Result
3:2
03/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | AYM Sports |
 Usa | Aym Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Gutierrez G. (Own goal),
- 14', 1 - 1, Samano L. ⚽, Venegas J. (A),
- 19', Vazquez B. 🟨,
- 21', Cardona U. 🟨,
- 24', Parra D. 🟨,
- 27', 2 - 1, Samano L. ⚽, Gomez J. (A),
- 34', Gallegos D. 🟨,
- 35', Aguilar D. 🟨,
- 35', 3 - 1, Aguilar D. ⚽, Aguilar M. (A),
- 39', Ochoa Brandon ↓, Palma A. ↑,
- 39', Gallegos D. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', 3 - 2, Figueroa B. ⚽,
- 63', Chavez A. 🟨,
- 66', Samano L. 🟨,
- 67', Samano L. 🟥,
- 73', Aguilar D. ↓, Dominguez I. ↑,
- 75', Torres D. ↓, del Campo R. ↑,
- 81', Gutierrez G. 🟨,
- 83', Ballesteros O. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
- 83', Cardona U. ↓, Moreno Villegas J. A. ↑,
- 83', Gomez J. ↓, Soto A. ↑,
- 84', Figueroa B. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
- 90+2', Cerda J. 🟨,
- 90+6', Galindo J. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Tepatitlán de Morelos
45.4% | Draw
25.8% | Atlético Morelia
28.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tepatitlán de Morelos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tepatitlán de Morelos's performance.Atlético Morelia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tepatitlán de Morelos than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Morelia than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlético Morelia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↓
(2.3) |
3.69 ↑
(3.44) |
3.25 ↑
(2.81) |
5%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlético Morelia?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tepatitlán (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tepatitlán won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Tepatitlán could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Tepatitlán won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tepatitlán won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Tepatitlán de Morelos won against Atlético Morelia?
Tepatitlán de Morelos has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Morelia won against Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Atlético Morelia has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlético Morelia were as follows:
31.01.2025
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Atlético Morelia
3:1
17.08.2024
Atlético Morelia
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
2:1
04.02.2024
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Atlético Morelia
2:1
02.11.2023
Atlético Morelia
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
1:0
02.02.2023
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Atlético Morelia
2:0
Latest results of Tepatitlán de Morelos
Latest results of Atlético Morelia
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cancun | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:4 | 13 | 22 |
| 2 | Tampico Madero | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Atlante | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 21:8 | 13 | 19 |
| 4 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 19:11 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Irapuato | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | Leones Negros | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Atletico La Paz | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 19:18 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | -8 | 12 |
| 9 | Tapatio | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | Venados | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 22:24 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Atl. Morelia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:18 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | Zacatecas Mineros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14:14 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:19 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 14:27 | -13 | 6 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6:20 | -14 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
