New York City vs Atlanta United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
12/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.710.81
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
86% (513/600)83% (389/467)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.710.81
xG on target (xGOT)
1.890.57
Total shots
118
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
13
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2415
Accurate through passes
31
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
68
Passes
86% (513/600)83% (389/467)
Long passes
50% (27/54)42% (22/53)
Passes in final third
70% (90/128)65% (82/126)
Crosses
30% (3/10)6% (1/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.910.61
Throw-ins
2019
Fouls
86
Tackles
80% (12/15)33% (3/9)
Duels won
3129
Clearances
2027
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
0.571.89
Goals prevented
0.57-2.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 44', 1 - 0, Moralez M. , Wolf H. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 55', 2 - 0, Bakrar M. , Perea A. (A),
  • 57', 3 - 0, Wolf H. , Moralez M. (A),
  • 59', 4 - 0, Wolf H. , Haak J. (A),
  • 62', Hernandez R. , Abram L. ,
  • 62', Lobjanidze S. , Latte Lath E. ,
  • 62', Williams D. , Cobb N. ,
  • 73', Risa B. , O'Toole K. ,
  • 73', Tanasijevic S. , Gray T. ,
  • 73', Ojeda A. , Cavallo N. ,
  • 78', Bakrar M. , Garfield Reid S. ,
  • 78', Thiare J. , Brennan L. ,
  • 83', Fernandez J. , Shore J. ,
  • 88', Amador P. , Sessock N. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York City
48.2%
Draw
25.8%
Atlanta United
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49% 25.6% 25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 26.1% 25.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Atlanta United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • New York City - Atlanta United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (1.94)
    3.65
    (3.71)
    3.64
    (3.75)
    5.8%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for New York City - Atlanta United?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - NY City (1.90) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Atlanta (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Atlanta (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25 - Atlanta (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: New York City will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 66.11%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): New York City will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. NY City (votes: 5 - 50%). Atlanta (votes: 4 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY City won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, NY City is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in NY City: Freese M. (International duty) Jones M. (Broken Leg) Martinez A. (International duty) Parks K. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Atlanta: Cohen J. (Groin Injury) Fortune A. (International duty) Mosquera E. (Thigh Injury) Muyumba T. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in NY City: Arroyave J. (Leg Injury) O'Toole K. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atlanta: Gregersen S. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, NY City won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:28. (average 1.7:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY City won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 1.7:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York City - Atlanta United were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Atlanta United - New York City 4:3
    17.07.2024 Atlanta United - New York City 2:2
    06.04.2024 New York City - Atlanta United 1:1
    21.06.2023 Atlanta United - New York City 2:2
    08.04.2023 New York City - Atlanta United 1:1
    Latest results of New York City
    Latest results of Atlanta United
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Los Angeles FC54108:0813
    2Vancouver Whitecaps540114:21212
    3San Jose Earthquakes54017:1612
    4San Diego FC532013:5811
    5Seattle Sounders53115:2310
    6Real Salt Lake53119:7210
    7Colorado Rapids530211:749
    8FC Dallas522110:918
    9Houston Dynamo42028:9-16
    10Los Angeles Galaxy51227:8-15
    11Austin FC51225:7-25
    12Minnesota United51224:11-75
    13St. Louis City51134:7-34
    14Portland Timbers51137:12-54
    15Sporting Kansas City51135:11-64


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC541013:21113
    2New York City531113:6710
    3Inter Miami53119:8110
    4Charlotte522110:648
    5Chicago Fire52127:527
    6DC United52124:407
    7Toronto FC52126:8-27
    8New York Red Bulls52125:11-67
    9FC Cincinnati52037:11-46
    10Atlanta Utd51135:8-34
    11New England Revolution41038:9-13
    12CF Montreal51047:14-73
    13Orlando City51045:17-123
    14Columbus Crew50235:8-32
    15Philadelphia Union50053:9-60

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