New York City vs Atlanta United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
12/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.710.81
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
86% (513/600)83% (389/467)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.710.81
xG on target (xGOT)
1.890.57
Total shots
118
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
13
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2415
Accurate through passes
31
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
68
Passes
86% (513/600)83% (389/467)
Long passes
50% (27/54)42% (22/53)
Passes in final third
70% (90/128)65% (82/126)
Crosses
30% (3/10)6% (1/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.910.61
Throw-ins
2019
Fouls
86
Tackles
80% (12/15)33% (3/9)
Duels won
3129
Clearances
2027
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
0.571.89
Goals prevented
0.57-2.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 44', 1 - 0, Moralez M. , Wolf H. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 55', 2 - 0, Bakrar M. , Perea A. (A),
  • 57', 3 - 0, Wolf H. , Moralez M. (A),
  • 59', 4 - 0, Wolf H. , Haak J. (A),
  • 62', Hernandez R. , Abram L. ,
  • 62', Lobjanidze S. , Latte Lath E. ,
  • 62', Williams D. , Cobb N. ,
  • 73', Risa B. , O'Toole K. ,
  • 73', Tanasijevic S. , Gray T. ,
  • 73', Ojeda A. , Cavallo N. ,
  • 78', Bakrar M. , Garfield Reid S. ,
  • 78', Thiare J. , Brennan L. ,
  • 83', Fernandez J. , Shore J. ,
  • 88', Amador P. , Sessock N. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York City
48.2%
Draw
25.8%
Atlanta United
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49% 25.6% 25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 26.1% 25.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Atlanta United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • New York City - Atlanta United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (1.94)
    3.65
    (3.71)
    3.64
    (3.75)
    5.8%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for New York City - Atlanta United?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.5 - NY City (1.90) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Atlanta (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Atlanta (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25 - Atlanta (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: New York City will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 66.11%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): New York City will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. NY City (votes: 5 - 50%). Atlanta (votes: 4 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY City won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, NY City is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in NY City: Freese M. (International duty) Jones M. (Broken Leg) Martinez A. (International duty) Parks K. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Atlanta: Cohen J. (Groin Injury) Fortune A. (International duty) Mosquera E. (Thigh Injury) Muyumba T. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in NY City: Arroyave J. (Leg Injury) O'Toole K. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atlanta: Gregersen S. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, NY City won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:28. (average 1.7:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY City won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 1.7:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York City - Atlanta United were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Atlanta United - New York City 4:3
    17.07.2024 Atlanta United - New York City 2:2
    06.04.2024 New York City - Atlanta United 1:1
    21.06.2023 Atlanta United - New York City 2:2
    08.04.2023 New York City - Atlanta United 1:1
    Latest results of New York City
    Latest results of Atlanta United
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps760119:41518
    2San Jose Earthquakes760113:21118
    3Los Angeles FC751115:21316
    4Real Salt Lake641112:8413
    5Seattle Sounders64116:2413
    6Colorado Rapids740319:12712
    7FC Dallas733115:10512
    8San Diego FC732214:10411
    9Minnesota United73228:13-511
    10Los Angeles Galaxy722310:11-18
    11Portland Timbers721411:16-57
    12Houston Dynamo620410:16-66
    13Austin FC71338:11-36
    14St. Louis City71336:9-36
    15Sporting Kansas City71157:17-104


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC751115:41116
    2Chicago Fire74129:5413
    3Inter Miami733113:12112
    4New York City732214:9511
    5Charlotte732213:9411
    6Toronto FC732210:11-111
    7New York Red Bulls732211:15-411
    8New England Revolution630312:939
    9DC United72144:9-57
    10FC Cincinnati721410:16-67
    11Columbus Crew71339:10-16
    12Atlanta Utd71156:12-64
    13Orlando City71156:24-184
    14Philadelphia Union71066:12-63
    15CF Montreal71068:19-113

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