Result
0:1
16/06/2025 at 21:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Quadrangular - Round 5
- Referee: Bismark S. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.87 | 0.90 |
Ball Possession |
---|
61% | 39% |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
81% (341/423) | 77% (215/278) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.87 | 0.90 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.04 | 1.33 |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
10 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
2 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
28 | 10 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
81% (341/423) | 77% (215/278) |
Long passes |
---|
53% (30/57) | 44% (25/57) |
Passes in final third |
---|
70% (128/183) | 61% (51/83) |
Crosses |
---|
25% (7/28) | 33% (2/6) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.76 | 0.48 |
Throw-ins |
---|
26 | 11 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
86% (12/14) | 80% (8/10) |
Duels won |
---|
36 | 36 |
Clearances |
---|
12 | 34 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.33 | 0.04 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.33 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', Catano D. 🟨,
- 30', Zapata J. 🟨,
- 40', Arce B. 🟨,
- 45', 0 - 1, Falcao R. ⚽, Catano D. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Sarmiento A. ↓, Viveros K. ↑,
- 63', Valencia J. ↓, Palacios K. ↑,
- 64', Falcao R. ↓, Giordana S. ↑,
- 70', Giordana S. 🟨,
- 72', Catano D. ↓, Cordoba Mosquera J. E. ↑,
- 74', Arce B. ↓, Asprilla D. ↑,
- 87', Vega S. ↓, Pereira J. ↑,
- 88', Arias J. J. 🟨,
- 90+6', Tesillo W. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/yvv8npyc
Chances of winning
Atlético Nacional 53.9% | Draw 27.1% | Millonarios 19% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Atlético Nacional - Millonarios Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.73 (1.73) |
3.49 ↑ (3.3) |
5.06 ↑ (4.5) |
6.4% (10.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Atlético Nacional - Millonarios?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Millonarios will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético Nacional: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlético Nacional will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 3 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Final))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 1.
- Recent performances by Atlético Nacional have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Millonarios is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Atlético Nacional is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 0.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Nacional won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Millonarios?
Atlético Nacional has won 3 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Millonarios won against Atlético Nacional?
Millonarios has won 6 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Nacional - Millonarios were as follows:
05.06.2025
Millonarios
-
Atlético Nacional
0:0
13.04.2025
Millonarios
-
Atlético Nacional
0:0
02.12.2024
Atlético Nacional
-
Millonarios
1:1
29.11.2024
Millonarios
-
Atlético Nacional
2:1
24.07.2024
Millonarios
-
Atlético Nacional
1:2
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Latest results of Millonarios
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Junior | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 13 |
2 | Llaneros | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 11 |
3 | Santa Fe | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
4 | Atl. Nacional | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
5 | Fortaleza | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
6 | Deportes Tolima | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
7 | Envigado | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
8 | Alianza | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 5 |
9 | Chico | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
10 | La Equidad | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
11 | Dep. Cali | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 5 |
12 | Dep. Pasto | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
13 | America De Cali | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
14 | Ind. Medellin | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 4 |
15 | Pereira | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
16 | U. Magdalena | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 4 |
17 | Aguilas | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 2 |
18 | Bucaramanga | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
19 | Once Caldas | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 |
20 | Millonarios | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )