Atlético Nacional vs Millonarios – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A Atlético Nacional - Millonarios
Result
2:0
27/09/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Clausura - Round 13
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
usaUsaFanatiz, Fubo Latino 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.650.97
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
2015
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
86% (354/412)83% (242/293)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.650.97
xG on target (xGOT)
1.200.93
Total shots
2015
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
77
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
118
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
2510
Accurate through passes
03
Offsides
35
Free Kicks
1513
Passes
86% (354/412)83% (242/293)
Long passes
64% (35/55)55% (31/56)
Passes in final third
68% (73/107)68% (55/81)
Crosses
26% (5/19)42% (8/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.521.03
Throw-ins
1513
Fouls
1315
Tackles
70% (7/10)91% (10/11)
Duels won
3138
Clearances
1122
Interceptions
62
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
65
xGOT faced
0.931.20
Goals prevented
0.93-0.80

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Hinestroza M. 🟨,
  • 39', Candido C. 🟨,
  • 42', Hurtado J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 53', 1 - 0, Tesillo W. ,
  • 59', Novoa D. 🟨,
  • 60', 2 - 0, Campuzano J. (Pen),
  • 65', Hurtado J. , Bruno Savio ,
  • 68', Moreno M. , Sarmiento A. ,
  • 68', Bauza J. , Rengifo J. ,
  • 76', Castro Espinosa B. D. , Canozales C. ,
  • 76', Arevalo Chaparro J. N. , Giordana S. ,
  • 82', Morelos A. , Batista F. ,
  • 83', Sarmiento A. 🟨,
  • 85', Hinestroza M. , Toscano Bassa K. D. ,
  • 85', Vega S. , Victoria Palacios D. S. ,
  • 86', Mosquera E. , Viveros S. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/5dpvfrrk

Chances of winning


Atlético Nacional
60.9%
Draw
24.2%
Millonarios
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.8% 28.5% 18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54% 27.9% 18.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Nacional's performance.
  • Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Nacional that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Atlético Nacional - Millonarios Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.77)
    3.93
    (3.28)
    6.22
    (4.98)
    5.9%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Atlético Nacional - Millonarios?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Millonarios will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 46.4%99%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Atlético Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Millonarios has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Atlético Nacional is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 0.7:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Nacional won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Nacional - Millonarios were as follows:
    16.06.2025 Atlético Nacional - Millonarios 0:1
    05.06.2025 Millonarios - Atlético Nacional 0:0
    13.04.2025 Millonarios - Atlético Nacional 0:0
    02.12.2024 Atlético Nacional - Millonarios 1:1
    29.11.2024 Millonarios - Atlético Nacional 2:1
    Latest results of Millonarios
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bucaramanga17104329:131634
    2Ind. Medellin1694334:221231
    3Junior1794431:211031
    4Fortaleza1787223:16731
    5Deportes Tolima1792622:15729
    6Atl. Nacional1677227:19828
    7Llaneros1774616:16025
    8Aguilas1766526:23324
    9America De Cali1765618:16223
    10Alianza1765621:21023
    11Santa Fe1757517:16122
    12Once Caldas1764719:23-422
    13Millonarios1763820:24-421
    14Dep. Cali1755721:25-420
    15Pereira1746718:24-618
    16U. Magdalena1753920:27-718
    17Envigado1737714:20-616
    18Chico1737713:23-1016
    19Dep. Pasto1727819:27-813
    20La Equidad1725109:26-1711

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )