Junior Barranquilla vs Atlético Bucaramanga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
24/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Apertura - Round 13
  • Referee: Delgado L. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
usaUsaFanatiz, Fubo Latino 2

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.460.66
Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
25
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
68
Passes
79% (254/320)78% (286/365)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
0.460.66
xG on target (xGOT)
0.610.48
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
63
Blocked shots
25
Shots inside the box
35
Shots outside the box
78
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
68
Touches in opposition box
1921
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free kicks
817
Passes
79% (254/320)78% (286/365)
Long passes
46% (22/48)47% (24/51)
Passes in final third
77% (96/125)60% (65/109)
Crosses
7% (1/14)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.630.56
Throw ins
1512
Fouls
178
Tackles
88% (14/16)69% (9/13)
Duels won
3453
Clearances
3723
Interceptions
811
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
60
xGOT faced
0.480.61
Goals prevented
0.48-1.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 43', 1 - 0, Sarmiento J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Salazar J. , Zarate A. ,
  • 47', 2 - 0, Gutierrez T. , Rivas J. (A),
  • 48', Castrillon B. 🟨,
  • 59', Castrillon B. , Perez K. ,
  • 62', De Las Salas C. , Romana C. ,
  • 62', Charrupi F. , Caicedo B. ,
  • 65', Gutierrez T. , Muriel L. ,
  • 65', Sarmiento J. , Rivera H. ,
  • 68', Charrupi G. , Flores L. ,
  • 69', Charrupi G. 🟨,
  • 71', Romana C. 🟨,
  • 80', Londono K. , Mosquera J. ,
  • 80', Barrios C. , Canchimbo J. ,
  • 80', Rivas J. , Shmalbach A. ,
  • 86', Muriel L. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3r3usa2y

Chances of winning


Junior Barranquilla
42.3%
Draw
30.4%
Atlético Bucaramanga
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46% 29% 25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 30.7% 23.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Atlético Bucaramanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Junior Barranquilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Bucaramanga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (2.02)
    3.07
    (3.21)
    3.43
    (3.73)
    7.1%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Bucaramanga?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Junior will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Bucaramanga will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 40%93.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Junior (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Junior (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Junior won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Junior is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Junior won 8 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 0.9:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Junior won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:3. (average 1.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Bucaramanga were as follows:
    18.08.2025 Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Bucaramanga 2:1
    01.03.2025 Atlético Bucaramanga - Junior Barranquilla 1:1
    18.07.2024 Atlético Bucaramanga - Junior Barranquilla 1:0
    25.05.2024 Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Bucaramanga 1:0
    11.05.2024 Atlético Bucaramanga - Junior Barranquilla 0:0
    Colombian Primera A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Nacional ✔ 16121333:132037
    2Dep. Pasto1694322:17531
    3Junior1691624:20428
    4Deportes Tolima1676324:141027
    5Once Caldas1668226:19726
    6Inter Bogotu00e11667320:21-125
    7America De Cali1573519:12724
    8Dep. Cali1665518:14423
    9Bucaramanga1657423:14922
    10Millonarios1664626:18822
    11Aguilas1664616:20-422
    12Llaneros1649317:15221
    13Santa Fe1648419:20-120
    14Ind. Medellin1545621:22-117
    15Fortaleza1537517:23-616
    16Cucuta1636721:27-615
    17Alianza1636711:24-1315
    18Jaguares de Cordoba16421014:28-1414
    19Chico15321011:26-1511
    20Pereira1607914:29-157

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )