Atlético Tucumán vs River Plate – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Atlético Tucumán - River Plate
Result
2:0
20/09/2025 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 9
  • Referee: Tello F. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.590.59
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
1718
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
104
Passes
72% (180/250)81% (397/489)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.590.59
xG on target (xGOT)
2.490.54
Total shots
1718
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
78
Blocked Shots
27
Shots inside the Box
134
Shots outside the Box
414
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
104
Touches in opposition box
2114
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1113
Passes
72% (180/250)81% (397/489)
Long passes
46% (32/69)44% (21/48)
Passes in final third
51% (41/81)74% (119/161)
Crosses
47% (8/17)16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.760.62
Throw-ins
1321
Fouls
1311
Tackles
65% (13/20)70% (14/20)
Duels won
5549
Clearances
2518
Interceptions
148
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
0.542.49
Goals prevented
0.540.49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Ferreira Namandu C. D. , Godoy L. (A),
  • 39', Mansilla M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 62', Quintero J. , Lencina S. ,
  • 62', Giuliano Galoppo , Portillo J. ,
  • 62', Agustin De la Cuesta , Acosta T. ,
  • 63', Godoy L. , Lopez K. ,
  • 68', 2 - 0, Diaz L. (Pen),
  • 70', Galarza M. , Meza J. ,
  • 78', Martinez D. , Villa M. ,
  • 78', Lamendola N. , Ruiz R. ,
  • 78', Colidio F. , Dadin B. ,
  • 89', Diaz L. , Acosta G. ,
  • 89', Bajamich M. , Abeldano G. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Atlético Tucumán
38.2%
Draw
31.1%
River Plate
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.5% 30.3% 43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1% 29.9% 43.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Tucumán's performance.
  • River Plate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and River Plate might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tucumán than the current prediction. (-12.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Tucumán that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (+13.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that River Plate could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Atlético Tucumán - River Plate Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.61
    (3.55)
    3.22
    (3.1)
    3.27
    (2.18)
    -0%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Atlético Tucumán - River Plate?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Atlético Tucumán will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). River Plate will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 13.8%69.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. River Plate (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Atlético Tucumán (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Tucumán won 0.
    • Atlético Tucumán is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • River Plate is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Atlético Tucumán may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Atlético Tucumán: Brandan M. (Calf Injury) Coronel M. (Inactive) Infante J. (Knee Injury) Tesuri R. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in River Plate: Costantini G. (Inactive) Martinez P. (Inactive) Martinez Quarta L. (Red Card) Meza M. (Knee Injury) Pezzella G. (Knee Injury) Ruberto A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in River Plate: Driussi S. (Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Atlético Tucumán won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.6:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Tucumán won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Tucumán - River Plate were as follows:
    09.03.2025 River Plate - Atlético Tucumán 1:0
    13.09.2024 River Plate - Atlético Tucumán 4:1
    14.02.2024 Atlético Tucumán - River Plate 0:0
    21.09.2023 River Plate - Atlético Tucumán 1:0
    Latest results of River Plate
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union de Santa Fe1145215:10517
    2Defensa y Justicia1144312:10216
    3Barracas Central1044212:10216
    4Tigre1144310:8216
    5Estudiantes L.P1051411:11016
    6Huracan114436:8-216
    7Argentinos Jrs1143412:8415
    8Central Cordoba1136212:9315
    9Boca Juniors1035213:8514
    10Banfield114259:14-514
    11Belgrano1034310:8213
    12Racing Club1032510:12-211
    13Ind. Rivadavia1024410:12-210
    14Newells Old Boys102449:12-310
    15Aldosivi111373:14-116


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra1071214:6822
    2Velez Sarsfield1063114:5921
    3Lanus1162311:9220
    4River Plate1053217:9818
    5San Lorenzo114439:8116
    6Rosario Central93609:4515
    7Atl. Tucuman1143413:11215
    8Gimnasia L.P114167:12-513
    9Sarmiento Junin103348:11-312
    10Instituto112635:11-612
    11San Martin S.J112548:11-311
    12Talleres Cordoba102445:9-410
    13Platense1024410:15-510
    14Godoy Cruz101548:13-58
    15Independiente90545:9-45

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)