Atlético Tucumán vs River Plate – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
20/09/2025 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 9
  • Referee: Tello F. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.590.59
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
1718
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
104
Passes
72% (180/250)81% (397/489)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.590.59
xG on target (xGOT)
2.490.54
Total shots
1718
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
78
Blocked Shots
27
Shots inside the Box
134
Shots outside the Box
414
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
104
Touches in opposition box
2114
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1113
Passes
72% (180/250)81% (397/489)
Long passes
46% (32/69)44% (21/48)
Passes in final third
51% (41/81)74% (119/161)
Crosses
47% (8/17)16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.760.62
Throw-ins
1321
Fouls
1311
Tackles
65% (13/20)70% (14/20)
Duels won
5549
Clearances
2518
Interceptions
148
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
0.542.49
Goals prevented
0.540.49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Ferreira Namandu C. D. , Godoy L. (A),
  • 39', Mansilla M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 62', Quintero J. , Lencina S. ,
  • 62', Giuliano Galoppo , Portillo J. ,
  • 62', Agustin De la Cuesta , Acosta T. ,
  • 63', Godoy L. , Lopez K. ,
  • 68', 2 - 0, Diaz L. (Pen),
  • 70', Galarza M. , Meza J. ,
  • 78', Martinez D. , Villa M. ,
  • 78', Lamendola N. , Ruiz R. ,
  • 78', Colidio F. , Dadin B. ,
  • 89', Diaz L. , Acosta G. ,
  • 89', Bajamich M. , Abeldano G. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Atlético Tucumán
38.2%
Draw
31.1%
River Plate
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.5% 30.3% 43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1% 29.9% 43.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Tucumán's performance.
  • River Plate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and River Plate might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tucumán than the current prediction. (-12.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Tucumán that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (+13.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that River Plate could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Atlético Tucumán - River Plate Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.61
    (3.55)
    3.22
    (3.1)
    3.27
    (2.18)
    -0%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Atlético Tucumán - River Plate?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Atlético Tucumán will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). River Plate will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 13.8%69.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. River Plate (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Atlético Tucumán (1.95) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético Tucumán (votes: 3 - 37.5%). River Plate (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Tucumán won 0.
    • Atlético Tucumán is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • River Plate is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Atlético Tucumán may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Atlético Tucumán: Brandan M. (Calf Injury) Coronel M. (Inactive) Infante J. (Knee Injury) Tesuri R. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in River Plate: Costantini G. (Inactive) Martinez P. (Inactive) Martinez Quarta L. (Red Card) Meza M. (Knee Injury) Pezzella G. (Knee Injury) Ruberto A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in River Plate: Driussi S. (Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Atlético Tucumán won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.6:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Tucumán won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Tucumán - River Plate were as follows:
    09.03.2025 River Plate - Atlético Tucumán 1:0
    13.09.2024 River Plate - Atlético Tucumán 4:1
    14.02.2024 Atlético Tucumán - River Plate 0:0
    21.09.2023 River Plate - Atlético Tucumán 1:0
    Latest results of River Plate
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield85309:4518
    2Estudiantes L.P84317:3415
    3Union de Santa Fe842211:5614
    4Independiente834111:7413
    5Platense83415:3213
    6San Lorenzo83327:5212
    7Defensa y Justicia82607:5212
    8Talleres Cordoba83238:9-111
    9Boca Juniors72326:519
    10Lanus62319:909
    11Instituto82249:10-18
    12Central Cordoba82243:6-38
    13Gimnasia Mendoza82245:10-58
    14Dep. Riestra80532:5-35
    15Newells Old Boys80265:16-112


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia852112:8417
    2Tigre843114:7715
    3Belgrano74309:4515
    4Rosario Central842210:6414
    5River Plate83238:8011
    6Gimnasia L.P83239:10-111
    7Banfield83149:9010
    8Argentinos Jrs62314:319
    9Barracas Central82336:7-19
    10Huracan72325:6-19
    11Racing Club72238:9-18
    12Sarmiento Junin72055:9-46
    13Atl. Tucuman71249:10-15
    14Estudiantes Rio Cuarto71153:11-84
    15Aldosivi70342:8-63

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)