Result
0:4
10/03/2026 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 3
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 1.63 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (165/225) | 88% (420/479) |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 1.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 2.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 7 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (165/225) | 88% (420/479) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (29/60) | 62% (28/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (38/77) | 77% (95/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.30 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 30 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.06 | 0.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.94 | 0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', Pena J. 🟥,
- 23', Rivera H. ↓, Pestana J. ↑,
- 45+4', 0 - 1, Rengifo J. ⚽, Tesillo W. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Muriel L. ↓, Canchimbo J. ↑,
- 64', Chara Y. ↓, Angel Bernal F. S. ↑,
- 66', Zapata J. ↓, Cardona E. ↑,
- 73', Barrios C. ↓, Castrillon B. ↑,
- 73', Paiva G. ↓, Gutierrez T. ↑,
- 77', 0 - 2, Morelos A. ⚽, Rodriguez N. (A),
- 79', Morelos A. ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
- 79', Rodriguez N. ↓, Asprilla D. ↑,
- 83', 0 - 3, Asprilla D. ⚽, Sarmiento A. (A),
- 85', Campuzano J. ↓, Uribe M. ↑,
- 85', Sarmiento A. ↓, Bello E. ↑,
- 87', 0 - 4, Moreno M. ⚽, Asprilla D. (A),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/mrxxx52u
Chances of winning
Junior Barranquilla
32.5% | Draw
29% | Atlético Nacional
38.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Junior Barranquilla's form might have worsened.Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Junior Barranquilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.86 ↑
(2.42) |
3.22 ↓
(3.45) |
2.42 ↓
(2.72) |
7.3%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Nacional?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Nacional (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Junior (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Junior (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Junior (votes: 2 - 50%). Atlético Nacional (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Junior won 3.
- Recent performances by Junior have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Atlético Nacional is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Junior may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Junior won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:22. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Junior won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:9. (average 1.6:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Junior Barranquilla won against Atlético Nacional?
Junior Barranquilla has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Junior Barranquilla?
Atlético Nacional has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Nacional were as follows:
30.11.2025
Junior Barranquilla
-
Atlético Nacional
2:1
26.11.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
Junior Barranquilla
1:1
13.11.2025
Junior Barranquilla
-
Atlético Nacional
2:1
25.05.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
Junior Barranquilla
2:3
26.09.2024
Atlético Nacional
-
Junior Barranquilla
Abandoned
Latest results of Junior Barranquilla
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 35:14 | 21 | 40 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto ✔ | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 34 |
| 3 | Junior ✔ | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 32 |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima ✔ | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 30 |
| 5 | America De Cali ✔ | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:15 | 9 | 30 |
| 6 | Once Caldas ✔ | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 30:22 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25:23 | 2 | 28 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 26 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 10 | Ind. Medellin | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 26 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 29:21 | 8 | 25 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 25:18 | 7 | 23 |
| 13 | Aguilas | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 20:26 | -6 | 19 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 22:33 | -11 | 16 |
| 17 | Alianza | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11:25 | -14 | 16 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 18:33 | -15 | 15 |
| 19 | Chico | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 12:32 | -20 | 14 |
| 20 | Pereira | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 15:31 | -16 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Dep. Pasto is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Once Caldas is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
