Result
1:1
05/10/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.82 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (274/338) | 83% (298/359) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.25 | 1.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 6 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (274/338) | 83% (298/359) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (26/63) | 52% (23/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (52/79) | 67% (62/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 28% (7/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 9 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 25 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.54 | -0.75 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', Cortes K. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 0, Johan Bocanegra ⚽,
- 40', Rengifo J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Cortes K. ↓, Valencia A. ↑,
- 54', Johan Bocanegra ↓, Marcelin Perez J. G. ↑,
- 60', Batista F. ↓, Morelos A. ↑,
- 60', Rengifo J. ↓, Bauza J. ↑,
- 71', Ampudia J. ↓, Garcia E. ↑,
- 72', Sarmiento A. ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
- 72', Salazar A. ↓, Candido C. ↑,
- 77', Hernandez V. ↓, Peralta E. ↑,
- 79', Campuzano J. 🟨,
- 79', Molina J. 🟨,
- 83', Hinestroza M. ↓, Asprilla D. ↑,
- 87', Denis D. 🟨,
- 90+5', Londono K. 🟨,
- 90+6', Tesillo W. 🟨,
- 90+7', 1 - 1, Morelos A. (Pen),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/42jzm5dw
Chances of winning
Boyacá Chicó
18.2% | Draw
26% | Atlético Nacional
55.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boyacá Chicó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boyacá Chicó than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Boyacá Chicó - Atlético Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.14 ↓
(5.31) |
3.61 ↓
(3.72) |
1.68 ↑
(1.65) |
6.8%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boyacá Chicó won 1.
- Boyacá Chicó has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Atlético Nacional's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Atlético Nacional is considered a favorite.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Boyacá Chicó won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:45. (average 1.2:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Boyacá Chicó won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 1.3:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Boyacá Chicó won against Atlético Nacional?
Boyacá Chicó has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Boyacá Chicó?
Atlético Nacional has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Boyacá Chicó - Atlético Nacional were as follows:
16.04.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
Boyacá Chicó
4:1
29.09.2024
Atlético Nacional
-
Boyacá Chicó
6:2
16.03.2024
Boyacá Chicó
-
Atlético Nacional
2:1
22.10.2023
Boyacá Chicó
-
Atlético Nacional
1:3
07.05.2023
Atlético Nacional
-
Boyacá Chicó
3:1
Latest results of Boyacá Chicó
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bucaramanga | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 29:13 | 16 | 34 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 32:21 | 11 | 31 |
| 3 | Junior | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 31:21 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | Ind. Medellin | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 36:27 | 9 | 31 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 23:16 | 7 | 31 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 22:15 | 7 | 29 |
| 7 | Llaneros | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16:16 | 0 | 25 |
| 8 | Aguilas | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 26:23 | 3 | 24 |
| 9 | America De Cali | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 18:16 | 2 | 23 |
| 10 | Alianza | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 23 |
| 11 | Santa Fe | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17:16 | 1 | 22 |
| 12 | Once Caldas | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 19:23 | -4 | 22 |
| 13 | Millonarios | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 21 |
| 14 | Dep. Cali | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 20 |
| 15 | Pereira | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 | U. Magdalena | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 20:27 | -7 | 18 |
| 17 | Envigado | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14:20 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 | Chico | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 16 |
| 19 | Dep. Pasto | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 19:27 | -8 | 13 |
| 20 | La Equidad | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 9:26 | -17 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
