Junior Barranquilla vs Atlético Bucaramanga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez (Barranquilla).

Primera A - Apertura - Round 13
Referee: Delgado L. (Col)
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.46	0.66
Ball possession
47%	53%
Total shots
10	13
Shots on target
2	5
Big chances
0	0
Corner kicks
6	8
Passes
79% (254/320)	78% (286/365)
Yellow cards
2	2
Expected goals (xG)
0.46	0.66
xG on target (xGOT)
0.61	0.48
Total shots
10	13
Shots on target
2	5
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked shots
2	5
Shots inside the box
3	5
Shots outside the box
7	8
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
0	0
Corner kicks
6	8
Touches in opposition box
19	21
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	1
Free kicks
8	17
Passes
79% (254/320)	78% (286/365)
Long passes
46% (22/48)	47% (24/51)
Passes in final third
77% (96/125)	60% (65/109)
Crosses
7% (1/14)	21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.63	0.56
Throw ins
15	12
Fouls
17	8
Tackles
88% (14/16)	69% (9/13)
Duels won
34	53
Clearances
37	23
Interceptions
8	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
6	0
xGOT faced
0.48	0.61
Goals prevented
0.48	-1.39

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Sarmiento J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Salazar J. ↓, Zarate A. ↑,
47', 2 - 0, Gutierrez T. ⚽, Rivas J. (A),
48', Castrillon B. 🟨,
59', Castrillon B. ↓, Perez K. ↑,
62', De Las Salas C. ↓, Romana C. ↑,
62', Charrupi F. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
65', Gutierrez T. ↓, Muriel L. ↑,
65', Sarmiento J. ↓, Rivera H. ↑,
68', Charrupi G. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
69', Charrupi G. 🟨,
71', Romana C. 🟨,
80', Londono K. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
80', Barrios C. ↓, Canchimbo J. ↑,
80', Rivas J. ↓, Shmalbach A. ↑,
86', Muriel L. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3r3usa2y

Chances of winning

Junior Barranquilla
42.3%

Draw
30.4%

Atlético Bucaramanga
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

29%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

30.7%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Atlético Bucaramanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Junior Barranquilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Bucaramanga Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.02)	3.07 ↓ (3.21)	3.43 ↓ (3.73)	7.1% (7.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Bucaramanga?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Junior will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Bucaramanga will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 40% – 93.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Junior (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Junior (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Junior won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Junior is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Junior won 8 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 0.9:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Junior won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:3. (average 1.3:0.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Junior Barranquilla won against Atlético Bucaramanga?

Junior Barranquilla has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Bucaramanga won against Junior Barranquilla?

Atlético Bucaramanga has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Bucaramanga were as follows:

18.08.2025 Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Bucaramanga 2:1

01.03.2025 Atlético Bucaramanga - Junior Barranquilla 1:1

18.07.2024 Atlético Bucaramanga - Junior Barranquilla 1:0

25.05.2024 Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Bucaramanga 1:0

11.05.2024 Atlético Bucaramanga - Junior Barranquilla 0:0

Latest results of Junior Barranquilla

19.03.2026 Independiente Medellín - Junior Barranquilla 2:0 ✺

15.03.2026 Junior Barranquilla - Fortaleza CEIF 2:1 ✺

10.03.2026 Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Nacional 0:4 ✺

05.03.2026 Junior Barranquilla - Alianza Valledupar 1:1 ✺

28.02.2026 Jaguares de Córdoba - Junior Barranquilla 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Atlético Bucaramanga

18.03.2026 Atlético Bucaramanga - Once Caldas 1:1 ✺

14.03.2026 Inter Bogotá - Atlético Bucaramanga 0:0 ✺

10.03.2026 Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Pereira 3:0 ✺

05.03.2026 América de Cali - Atlético Bucaramanga 2:1 ✺

28.02.2026 Independiente Medellín - Atlético Bucaramanga 1:2 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Apertura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Atl. Nacional	19	13	1	5	35:15	20	40
2	Junior	19	11	2	6	31:24	7	35
3	Dep. Pasto	19	10	4	5	29:25	4	34
4	America De Cali	19	10	3	6	25:15	10	33
5	Once Caldas	19	8	9	2	31:22	9	33
6	Deportes Tolima	19	8	7	4	27:17	10	31
7	Santa Fe	19	7	8	4	29:22	7	29
8	Inter Bogotu00e1	19	7	7	5	26:26	0	28
9	Dep. Cali	19	7	6	6	20:16	4	27
10	Millonarios	19	7	5	7	31:23	8	26
11	Ind. Medellin	19	7	5	7	26:24	2	26
12	Aguilas	19	7	5	7	20:25	-5	26
13	Bucaramanga	19	5	8	6	26:20	6	23
14	Llaneros	19	4	10	5	17:20	-3	22
15	Fortaleza	19	5	7	7	22:27	-5	22
16	Jaguares de Cordoba	19	5	3	11	20:33	-13	18
17	Alianza	19	3	8	8	13:27	-14	17
18	Chico	19	5	2	12	15:32	-17	17
19	Cucuta	19	3	7	9	22:35	-13	16
20	Pereira	19	1	7	11	15:32	-17	10

Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )