Result
0:0
09/09/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 3
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.00 | 0.21 |
Ball Possession |
---|
56% | 44% |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
81% (296/367) | 76% (227/300) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 5 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.00 | 0.21 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.49 | 0.03 |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
11 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
11 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
14 | 8 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
81% (296/367) | 76% (227/300) |
Long passes |
---|
56% (24/43) | 37% (26/70) |
Passes in final third |
---|
67% (73/109) | 60% (50/84) |
Crosses |
---|
32% (7/22) | 40% (4/10) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.84 | 0.26 |
Throw-ins |
---|
22 | 18 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
78% (14/18) | 62% (8/13) |
Duels won |
---|
44 | 38 |
Clearances |
---|
9 | 23 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 19 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 6 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.03 | 0.49 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.03 | 0.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Mena J. 🟨,
- 15', Cardona J. 🟨,
- 18', Tamayo K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Riquett J. ↓, Malagon J. ↑,
- 52', Garcia J. ↓, Henao C. ↑,
- 56', Barrios M. 🟨,
- 56', Aguirre J. 🟨,
- 56', 🟨,
- 60', Mejia R. 🟨,
- 62', Mosquera J. ↓, Gil Mosquera F. A. ↑,
- 62', Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↓, Gomez P. ↑,
- 63', Tamayo K. ↓, Castano J. ↑,
- 73', Zuleta M. ↓, Palacios L. ↑,
- 80', Pons L. ↓, Medina G. ↑,
- 80', Londono K. ↓, Jhon Vasquez ↑,
- 80', Zarate A. ↓, Chavez D. ↑,
- 81', Sambueza F. 🟨,
- 82', 🟨,
- 87', Sanchez L. ↓, Beltran E. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/asjn73h9
Chances of winning
Atlético Bucaramanga 56.8% | Draw 25.9% | Once Caldas 17.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Bucaramanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Bucaramanga's form might have worsened.Once Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Bucaramanga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Atlético Bucaramanga - Once Caldas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.68 ↑ (1.5) |
3.63 ↓ (4.1) |
5.35 ↓ (6.4) |
5.9% (6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga - Once Caldas?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Bucaramanga will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Once Caldas will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bucaramanga: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bucaramanga (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 0.
- Bucaramanga has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Once Caldas's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Bucaramanga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Once Caldas has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Bucaramanga is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 14:29. (average 0.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bucaramanga won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.7:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Bucaramanga won against Once Caldas?
Atlético Bucaramanga has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Atlético Bucaramanga?
Once Caldas has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Bucaramanga - Once Caldas were as follows:
09.02.2025
Once Caldas
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
2:1
11.08.2024
Once Caldas
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
2:1
10.02.2024
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Once Caldas
1:1
25.08.2023
Once Caldas
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
1:0
03.03.2023
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Once Caldas
0:1
Latest results of Atlético Bucaramanga
Latest results of Once Caldas
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Bucaramanga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23:11 | 12 | 24 |
2 | Fortaleza | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 19:13 | 6 | 24 |
3 | Junior | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24:16 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Ind. Medellin | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21:15 | 6 | 21 |
5 | Atl. Nacional | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:15 | 5 | 20 |
6 | Deportes Tolima | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 14:9 | 5 | 20 |
7 | Llaneros | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 18 |
8 | Dep. Cali | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17:16 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Santa Fe | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 |
10 | Once Caldas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 16 |
11 | Alianza | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Pereira | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 14 |
13 | Millonarios | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 14 |
14 | America De Cali | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
15 | Envigado | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 12 |
16 | Aguilas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 11 |
17 | U. Magdalena | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 11 |
18 | La Equidad | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 11 |
19 | Chico | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10:21 | -11 | 11 |
20 | Dep. Pasto | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )