Atlético Tucumán vs Independiente – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Atlético Tucumán - Independiente
Result
2:0
30/04/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 14
  • Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTNT Sports
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
chinaChinaK-Ball
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia
portugalPortugalSport TV3
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.920.61
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
812
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
67% (162/243)80% (360/448)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.920.61
xG on target (xGOT)
2.510.20
Total shots
812
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
04
Shots inside the Box
67
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1716
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
53
Free Kicks
1120
Passes
67% (162/243)80% (360/448)
Long passes
30% (18/60)53% (33/62)
Passes in final third
47% (42/89)54% (57/106)
Crosses
35% (6/17)14% (3/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.350.57
Throw-ins
1122
Fouls
2011
Tackles
61% (11/18)46% (6/13)
Duels won
4459
Clearances
3326
Interceptions
93
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.202.51
Goals prevented
0.200.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', Paredes F. 🟨,
  • 24', 1 - 0, Bajamich M. , Ruiz R. (A),
  • 31', Ferrari G. 🟨,
  • 38', Rodrigo Fernandez 🟨,
  • 39', Acosta G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Paredes F. , Valdez S. ,
  • 55', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
  • 57', Hidalgo S. , Millan L. ,
  • 57', Rodrigo Fernandez , Marcone I. ,
  • 61', Acosta G. , Lopez K. ,
  • 61', Ruiz R. , Auzqui C. ,
  • 70', Bajamich M. , Cabrera L. ,
  • 70', Lamendola N. , Franco N. ,
  • 75', Sporle A. , Maestro I. ,
  • 75', Tarzia D. , Angulo A. ,
  • 86', Valdez S. 🟨,
  • 87', 2 - 0, Diaz L. , Cabrera L. (A),
  • 90+1', Diaz L. , Melo R. ,
  • 90+3', Angulo A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Atlético Tucumán
27.7%
Draw
30.7%
Independiente
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.6% 28.5% 42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3% 28.2% 43.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Tucumán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Tucumán than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Atlético Tucumán - Independiente Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.4
    (3.3)
    3.08
    (3.31)
    2.28
    (2.2)
    5.7%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Atlético Tucumán - Independiente?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Atlético Tucumán will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Independiente will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 23.4%70.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlético Tucumán will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Independiente is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Tucumán won 2.
    • Recent matches Atlético Tucumán is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Independiente is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Independiente could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Independiente will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Atlético Tucumán: Brandan M. (Inactive) Infante J. (Knee Injury) Tesuri R. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Independiente: Paredes F. (Muscle Injury) Salle S. (Ankle Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Atlético Tucumán won 11 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 25:16 (average 1.3:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Tucumán won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:8 (average 1.2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Tucumán - Independiente were as follows:
    09.12.2024 Independiente - Atlético Tucumán 2:1
    31.03.2024 Independiente - Atlético Tucumán 1:1
    04.11.2023 Atlético Tucumán - Independiente 1:2
    23.07.2023 Atlético Tucumán - Independiente 1:0
    Latest results of Atlético Tucumán
    Latest results of Independiente
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Defensa y Justicia21102:024
    2Banfield21102:114
    3Union de Santa Fe21102:114
    4Ind. Rivadavia21014:223
    5Belgrano21013:123
    6Newells Old Boys21013:303
    7Tigre21013:303
    8Estudiantes L.P21012:203
    9Racing Club21011:103
    10Barracas Central21011:3-23
    11Boca Juniors20201:102
    12Central Cordoba20201:102
    13Argentinos Jrs20111:2-11
    14Aldosivi20110:2-21
    15Huracan20021:5-40


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate22007:166
    2Atl. Tucuman21103:214
    3Rosario Central21102:114
    4Velez Sarsfield21102:114
    5San Lorenzo21102:114
    6San Martin S.J21014:403
    7Talleres Cordoba21013:303
    8Dep. Riestra21013:303
    9Instituto21011:4-33
    10Sarmiento Junin20202:202
    11Godoy Cruz20201:102
    12Independiente20113:4-11
    13Gimnasia L.P20110:1-11
    14Platense20111:3-21
    15Lanus20020:2-20

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)