Atlético Bucaramanga vs Once Caldas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A Atlético Bucaramanga - Once Caldas
Result
0:0
09/09/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Clausura - Round 3

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.000.21
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
186
Shots on target
61
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
81% (296/367)76% (227/300)
Yellow Cards
35
Expected Goals (xG)
1.000.21
xG on target (xGOT)
0.490.03
Total shots
186
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
112
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
73
Shots outside the Box
113
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
148
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
81% (296/367)76% (227/300)
Long passes
56% (24/43)37% (26/70)
Passes in final third
67% (73/109)60% (50/84)
Crosses
32% (7/22)40% (4/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.840.26
Throw-ins
2218
Fouls
1314
Tackles
78% (14/18)62% (8/13)
Duels won
4438
Clearances
923
Interceptions
819
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
0.030.49
Goals prevented
0.030.49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Mena J. 🟨,
  • 15', Cardona J. 🟨,
  • 18', Tamayo K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Riquett J. , Malagon J. ,
  • 52', Garcia J. , Henao C. ,
  • 56', Barrios M. 🟨,
  • 56', Aguirre J. 🟨,
  • 56', 🟨,
  • 60', Mejia R. 🟨,
  • 62', Mosquera J. , Gil Mosquera F. A. ,
  • 62', Zapata Ramirez J. A. , Gomez P. ,
  • 63', Tamayo K. , Castano J. ,
  • 73', Zuleta M. , Palacios L. ,
  • 80', Pons L. , Medina G. ,
  • 80', Londono K. , Jhon Vasquez ,
  • 80', Zarate A. , Chavez D. ,
  • 81', Sambueza F. 🟨,
  • 82', 🟨,
  • 87', Sanchez L. , Beltran E. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/asjn73h9

Chances of winning


Atlético Bucaramanga
56.8%
Draw
25.9%
Once Caldas
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.5% 22.9% 14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4% 22.2% 14.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Bucaramanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Bucaramanga's form might have worsened.
  • Once Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Bucaramanga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Atlético Bucaramanga - Once Caldas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.5)
    3.63
    (4.1)
    5.35
    (6.4)
    5.9%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga - Once Caldas?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Bucaramanga will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Once Caldas will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bucaramanga: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bucaramanga (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 0.
    • Bucaramanga has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Once Caldas's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Bucaramanga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Once Caldas has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Bucaramanga is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 14:29. (average 0.7:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bucaramanga won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.7:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Bucaramanga - Once Caldas were as follows:
    09.02.2025 Once Caldas - Atlético Bucaramanga 2:1
    11.08.2024 Once Caldas - Atlético Bucaramanga 2:1
    10.02.2024 Atlético Bucaramanga - Once Caldas 1:1
    25.08.2023 Once Caldas - Atlético Bucaramanga 1:0
    03.03.2023 Atlético Bucaramanga - Once Caldas 0:1
    Latest results of Once Caldas
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bucaramanga1373323:111224
    2Fortaleza1366119:13624
    3Junior1264224:16822
    4Ind. Medellin1163221:15621
    5Atl. Nacional1255220:15520
    6Deportes Tolima1262414:9520
    7Llaneros1253410:10018
    8Dep. Cali1245317:16117
    9Santa Fe1245312:11117
    10Once Caldas1344516:16016
    11Alianza1244413:15-216
    12Pereira1235410:11-114
    13Millonarios1242614:17-314
    14America De Cali123459:10-113
    15Envigado122649:11-212
    16Aguilas1125411:15-411
    17U. Magdalena1232712:20-811
    18La Equidad122557:15-811
    19Chico1325610:21-1111
    20Dep. Pasto1224612:16-410

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