Result
1:1
21/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 16
- Referee: Delgado L. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.61 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (348/420) | 81% (337/416) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (348/420) | 81% (337/416) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (26/52) | 30% (17/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (66/100) | 65% (68/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/19) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (20/24) | 73% (16/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.50 | -0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Gil Mosquera F. A. ↓, Moreno N. ↑,
- 53', Castro A. ↓, Mosquera E. ↑,
- 71', Arias J. 🟨,
- 73', 1 - 0, Castro Espinosa B. D. ⚽, Silva D. (A),
- 81', Sambueza F. 🟨,
- 83', Diaz Samuel M. ↓, Palacios H. ↑,
- 83', Vega S. ↓, Arevalo Chaparro J. N. ↑,
- 83', Flores L. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
- 85', Londono K. ↓, Medina G. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 1, Sambueza F. ⚽, Henao C. (A),
- 90+5', Silva D. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/yht72vve
Chances of winning
Millonarios
44.2% | Draw
30.3% | Atlético Bucaramanga
25.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Atlético Bucaramanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Millonarios, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Millonarios - Atlético Bucaramanga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↑
(2.03) |
3.08 ↓
(3.3) |
3.68 ↓
(3.7) |
7.2%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Millonarios - Atlético Bucaramanga?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Millonarios will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Bucaramanga will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 2.
- Millonarios has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Bucaramanga is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Bucaramanga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Millonarios will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:11. (average 1.2:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Millonarios won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:3. (average 1.2:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Millonarios won against Atlético Bucaramanga?
Millonarios has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Bucaramanga won against Millonarios?
Atlético Bucaramanga has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Millonarios - Atlético Bucaramanga were as follows:
27.04.2025
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Millonarios
0:2
08.10.2024
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Millonarios
2:1
01.10.2024
Millonarios
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
0:0
21.07.2024
Millonarios
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
1:0
22.05.2024
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Millonarios
0:0
Latest results of Millonarios
Latest results of Atlético Bucaramanga
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bucaramanga | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 29:13 | 16 | 34 |
| 2 | Ind. Medellin | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 34:22 | 12 | 31 |
| 3 | Junior | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 31:21 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 23:16 | 7 | 31 |
| 5 | Deportes Tolima | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 22:15 | 7 | 29 |
| 6 | Atl. Nacional | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 27:19 | 8 | 28 |
| 7 | Llaneros | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16:16 | 0 | 25 |
| 8 | Aguilas | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 26:23 | 3 | 24 |
| 9 | America De Cali | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 18:16 | 2 | 23 |
| 10 | Alianza | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 23 |
| 11 | Santa Fe | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17:16 | 1 | 22 |
| 12 | Once Caldas | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 19:23 | -4 | 22 |
| 13 | Millonarios | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 21 |
| 14 | Dep. Cali | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 20 |
| 15 | Pereira | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 | U. Magdalena | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 20:27 | -7 | 18 |
| 17 | Envigado | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14:20 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 | Chico | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 16 |
| 19 | Dep. Pasto | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 19:27 | -8 | 13 |
| 20 | La Equidad | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 9:26 | -17 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
