Libertad Asuncion vs Atlético Mineiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Libertadores Libertad Asuncion - Atlético Mineiro
Result
1:1
27/06/2023 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6
  • Referee: Rapallini F. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilESPN 2, ESPN
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
germanyGermanySport 1+
portugalPortugalSport TV2

Highlights

Chances of winning


Libertad Asuncion
29.9%
Draw
30.6%
Atlético Mineiro
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.2% 28.1% 44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6% 27.5% 45.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Libertad Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Mineiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Mineiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Libertad Asuncion - Atlético Mineiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.12
    (3.43)
    3.07
    (3.32)
    2.37
    (2.09)
    6.8%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion - Atlético Mineiro?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Atlético MG will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético MG: 23.8%76.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Libertad could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently opponents have a series of guest games.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Libertad won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Libertad won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Asuncion - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
    06.04.2023 Atlético Mineiro - Libertad Asuncion 0:1
    Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P640211:5612
    2Botafogo RJ64028:5312
    3U. De Chile63128:6210
    4Carabobo60152:13-111


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate633013:7612
    2U. de Deportes62224:408
    3Ind. del Valle62228:11-38
    4Barcelona SC61144:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito63218:4411
    2Flamengo RJ63216:3311
    3Central Cordoba63217:7011
    4Dep. Tachira60064:11-70


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo642010:4614
    2Libertad Asuncion62316:519
    3Alianza Lima61237:11-45
    4Talleres Cordoba61145:8-34


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Club641114:31113
    2Fortaleza62228:538
    3Bucaramanga61326:10-46
    4Colo Colo61235:15-105


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Internacional632112:8411
    2Atl. Nacional63037:619
    3Bahia62135:7-27
    4Nacional62137:10-37


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras660017:41318
    2Cerro Porteno62137:11-47
    3Bolivar620412:1116
    4Sporting Cristal61146:16-104


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield632111:4711
    2Penarol63219:4511
    3SA Bulo Bulo62045:15-106
    4Olimpia Asuncion61239:11-25

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)