Vélez Sársfield vs Atlético Tucumán – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional
Result
3:1
29/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 10
  • Referee: Merlos A. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN, ESPN Premium
brazilBrazilDisney+
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.061.14
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
218
Shots on target
94
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
76% (339/448)71% (300/420)
Yellow Cards
45
Expected Goals (xG)
2.061.14
xG on target (xGOT)
2.770.58
Total shots
218
Shots on target
94
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
50
Shots inside the Box
146
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
4012
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1610
Passes
76% (339/448)71% (300/420)
Long passes
39% (24/61)38% (33/86)
Passes in final third
69% (118/171)47% (58/123)
Crosses
30% (6/20)50% (3/6)
Expected assists (xA)
2.000.69
Throw-ins
2119
Fouls
1016
Tackles
70% (14/20)65% (11/17)
Duels won
6856
Clearances
1432
Interceptions
1021
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
0.582.77
Goals prevented
-0.42-0.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 5', Sanchez A. 🟨,
  • 14', 0 - 1, Bajamich M. ⚽,
  • 31', Bouzat A. 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 1, Braian Romero ⚽, Pellegrini M. (A),
  • 39', 2 - 1, Braian Romero ⚽, Galvan T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', Pizzini F. 🟨,
  • 60', Martinez D. 🟨,
  • 64', Lopez K. ↓, Ruiz R. ↑,
  • 64', Lamendola N. ↓, Godoy L. ↑,
  • 64', Martinez D. ↓, Villa M. ↑,
  • 67', Pellegrini M. ↓, Aliendro R. ↑,
  • 70', Baeza C. 🟨,
  • 73', Bajamich M. ↓, Abeldano G. ↑,
  • 78', Galvan T. ↓, Valdes D. ↑,
  • 78', Sanchez A. ↓, Franco N. ↑,
  • 81', Franco N. 🟨,
  • 84', Ortiz K. 🟨,
  • 86', Bouzat A. ↓, Arias M. ↑,
  • 87', Braian Romero ↓, Roldan L. ↑,
  • 87', Pizzini F. ↓, Godoy D. ↑,
  • 90+1', Ortiz M. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 🟨,
  • 90+4', 3 - 1, Valdes D. ⚽, Baeza C. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vélez Sársfield
48.9%		Draw
29.8%		Atlético Tucumán
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.1% 29.8% 22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48% 29.9% 22.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Atlético Tucumán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Tucumán than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
    •

    Vélez Sársfield - Atlético Tucumán Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.97 ↑
    (1.96)    		 3.14 ↓
    (3.17)    		 4.49 ↑
    (4.28)    		 5%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield - Atlético Tucumán?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Atlético Tucumán will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 16.1% – 74.9%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Vélez (votes: 3 - 50%). Atlético Tucumán (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Vélez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Vélez is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Vélez: Cavanagh T. (Injury) Fernandez T. (Knee Injury) Garcia J. (Broken ankle) Quiros A. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Atlético Tucumán: Brandan M. (Calf Injury) Infante J. (Knee Injury) Roman P. (Inactive) Tesuri R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Vélez: Gordon J. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vélez won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield - Atlético Tucumán were as follows:
    01.06.2024 Vélez Sársfield - Atlético Tucumán 1:1
    02.03.2024 Atlético Tucumán - Vélez Sársfield 0:0
    09.10.2023 Vélez Sársfield - Atlético Tucumán 3:1
    20.02.2023 Atlético Tucumán - Vélez Sársfield 1:1
    Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
    23.09.2025 Racing - Vélez Sársfield 1:0 ✺
    19.09.2025 San Martín de San Juan - Vélez Sársfield 1:2 ✺
    16.09.2025 Vélez Sársfield - Racing 0:1 ✺
    12.09.2025 Huracán Buenos Aires - Vélez Sársfield 0:0 ✺
    06.09.2025 Vélez Sársfield - Central Córdoba 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Atlético Tucumán
    20.09.2025 Atlético Tucumán - River Plate 2:0 ✺
    12.09.2025 Newells Old Boys - Atlético Tucumán 2:0 ✺
    01.09.2025 Gimnasia La Plata - Atlético Tucumán 1:0 ✺
    23.08.2025 Atlético Tucumán - Talleres de Córdoba 3:0 ✺
    18.08.2025 Sarmiento de Junín - Atlético Tucumán 2:2 ✺
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P. ✔ 1694319:71231
    2Boca Juniors ✔ 1686222:91330
    3Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1576217:11627
    4Talleres Cordoba ✔ 1675417:13426
    5Independiente ✔ 1666424:20424
    6Lanus ✔ 1666418:15324
    7San Lorenzo ✔ 1657414:14022
    8Union de Santa Fe1656524:20421
    9Defensa y Justicia1547417:19-219
    10Instituto1553715:17-218
    11Platense1637610:15-516
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1544712:21-916
    13Central Cordoba1644811:21-1016
    14Newells Old Boys1535714:26-1214
    15Dep. Riestra161875:12-711


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 16104229:151434
    2River Plate ✔ 1592422:111129
    3Argentinos Jrs ✔ 1685317:13429
    4Rosario Central ✔ 1684420:16428
    5Belgrano ✔ 1675417:13426
    6Gimnasia L.P. ✔ 1682619:19026
    7Huracan1657417:13422
    8Racing Club1656517:15221
    9Barracas Central1656515:15021
    10Tigre1648418:15320
    11Sarmiento Junin1661913:20-719
    12Banfield1653817:19-218
    13Atl. Tucuman1525814:20-611
    14Aldosivi160886:19-138
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1512125:22-175

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Independiente is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    San Lorenzo is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Belgrano is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Gimnasia L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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