Millonarios vs Atlético Bucaramanga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A Millonarios - Atlético Bucaramanga
Result
1:1
21/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Clausura - Round 16
  • Referee: Delgado L. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
usaUsaFanatiz, Fubo Latino 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.560.61
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
83% (348/420)81% (337/416)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.560.61
xG on target (xGOT)
0.620.50
Total shots
910
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
54
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
188
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
716
Passes
83% (348/420)81% (337/416)
Long passes
50% (26/52)30% (17/56)
Passes in final third
66% (66/100)65% (68/104)
Crosses
11% (2/19)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.560.46
Throw-ins
2222
Fouls
167
Tackles
83% (20/24)73% (16/22)
Duels won
4147
Clearances
2219
Interceptions
1416
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.500.62
Goals prevented
-0.50-0.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Gil Mosquera F. A. , Moreno N. ,
  • 53', Castro A. , Mosquera E. ,
  • 71', Arias J. 🟨,
  • 73', 1 - 0, Castro Espinosa B. D. , Silva D. (A),
  • 81', Sambueza F. 🟨,
  • 83', Diaz Samuel M. , Palacios H. ,
  • 83', Vega S. , Arevalo Chaparro J. N. ,
  • 83', Flores L. , Mosquera J. ,
  • 85', Londono K. , Medina G. ,
  • 86', 1 - 1, Sambueza F. , Henao C. (A),
  • 90+5', Silva D. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/yht72vve

Chances of winning


Millonarios
44.2%
Draw
30.3%
Atlético Bucaramanga
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 28.4% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1% 30.8% 23.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Atlético Bucaramanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Millonarios, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Millonarios - Atlético Bucaramanga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (2.03)
    3.08
    (3.3)
    3.68
    (3.7)
    7.2%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Millonarios - Atlético Bucaramanga?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Millonarios will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Bucaramanga will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19%81%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 2.
    • Millonarios has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Bucaramanga is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Bucaramanga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Millonarios will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:11. (average 1.2:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Millonarios won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:3. (average 1.2:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Millonarios - Atlético Bucaramanga were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Atlético Bucaramanga - Millonarios 0:2
    08.10.2024 Atlético Bucaramanga - Millonarios 2:1
    01.10.2024 Millonarios - Atlético Bucaramanga 0:0
    21.07.2024 Millonarios - Atlético Bucaramanga 1:0
    22.05.2024 Atlético Bucaramanga - Millonarios 0:0
    Latest results of Millonarios
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bucaramanga17104329:131634
    2Ind. Medellin1694334:221231
    3Junior1794431:211031
    4Fortaleza1787223:16731
    5Deportes Tolima1792622:15729
    6Atl. Nacional1677227:19828
    7Llaneros1774616:16025
    8Aguilas1766526:23324
    9America De Cali1765618:16223
    10Alianza1765621:21023
    11Santa Fe1757517:16122
    12Once Caldas1764719:23-422
    13Millonarios1763820:24-421
    14Dep. Cali1755721:25-420
    15Pereira1746718:24-618
    16U. Magdalena1753920:27-718
    17Envigado1737714:20-616
    18Chico1737713:23-1016
    19Dep. Pasto1727819:27-813
    20La Equidad1725109:26-1711

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )