Result
0:3
30/10/2025 at 21:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 18
- Referee: Matorel L. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 3.18 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (198/248) | 86% (361/421) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 3.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 3.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (198/248) | 86% (361/421) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (29/49) | 51% (27/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (29/54) | 76% (108/142) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 1.14 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.21 | 0.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 31', Angulo J. 🟥,
- 33', Uruena B. ↓, Mena Posada H. H. ↑,
- 41', 0 - 1, Campuzano J. (Pen),
- 45+5', Salazar A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Mojica A. ↓, Mantilla D. ↑,
- 46', Garcia S. 🟨,
- 48', Miranda L. 🟨,
- 49', 0 - 2, Rengifo J. ⚽,
- 56', Campuzano J. 🟨,
- 56', Campuzano J. ↓, Rivero E. ↑,
- 56', Hinestroza M. ↓, Sarmiento A. ↑,
- 63', Restrepo E. ↓, Sierra C. ↑,
- 63', Asprilla D. ↓, Batista F. ↑,
- 69', 0 - 3, Batista F. (Pen),
- 76', Mena Posada H. H. 🟨,
- 76', Caicedo R. 🟨,
- 77', Cardona E. ↓, Candido C. ↑,
- 78', Caicedo R. ↓, Tesillo W. ↑,
- 84', Sierra M. ↓, Goez Y. ↑,
- 84', Angulo J. ↓, Ospina N. ↑,
- 90', Tesillo W. 🟨,
- 90+5', Candido C. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/yrt7u7pa
Chances of winning
Llaneros SA
21.6% | Draw
27.2% | Atlético Nacional
51.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Llaneros SA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llaneros SA than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Llaneros SA - Atlético Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.42 ↑
(4.42) |
3.45 ↓
(3.66) |
1.81 ↑
(1.74) |
7%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Llaneros SA - Atlético Nacional?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético Nacional (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- 1X2, 2nd Half - Atlético Nacional (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Atlético Nacional (2.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Atlético Nacional will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético Nacional (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- Llaneros SA has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Atlético Nacional is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Llaneros SA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Atlético Nacional is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Llaneros SA won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Llaneros SA won against Atlético Nacional?
Llaneros SA has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Llaneros SA?
Atlético Nacional has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Llaneros SA - Atlético Nacional were as follows:
11.05.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
Llaneros SA
2:1
Latest results of Llaneros SA
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:12 | 2 | 17 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15:4 | 11 | 15 |
| 3 | Dep. Pasto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:8 | 1 | 15 |
| 4 | America De Cali | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13:10 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 12 |
| 7 | Junior | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Bucaramanga | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 11 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 10 | Aguilas | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 10 |
| 12 | Santa Fe | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Fortaleza | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | Millonarios | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 |
| 16 | Ind. Medellin | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Cucuta | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 | Pereira | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
| 19 | Chico | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:13 | -6 | 4 |
| 20 | Alianza | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:14 | -11 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
