Result
2:0
30/04/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 14
- Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Argentina | TNT Sports |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
China | K-Ball |
Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
Italy | Como TV, Sportitalia |
Portugal | Sport TV3 |
Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Inter |
World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.92 | 0.61 |
Ball Possession |
---|
36% | 64% |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
67% (162/243) | 80% (360/448) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.92 | 0.61 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.51 | 0.20 |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
0 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
17 | 16 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
5 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 20 |
Passes |
---|
67% (162/243) | 80% (360/448) |
Long passes |
---|
30% (18/60) | 53% (33/62) |
Passes in final third |
---|
47% (42/89) | 54% (57/106) |
Crosses |
---|
35% (6/17) | 14% (3/21) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.35 | 0.57 |
Throw-ins |
---|
11 | 22 |
Fouls |
---|
20 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
61% (11/18) | 46% (6/13) |
Duels won |
---|
44 | 59 |
Clearances |
---|
33 | 26 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 3 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.20 | 2.51 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.20 | 0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', Paredes F. 🟨,
- 24', 1 - 0, Bajamich M. ⚽, Ruiz R. (A),
- 31', Ferrari G. 🟨,
- 38', Rodrigo Fernandez 🟨,
- 39', Acosta G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Paredes F. ↓, Valdez S. ↑,
- 55', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
- 57', Hidalgo S. ↓, Millan L. ↑,
- 57', Rodrigo Fernandez ↓, Marcone I. ↑,
- 61', Acosta G. ↓, Lopez K. ↑,
- 61', Ruiz R. ↓, Auzqui C. ↑,
- 70', Bajamich M. ↓, Cabrera L. ↑,
- 70', Lamendola N. ↓, Franco N. ↑,
- 75', Sporle A. ↓, Maestro I. ↑,
- 75', Tarzia D. ↓, Angulo A. ↑,
- 86', Valdez S. 🟨,
- 87', 2 - 0, Diaz L. ⚽, Cabrera L. (A),
- 90+1', Diaz L. ↓, Melo R. ↑,
- 90+3', Angulo A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlético Tucumán 27.7% | Draw 30.7% | Independiente 41.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Tucumán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Tucumán than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Atlético Tucumán - Independiente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.4 ↑ (3.3) |
3.08 ↓ (3.31) |
2.28 ↑ (2.2) |
5.7% (6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Atlético Tucumán - Independiente?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Atlético Tucumán will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Independiente will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 23.4% – 70.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlético Tucumán will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Independiente is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Tucumán won 2.
- Recent matches Atlético Tucumán is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Independiente is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Independiente could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Independiente will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Atlético Tucumán: Brandan M.
(Inactive)
Infante J.
(Knee Injury)
Tesuri R.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Independiente: Paredes F.
(Muscle Injury)
Salle S.
(Ankle Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Atlético Tucumán won 11 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 25:16 (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Tucumán won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:8 (average 1.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Tucumán won against Independiente?
Atlético Tucumán has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente won against Atlético Tucumán?
Independiente has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Tucumán - Independiente were as follows:
09.12.2024
Independiente
-
Atlético Tucumán
2:1
31.03.2024
Independiente
-
Atlético Tucumán
1:1
04.11.2023
Atlético Tucumán
-
Independiente
1:2
23.07.2023
Atlético Tucumán
-
Independiente
1:0
Latest results of Atlético Tucumán
Latest results of Independiente
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Defensa y Justicia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
2 | Banfield | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
3 | Union de Santa Fe | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Ind. Rivadavia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
5 | Belgrano | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
6 | Newells Old Boys | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
7 | Tigre | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
8 | Estudiantes L.P | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
9 | Racing Club | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
10 | Barracas Central | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 3 |
11 | Boca Juniors | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
12 | Central Cordoba | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
13 | Argentinos Jrs | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
14 | Aldosivi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
15 | Huracan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | River Plate | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 6 |
2 | Atl. Tucuman | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
3 | Rosario Central | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Velez Sarsfield | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
5 | San Lorenzo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
6 | San Martin S.J | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
7 | Talleres Cordoba | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
8 | Dep. Riestra | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
9 | Instituto | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 3 |
10 | Sarmiento Junin | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
11 | Godoy Cruz | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
12 | Independiente | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
13 | Gimnasia L.P | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
14 | Platense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
15 | Lanus | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)