Atlético Bucaramanga vs Once Caldas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
18/03/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Apertura - Round 12
  • Referee: Betancur Gutierrez C. A. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
usaUsaFubo Latino 2

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.570.97
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
32
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
93
Passes
81% (337/415)83% (363/439)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
0.570.97
xG on target (xGOT)
0.530.53
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
47
Blocked shots
62
Shots inside the box
45
Shots outside the box
96
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
1611
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free kicks
99
Passes
81% (337/415)83% (363/439)
Long passes
67% (36/54)38% (22/58)
Passes in final third
67% (110/163)67% (68/102)
Crosses
19% (5/27)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.750.60
Throw ins
2310
Fouls
99
Tackles
100% (8/8)88% (14/16)
Duels won
2937
Clearances
1343
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
12
xGOT faced
0.530.53
Goals prevented
-0.47-0.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 27', 1 - 0, Charrupi F. ,
  • 42', 1 - 1, Gomez P. , Sanchez L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Batalla E. , Salazar J. ,
  • 50', Londono K. 🟨,
  • 67', Zapata Ramirez J. A. 🟨,
  • 68', Londono K. , Mosquera J. ,
  • 68', Flores L. , Zarate A. ,
  • 74', Zapata Ramirez J. A. , Zuleta M. ,
  • 86', Moreno D. , Quinones D. ,
  • 86', Sanchez L. , Alvarado J. ,
  • 90+2', Charrupi F. , Caicedo B. ,
  • 90+2', Quinones J. , Roa A. ,
  • 90+8', Roa A. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/muzhztvn

Chances of winning


Atlético Bucaramanga
45.8%
Draw
28.9%
Once Caldas
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 28.2% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9% 29.3% 21%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Bucaramanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Once Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Bucaramanga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Atlético Bucaramanga - Once Caldas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (1.85)
    3.27
    (3.28)
    3.7
    (4.25)
    6.7%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga - Once Caldas?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Bucaramanga will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Once Caldas will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bucaramanga: 30.4%86.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bucaramanga (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 0.
    • In recent matches, Bucaramanga has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Once Caldas is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Bucaramanga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Bucaramanga is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 14:28. (average 0.7:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bucaramanga won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.6:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Bucaramanga - Once Caldas were as follows:
    09.09.2025 Atlético Bucaramanga - Once Caldas 0:0
    09.02.2025 Once Caldas - Atlético Bucaramanga 2:1
    11.08.2024 Once Caldas - Atlético Bucaramanga 2:1
    10.02.2024 Atlético Bucaramanga - Once Caldas 1:1
    25.08.2023 Once Caldas - Atlético Bucaramanga 1:0
    Latest results of Once Caldas
    Colombian Primera A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Nacional1180323:91424
    2Dep. Pasto1273218:14424
    3Once Caldas1265123:131023
    4Inter Bogotu00e11256117:15221
    5Bucaramanga1147016:61019
    6Junior1161417:16119
    7America De Cali1052315:8717
    8Millonarios1252519:13617
    9Deportes Tolima1044212:8416
    10Dep. Cali1244414:11316
    11Llaneros1236314:13115
    12Aguilas1043311:10115
    13Fortaleza1135313:16-314
    14Santa Fe1126312:14-212
    15Ind. Medellin1024413:15-210
    16Jaguares de Cordoba1131710:21-1110
    17Cucuta1214716:25-97
    18Chico112189:19-107
    19Pereira1105610:22-125
    20Alianza100555:19-145

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )