', Cohen Y. , Rimpel X. ,
  • 79', Husakiwsky L. , Mendonca N. ,
  • 90+4', Sar-Sar F. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Majub T. B. 🟥,
  • Penalties (5 - 4)
  • 1, Robertson T. (Pen),
  • 1, Weah P. (Pen),
  • 2, Mangarov D. (Pen),
  • 2, Armas J. (Pen),
  • 3, Rimpel X. (Pen),
  • 3, Kovac A. (Pen),
  • 4, Watson C. (Pen),
  • 4, Mazzaferro S. (Pen),
  • 5, Sar-Sar F. (Pen),
  • 5, Tablante M. (Pen),
  • 6, Turner G. (Pen),
  • 6, Wesseh G. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Chattanooga
36.8%
Draw
27.3%
Atlanta United II
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.5% 24.7% 29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8% 24% 29%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chattanooga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chattanooga's form might have worsened.
  • Atlanta United II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlanta United II's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chattanooga than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chattanooga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United II than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlanta United II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Chattanooga - Atlanta United II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.68
    (2)
    3.61
    (3.68)
    2.74
    (3.05)
    1.5%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
    • Chattanooga is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Chattanooga is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Atlanta United II has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Chattanooga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Chattanooga could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chattanooga won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 2:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chattanooga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 3:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chattanooga - Atlanta United II were as follows:
    02.10.2025 Atlanta United II - Chattanooga 0:1
    30.03.2025 Atlanta United II - Chattanooga 2:3
    01.09.2024 Chattanooga - Atlanta United II 3:4
    25.05.2024 Chattanooga - Atlanta United II 3:2
    24.04.2024 Atlanta United II - Chattanooga 1:0
    Latest results of Chattanooga
    Latest results of Atlanta United II
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls II110004:23
    2Connecticut FC110003:13
    3Philadelphia Union II110001:03
    4New England Revolution II101001:12
    5New York City II000000:00
    6Toronto FC II100010:10
    7Columbus Crew 2100012:40
    8Cincinnati 2100011:30


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy110004:13
    2Huntsville110003:13
    3Chicago Fire II101001:12
    4Atlanta United 2100101:11
    5Inter Miami II100101:11
    6Carolina Core000000:00
    7Orlando City B100011:30
    8Chattanooga100011:40


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County110004:23
    2Portland Timbers 2110002:13
    3Real Monarchs101002:22
    4Los Angeles FC 2101002:22
    5Tacoma Defiance100102:21
    6San Jose Earthquakes II100011:20
    7Vancouver Whitecaps 2100012:40


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2110004:03
    2Minnesota 2110004:23
    3Houston Dynamo 2110002:03
    4North Texas100102:21
    5Austin FC II100012:40
    6Colorado Rapids 2100010:20
    7Sporting Kansas City II100010:40


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy110004:13
    2New York Red Bulls II110004:23
    3Huntsville110003:13
    4Connecticut FC110003:13
    5Philadelphia Union II110001:03
    6Chicago Fire II101001:12
    7New England Revolution II101001:12
    8Atlanta United 2100101:11
    9Inter Miami II100101:11
    10New York City II000000:00
    11Carolina Core000000:00
    12Toronto FC II100010:10
    13Columbus Crew 2100012:40
    14Orlando City B100011:30
    15Cincinnati 2100011:30
    16Chattanooga100011:40


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2110004:03
    2Ventura County110004:23
    3Minnesota 2110004:23
    4Houston Dynamo 2110002:03
    5Portland Timbers 2110002:13
    6Real Monarchs101002:22
    7Los Angeles FC 2101002:22
    8Tacoma Defiance100102:21
    9North Texas100102:21
    10San Jose Earthquakes II100011:20
    11Vancouver Whitecaps 2100012:40
    12Austin FC II100012:40
    13Colorado Rapids 2100010:20
    14Sporting Kansas City II100010:40

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)