New York City vs Atlanta United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS
Result
4:0
12/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.710.81
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
86% (513/600)83% (389/467)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.710.81
xG on target (xGOT)
1.890.57
Total shots
118
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
13
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2415
Accurate through passes
31
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
68
Passes
86% (513/600)83% (389/467)
Long passes
50% (27/54)42% (22/53)
Passes in final third
70% (90/128)65% (82/126)
Crosses
30% (3/10)6% (1/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.910.61
Throw-ins
2019
Fouls
86
Tackles
80% (12/15)33% (3/9)
Duels won
3129
Clearances
2027
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
0.571.89
Goals prevented
0.57-2.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 44', 1 - 0, Moralez M. ⚽, Wolf H. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 55', 2 - 0, Bakrar M. ⚽, Perea A. (A),
  • 57', 3 - 0, Wolf H. ⚽, Moralez M. (A),
  • 59', 4 - 0, Wolf H. ⚽, Haak J. (A),
  • 62', Hernandez R. ↓, Abram L. ↑,
  • 62', Lobjanidze S. ↓, Latte Lath E. ↑,
  • 62', Williams D. ↓, Cobb N. ↑,
  • 73', Risa B. ↓, O'Toole K. ↑,
  • 73', Tanasijevic S. ↓, Gray T. ↑,
  • 73', Ojeda A. ↓, Cavallo N. ↑,
  • 78', Bakrar M. ↓, Garfield Reid S. ↑,
  • 78', Thiare J. ↓, Brennan L. ↑,
  • 83', Fernandez J. ↓, Shore J. ↑,
  • 88', Amador P. ↓, Sessock N. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York City
48.2%		Draw
25.8%		Atlanta United
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49% 25.6% 25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 26.1% 25.8%

New York City - Atlanta United Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.96 ↑
(1.94)		 3.65 ↓
(3.71)		 3.64 ↓
(3.75)		 5.8%
(5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for New York City - Atlanta United?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - NY City (1.90) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Atlanta (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Atlanta (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25 - Atlanta (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: New York City will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): New York City will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. NY City (votes: 5 - 50%). Atlanta (votes: 4 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY City won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, NY City is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in NY City: Freese M. (International duty) Jones M. (Broken Leg) Martinez A. (International duty) Parks K. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Atlanta: Cohen J. (Groin Injury) Fortune A. (International duty) Mosquera E. (Thigh Injury) Muyumba T. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in NY City: Arroyave J. (Leg Injury) O'Toole K. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atlanta: Gregersen S. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, NY City won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:28. (average 1.7:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY City won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 1.7:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York City - Atlanta United were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Atlanta United - New York City 4:3
    17.07.2024 Atlanta United - New York City 2:2
    06.04.2024 New York City - Atlanta United 1:1
    21.06.2023 Atlanta United - New York City 2:2
    08.04.2023 New York City - Atlanta United 1:1
    Latest results of New York City
    31.05.2025 Nashville SC - New York City 2:2 ✺
    28.05.2025 New York City - Houston Dynamo 0:3 ✺
    25.05.2025 New York City - Chicago Fire 3:1 ✺
    17.05.2025 New York City - New York Red Bulls 2:0 ✺
    14.05.2025 DC United - New York City 0:0 ✺
    Latest results of Atlanta United
    31.05.2025 New York Red Bulls - Atlanta United 2:0 ✺
    28.05.2025 Atlanta United - Orlando City 3:2 ✺
    25.05.2025 Atlanta United - Cincinnati 4:2 ✺
    17.05.2025 Atlanta United - Philadelphia Union 0:1 ✺
    14.05.2025 Austin FC - Atlanta United 1:1 ✺
    MLS Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Dallas00000:000
    2Houston Dynamo00000:000
    3Los Angeles Galaxy00000:000
    4Real Salt Lake00000:000
    5San Jose Earthquakes00000:000
    6Colorado Rapids00000:000
    7Sporting Kansas City00000:000
    8Seattle Sounders00000:000
    9Portland Timbers00000:000
    10Vancouver Whitecaps00000:000
    11Minnesota United00000:000
    12Los Angeles FC00000:000
    13Austin FC00000:000
    14St. Louis City00000:000
    15San Diego FC00000:000


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New England Revolution00000:000
    2DC United00000:000
    3Toronto FC00000:000
    4New York Red Bulls00000:000
    5Columbus Crew00000:000
    6Chicago Fire00000:000
    7CF Montreal00000:000
    8Philadelphia Union00000:000
    9Orlando City00000:000
    10New York City00000:000
    11FC Cincinnati00000:000
    12Atlanta Utd00000:000
    13Nashville SC00000:000
    14Inter Miami00000:000
    15Charlotte00000:000

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
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