Result
0:1
16/06/2025 at 21:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Quadrangular - Round 5
- Referee: Bismark S. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.90 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (341/423) | 77% (215/278) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.04 | 1.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (341/423) | 77% (215/278) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (30/57) | 44% (25/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (128/183) | 61% (51/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (7/28) | 33% (2/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 0.48 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', Catano D. 🟨,
- 30', Zapata J. 🟨,
- 40', Arce B. 🟨,
- 45', 0 - 1, Falcao R. ⚽, Catano D. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Sarmiento A. ↓, Viveros K. ↑,
- 63', Valencia J. ↓, Palacios K. ↑,
- 64', Falcao R. ↓, Giordana S. ↑,
- 70', Giordana S. 🟨,
- 72', Catano D. ↓, Cordoba Mosquera J. E. ↑,
- 74', Arce B. ↓, Asprilla D. ↑,
- 87', Vega S. ↓, Pereira J. ↑,
- 88', Arias J. J. 🟨,
- 90+6', Tesillo W. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/yvv8npyc
Chances of winning
Atlético Nacional
53.9% | Draw
27.1% | Millonarios
19% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Atlético Nacional - Millonarios Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73
(1.73) |
3.49 ↑
(3.3) |
5.06 ↑
(4.5) |
6.4%
(10.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Atlético Nacional - Millonarios?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Millonarios will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético Nacional: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlético Nacional will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 3 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Final))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 1.
- Recent performances by Atlético Nacional have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Millonarios is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Atlético Nacional is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 0.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Nacional won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Millonarios?
Atlético Nacional has won 3 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Millonarios won against Atlético Nacional?
Millonarios has won 6 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Nacional - Millonarios were as follows:
05.06.2025
Millonarios
-
Atlético Nacional
0:0
13.04.2025
Millonarios
-
Atlético Nacional
0:0
02.12.2024
Atlético Nacional
-
Millonarios
1:1
29.11.2024
Millonarios
-
Atlético Nacional
2:1
24.07.2024
Millonarios
-
Atlético Nacional
1:2
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Latest results of Millonarios
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Ind. Medellin | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Fortaleza | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:8 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Llaneros | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Deportes Tolima | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Atl. Nacional | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
| 7 | Pereira | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Envigado | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Dep. Cali | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | La Equidad | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | U. Magdalena | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 7 |
| 14 | Aguilas | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
| 15 | Chico | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 | Alianza | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Dep. Pasto | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 | America De Cali | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 19 | Millonarios | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 4 |
| 20 | Once Caldas | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
