Result
3:0
01/11/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 14
- Referee: Martinez S. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (400/478) | 73% (215/295) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.44 | 0.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (400/478) | 73% (215/295) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (22/40) | 42% (27/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (81/120) | 61% (49/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (7/16) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.77 | 2.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.77 | -0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 15', Diaz L. 🟨,
- 25', 1 - 0, Abaldo M. ⚽, Avalos G. (A),
- 30', 2 - 0, Avalos G. ⚽, Loyola F. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Bajamich M. ↓, Franco N. ↑,
- 46', Lopez K. ↓, Godoy L. ↑,
- 47', Valdez S. 🟨,
- 51', Ortiz K. 🟨,
- 55', 3 - 0, Loyola F. ⚽, Montiel S. (A),
- 58', Galvan I. 🟥,
- 63', Ruiz R. ↓, Acosta G. ↑,
- 63', Sanchez A. ↓, Brizuela M. ↑,
- 67', Loyola F. ↓, Marcone I. ↑,
- 67', Rodrigo Fernandez ↓, Perez M. ↑,
- 74', Ortiz K. ↓, Tesuri R. ↑,
- 79', Millan L. ↓, Cabral L. ↑,
- 79', Lomonaco K. ↓, Freire N. ↑,
- 80', Ferreira Namandu C. D. 🟨,
- 85', Montiel S. ↓, Mazzantti W. ↑,
- 89', Ferreira Namandu C. D. 🟥,
- 90', Avalos G. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Independiente
52.5% | Draw
27.7% | Atlético Tucumán
19.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente's performance.Atlético Tucumán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Tucumán than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Independiente - Atlético Tucumán Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↓
(1.99) |
3.37 ↑
(3.3) |
4.73 ↑
(3.85) |
6.7%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Independiente - Atlético Tucumán?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Independiente (2.01) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Independiente (2.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Independiente (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Atlético Tucumán (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Atlético Tucumán (3.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Independiente will win
(53 of 58 users predict this - 91.38%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.16% – 98.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Independiente will win (29 of 31 users predict this - 93.55%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 37 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente (votes: 33 - 89.2%). Atlético Tucumán (votes: 2 - 5.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 5.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 2.
- Independiente has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Atlético Tucumán has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Atlético Tucumán may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Independiente is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Independiente: Paredes F.
(Inactive)
Valenzuela M.
(Injury)
Vera F.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Atlético Tucumán: Brandan M.
(Calf Injury)
Infante J.
(Knee Injury)
Lamendola N.
(Yellow Cards)
Tesuri R.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente won against Atlético Tucumán?
Independiente has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Tucumán won against Independiente?
Atlético Tucumán has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente - Atlético Tucumán were as follows:
30.04.2025
Atlético Tucumán
-
Independiente
2:0
09.12.2024
Independiente
-
Atlético Tucumán
2:1
31.03.2024
Independiente
-
Atlético Tucumán
1:1
04.11.2023
Atlético Tucumán
-
Independiente
1:2
23.07.2023
Atlético Tucumán
-
Independiente
1:0
Latest results of Independiente
Latest results of Atlético Tucumán
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Platense | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | San Lorenzo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Independiente | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Talleres Cordoba | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:3 | 3 | 8 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Lanus | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Instituto | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Central Cordoba | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3:4 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Dep. Riestra | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Newells Old Boys | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:14 | -9 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Belgrano | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Ind. Rivadavia | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Tigre | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Gimnasia L.P | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 | Huracan | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 | Argentinos Jrs | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Banfield | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Racing Club | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | River Plate | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:11 | -10 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
