Result
0:0
09/09/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 3
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.21 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (296/367) | 76% (227/300) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (296/367) | 76% (227/300) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (24/43) | 37% (26/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (73/109) | 60% (50/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (7/22) | 40% (4/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Mena J. 🟨,
- 15', Cardona J. 🟨,
- 18', Tamayo K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Riquett J. ↓, Malagon J. ↑,
- 52', Garcia J. ↓, Henao C. ↑,
- 56', Barrios M. 🟨,
- 56', Aguirre J. 🟨,
- 56', 🟨,
- 60', Mejia R. 🟨,
- 62', Mosquera J. ↓, Gil Mosquera F. A. ↑,
- 62', Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↓, Gomez P. ↑,
- 63', Tamayo K. ↓, Castano J. ↑,
- 73', Zuleta M. ↓, Palacios L. ↑,
- 80', Pons L. ↓, Medina G. ↑,
- 80', Londono K. ↓, Jhon Vasquez ↑,
- 80', Zarate A. ↓, Chavez D. ↑,
- 81', Sambueza F. 🟨,
- 82', 🟨,
- 87', Sanchez L. ↓, Beltran E. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/asjn73h9
Chances of winning
Atlético Bucaramanga
56.8% | Draw
25.9% | Once Caldas
17.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Bucaramanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Bucaramanga's form might have worsened.Once Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Bucaramanga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Atlético Bucaramanga - Once Caldas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↑
(1.5) |
3.63 ↓
(4.1) |
5.35 ↓
(6.4) |
5.9%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga - Once Caldas?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Bucaramanga will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Once Caldas will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bucaramanga: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bucaramanga (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 0.
- Bucaramanga has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Once Caldas's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Bucaramanga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Once Caldas has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Bucaramanga is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 14:29. (average 0.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bucaramanga won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.7:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Bucaramanga won against Once Caldas?
Atlético Bucaramanga has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Atlético Bucaramanga?
Once Caldas has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Bucaramanga - Once Caldas were as follows:
09.02.2025
Once Caldas
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
2:1
11.08.2024
Once Caldas
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
2:1
10.02.2024
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Once Caldas
1:1
25.08.2023
Once Caldas
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
1:0
03.03.2023
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Once Caldas
0:1
Latest results of Atlético Bucaramanga
Latest results of Once Caldas
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 30:19 | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 26:12 | 14 | 30 |
| 3 | Ind. Medellin | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 33:21 | 12 | 30 |
| 4 | Atl. Nacional | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 27:19 | 8 | 28 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21:16 | 5 | 28 |
| 6 | Llaneros | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 16:14 | 2 | 25 |
| 7 | Deportes Tolima | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 18:14 | 4 | 23 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Aguilas | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
| 10 | America De Cali | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:15 | 1 | 20 |
| 11 | Alianza | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19:21 | -2 | 20 |
| 12 | Dep. Cali | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20:23 | -3 | 20 |
| 13 | Once Caldas | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 19 |
| 14 | Pereira | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 | U. Magdalena | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 | Millonarios | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 18:23 | -5 | 17 |
| 17 | Envigado | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 16 |
| 18 | Dep. Pasto | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 19:25 | -6 | 13 |
| 19 | Chico | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 11:23 | -12 | 13 |
| 20 | La Equidad | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 9:22 | -13 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
