Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Atlético Morelia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlético Morelia
Result
3:2
03/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAYM Sports
usaUsaAym Sports

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
913
Shots on target
48
Corner Kicks
24
Yellow Cards
63
Red Cards
11
Total shots
913
Shots on target
48
Shots off target
55
Corner Kicks
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Gutierrez G. (Own goal),
  • 14', 1 - 1, Samano L. , Venegas J. (A),
  • 19', Vazquez B. 🟨,
  • 21', Cardona U. 🟨,
  • 24', Parra D. 🟨,
  • 27', 2 - 1, Samano L. , Gomez J. (A),
  • 34', Gallegos D. 🟨,
  • 35', Aguilar D. 🟨,
  • 35', 3 - 1, Aguilar D. , Aguilar M. (A),
  • 39', Ochoa Brandon , Palma A. ,
  • 39', Gallegos D. , Martinez J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 57', 3 - 2, Figueroa B. ,
  • 63', Chavez A. 🟨,
  • 66', Samano L. 🟨,
  • 67', Samano L. 🟥,
  • 73', Aguilar D. , Dominguez I. ,
  • 75', Torres D. , del Campo R. ,
  • 81', Gutierrez G. 🟨,
  • 83', Ballesteros O. , Garcia D. ,
  • 83', Cardona U. , Moreno Villegas J. A. ,
  • 83', Gomez J. , Soto A. ,
  • 84', Figueroa B. , Martinez J. ,
  • 90+2', Cerda J. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Galindo J. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Tepatitlán de Morelos
45.4%
Draw
25.8%
Atlético Morelia
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.2% 26.9% 32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41% 26.4% 32.3%

Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlético Morelia Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.08
(2.3)
3.67
(3.44)
3.29
(2.81)
5.7%
(8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlético Morelia?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tepatitlán (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tepatitlán won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Tepatitlán could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Tepatitlán won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.6:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tepatitlán won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 2:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlético Morelia were as follows:
    31.01.2025 Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlético Morelia 3:1
    17.08.2024 Atlético Morelia - Tepatitlán de Morelos 2:1
    04.02.2024 Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlético Morelia 2:1
    02.11.2023 Atlético Morelia - Tepatitlán de Morelos 1:0
    02.02.2023 Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlético Morelia 2:0
    Latest results of Atlético Morelia
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cancun ✔ 1292124:51929
    2Atlante ✔ 1282228:91926
    3Tampico Madero ✔ 1275021:14726
    4Irapuato1254319:16319
    5Tepatitlan de Morelos1346321:15618
    6Zacatecas Mineros1245322:22017
    7Leones Negros1243517:17015
    8Atl. Morelia1243518:21-315
    9Venados1243524:28-415
    10Atletico La Paz1235424:24014
    11Tlaxcala1235413:21-814
    12Tapatio1233615:15012
    13Alebrijes Oaxaca1233614:21-712
    14Correcaminos1223715:32-179
    15Dorados de Sinaloa1312107:22-155

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Cancun is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Atlante is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Tampico Madero is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)