Result
2:0
30/04/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 14
- Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TNT Sports |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 China | K-Ball |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Italy | Como TV, Sportitalia |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.61 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (162/243) | 80% (360/448) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.51 | 0.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (162/243) | 80% (360/448) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (18/60) | 53% (33/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (42/89) | 54% (57/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 14% (3/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.57 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 46% (6/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.20 | 2.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', Paredes F. 🟨,
- 24', 1 - 0, Bajamich M. ⚽, Ruiz R. (A),
- 31', Ferrari G. 🟨,
- 38', Rodrigo Fernandez 🟨,
- 39', Acosta G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Paredes F. ↓, Valdez S. ↑,
- 55', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
- 57', Hidalgo S. ↓, Millan L. ↑,
- 57', Rodrigo Fernandez ↓, Marcone I. ↑,
- 61', Acosta G. ↓, Lopez K. ↑,
- 61', Ruiz R. ↓, Auzqui C. ↑,
- 70', Bajamich M. ↓, Cabrera L. ↑,
- 70', Lamendola N. ↓, Franco N. ↑,
- 75', Sporle A. ↓, Maestro I. ↑,
- 75', Tarzia D. ↓, Angulo A. ↑,
- 86', Valdez S. 🟨,
- 87', 2 - 0, Diaz L. ⚽, Cabrera L. (A),
- 90+1', Diaz L. ↓, Melo R. ↑,
- 90+3', Angulo A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlético Tucumán
27.7% | Draw
30.7% | Independiente
41.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Tucumán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Tucumán than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Atlético Tucumán - Independiente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.4 ↑
(3.3) |
3.08 ↓
(3.31) |
2.28 ↑
(2.2) |
5.7%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Atlético Tucumán - Independiente?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Atlético Tucumán will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Independiente will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 23.4% – 70.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlético Tucumán will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Independiente is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Tucumán won 2.
- Recent matches Atlético Tucumán is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Independiente is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Independiente could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Independiente will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Atlético Tucumán: Brandan M.
(Inactive)
Infante J.
(Knee Injury)
Tesuri R.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Independiente: Paredes F.
(Muscle Injury)
Salle S.
(Ankle Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Atlético Tucumán won 11 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 25:16 (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Tucumán won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:8 (average 1.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Tucumán won against Independiente?
Atlético Tucumán has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente won against Atlético Tucumán?
Independiente has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Tucumán - Independiente were as follows:
09.12.2024
Independiente
-
Atlético Tucumán
2:1
31.03.2024
Independiente
-
Atlético Tucumán
1:1
04.11.2023
Atlético Tucumán
-
Independiente
1:2
23.07.2023
Atlético Tucumán
-
Independiente
1:0
Latest results of Atlético Tucumán
Latest results of Independiente
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barracas Central | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 14 |
| 2 | Central Cordoba | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Union de Santa Fe | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Estudiantes L.P | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Huracan | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 11 |
| 8 | Banfield | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Argentinos Jrs | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Ind. Rivadavia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Tigre | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Belgrano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Newells Old Boys | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 | Racing Club | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 4 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1:8 | -7 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14:4 | 10 | 15 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 14 |
| 3 | Dep. Riestra | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | San Lorenzo | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:5 | 0 | 10 |
| 7 | Lanus | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Atl. Tucuman | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
| 9 | San Martin S.J | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Godoy Cruz | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 11 | Platense | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 13 | Instituto | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2:10 | -8 | 6 |
| 14 | Talleres Cordoba | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 5 |
| 15 | Independiente | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
