Atlético Nacional vs Millonarios – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Sudamericana - Qualification - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, Disney+, ESPN 2
asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
boliviaBoliviaESPN 2, ESPN
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports
chileChileDirecTV Sports
colombiaColombiaESPN
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports, ESPN
italyItalyComo TV
mexicoMexicoDisney+
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
paraguayParaguayESPN 2, ESPN
peruPeruDirecTV Sports, Disney+, ESPN 2
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, Disney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, Disney+, ESPN, Inter

Chances of winning


Atlético Nacional
59%
Draw
26%
Millonarios
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.7% 30.5% 20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8% 30.4% 20.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Nacional's performance.
  • Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Millonarios might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Nacional that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Millonarios could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Atlético Nacional - Millonarios Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.89)
    3.62
    (3.01)
    6.12
    (4.42)
    6.6%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Atlético Nacional - Millonarios?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Millonarios will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Millonarios (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 1.
    • In recent matches, Atlético Nacional has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Millonarios is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Atlético Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Atlético Nacional is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 0.7:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Nacional won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.8:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Nacional - Millonarios were as follows:
    27.09.2025 Atlético Nacional - Millonarios 2:0
    16.06.2025 Atlético Nacional - Millonarios 0:1
    05.06.2025 Millonarios - Atlético Nacional 0:0
    13.04.2025 Millonarios - Atlético Nacional 0:0
    02.12.2024 Atlético Nacional - Millonarios 1:1
    Latest results of Millonarios
    Draw
    2026

    Final
    1Nacional AsuncionRecoleta
    2Sportivo TrinidenseOlimpia Asuncion
    3Alianza Atl.Deportivo Garcilaso2 : 0
    4CiencianoFBC Melgar
    5Montevideo CityDefensor Sp.1 : 0
    6Boston RiverRacing Montevideo
    7Puerto CabelloMonagas1 : 0
    8CaracasMetropolitanos
    9U. De ChilePalestino
    10CobresalA. Italiano1 : 2
    11Atl. NacionalMillonarios
    12America De CaliBucaramanga
    13IndependienteGuabira1 : 0
    14BloomingSA Bulo Bulo
    15Dep. CuencaLibertad
    16OrenseMacara