Result
5:0
12/04/2026 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 16
- Referee: Matorel L. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.82 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (258/328) | 66% (202/305) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (258/328) | 66% (202/305) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (27/54) | 34% (24/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (92/125) | 42% (36/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.97 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 50% (5/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 21 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -2.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 3', Pons L. 🟨,
- 18', 1 - 0, Sambueza F. ⚽,
- 30', Hinestroza F. 🟨,
- 43', 2 - 0, Sambueza F. ⚽, Londono K. (A),
- 45+3', Montano I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Charrupi F. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
- 46', Montano I. ↓, Mera S. ↑,
- 53', Zarate A. 🟨,
- 56', Diaz J. 🟨,
- 62', Gutierrez A. ↓, Alba I. ↑,
- 62', Zarate A. ↓, Charrupi G. ↑,
- 63', Ramirez Raigosa D. A. ↓, Caicedo O. ↑,
- 64', Salazar S. ↓, Valencia N. ↑,
- 67', Quiceno J. 🟨,
- 71', Pons L. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
- 74', Cabrera Y. ↓, Diaz Montes J. d. J. ↑,
- 82', Sambueza F. ↓, Salazar J. ↑,
- 83', 3 - 0, Caicedo B. ⚽, Batalla E. (A),
- 85', Ruiz D. ↓, Aedo A. ↑,
- 90+3', Saldana A. 🟨,
- 90+3', 4 - 0, Caicedo B. ⚽, Salazar J. (A),
- 90+6', 5 - 0, Palma J. (Own goal),
Chances of winning
Atlético Bucaramanga 67.6% | Draw 21.2% | Boyacá Chicó 11.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Bucaramanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Boyacá Chicó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (-17.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Bucaramanga that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boyacá Chicó than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Atlético Bucaramanga - Boyacá Chicó Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.38 ↑ (1.35) |
4.44 ↑ (4.38) |
8.27 ↓ (9.38) |
7.3% (7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga - Boyacá Chicó?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Bucaramanga will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 19).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 1.
- Bucaramanga has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Boyacá Chicó's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Bucaramanga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Bucaramanga is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bucaramanga won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:6. (average 2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Bucaramanga won against Boyacá Chicó?
Atlético Bucaramanga has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Boyacá Chicó won against Atlético Bucaramanga?
Boyacá Chicó has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Bucaramanga - Boyacá Chicó were as follows:
12.07.2025
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Boyacá Chicó
1:1
10.06.2025
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Boyacá Chicó
3:2
24.01.2025
Boyacá Chicó
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
1:0
06.11.2024
Boyacá Chicó
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
1:1
19.04.2024
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Boyacá Chicó
2:3
Latest results of Atlético Bucaramanga
Latest results of Boyacá Chicó
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 33:13 | 20 | 37 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 31 |
| 3 | Junior | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 28 |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 24:14 | 10 | 27 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 26:19 | 7 | 26 |
| 6 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 20:21 | -1 | 25 |
| 7 | America De Cali | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 19:12 | 7 | 24 |
| 8 | Dep. Cali | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18:14 | 4 | 23 |
| 9 | Bucaramanga | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 23:14 | 9 | 22 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 26:18 | 8 | 22 |
| 11 | Aguilas | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 21 |
| 13 | Santa Fe | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 19:20 | -1 | 20 |
| 14 | Ind. Medellin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21:22 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21:27 | -6 | 15 |
| 17 | Alianza | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 11:24 | -13 | 15 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 14:28 | -14 | 14 |
| 19 | Chico | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 11:26 | -15 | 11 |
| 20 | Pereira | 16 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 14:29 | -15 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )