Atlético Tucumán vs Gimnasia La Plata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
20/03/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 12
  • Referee: Gariano A. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN, ESPN Premium
boliviaBoliviaESPN
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.890.60
Ball possession
37%63%
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
21
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
64
Passes
67% (182/272)81% (381/468)
Yellow cards
26
Expected goals (xG)
0.890.60
xG on target (xGOT)
1.190.15
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
94
Blocked shots
55
Shots inside the box
108
Shots outside the box
62
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
1622
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free kicks
1412
Passes
67% (182/272)81% (381/468)
Long passes
41% (26/64)36% (21/58)
Passes in final third
69% (74/108)62% (71/115)
Crosses
25% (5/20)26% (7/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.700.43
Throw ins
1923
Fouls
1214
Tackles
76% (16/21)60% (9/15)
Duels won
5845
Clearances
3020
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
11
xGOT faced
0.151.19
Goals prevented
0.150.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', Errecalde G. 🟨,
  • 12', 1 - 0, Ferreira Namandu C. D. , Franco N. (A),
  • 31', Max A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 47', Fernandez N. 🟨,
  • 60', Aguiar P. , Zalazar M. ,
  • 60', Errecalde G. , Giampaoli R. ,
  • 66', Galvan I. , Vallejo L. ,
  • 68', Steimbach A. 🟨,
  • 69', Lamendola N. 🟨,
  • 72', Schelotto N. , Torres F. ,
  • 72', Torres M. , Auzmendi A. ,
  • 74', Ham E. , Compagnucci G. ,
  • 78', Max A. , Mastrangelo D. ,
  • 82', Panaro M. 🟨,
  • 88', Tesuri R. , Vega L. ,
  • 89', Franco N. , Ferrari G. ,
  • 90+5', Villa M. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Giampaoli R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Atlético Tucumán
45.4%
Draw
29.5%
Gimnasia La Plata
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 30.6% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2% 31.3% 27.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tucumán than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Atlético Tucumán - Gimnasia La Plata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (2.23)
    3.19
    (3)
    3.74
    (3.28)
    6.3%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Atlético Tucumán - Gimnasia La Plata?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Atlético Tucumán will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético Tucumán: 54%99.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Gimnasia La Plata (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Tucumán won 1.
    • Atlético Tucumán has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Gimnasia La Plata has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Atlético Tucumán will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Atlético Tucumán: Brandan M. (Calf Injury) Godoy L. (Red Card) Infante J. (Muscle Injury) Ortiz K. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Di Biasi F. (Knee Injury) German Conti (Inactive) Insfran N. (Inactive) Mammini I. (Knee Injury) Miramon I. (Injury) Villarreal S. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Atlético Tucumán won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 1.1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Tucumán won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Tucumán - Gimnasia La Plata were as follows:
    01.09.2025 Gimnasia La Plata - Atlético Tucumán 1:0
    23.02.2025 Atlético Tucumán - Gimnasia La Plata 0:1
    24.11.2024 Gimnasia La Plata - Atlético Tucumán 1:0
    22.05.2024 Atlético Tucumán - Gimnasia La Plata 1:2
    07.04.2024 Atlético Tucumán - Gimnasia La Plata 3:2
    Latest results of Atlético Tucumán
    Latest results of Gimnasia La Plata
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P. ✔ 1694319:71231
    2Boca Juniors ✔ 1686222:91330
    3Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1576217:11627
    4Talleres Cordoba ✔ 1675417:13426
    5Independiente ✔ 1666424:20424
    6Lanus ✔ 1666418:15324
    7San Lorenzo ✔ 1657414:14022
    8Union de Santa Fe1656524:20421
    9Defensa y Justicia1547417:19-219
    10Instituto1553715:17-218
    11Platense1637610:15-516
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1544712:21-916
    13Central Cordoba1644811:21-1016
    14Newells Old Boys1535714:26-1214
    15Dep. Riestra161875:12-711


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 16104229:151434
    2River Plate ✔ 1692522:121029
    3Argentinos Jrs ✔ 1685317:13429
    4Rosario Central ✔ 1684420:16428
    5Belgrano ✔ 1675417:13426
    6Gimnasia L.P. ✔ 1682619:19026
    7Huracan1657417:13422
    8Racing Club1656517:15221
    9Barracas Central1656515:15021
    10Tigre1648418:15320
    11Sarmiento Junin1661913:20-719
    12Banfield1653817:19-218
    13Atl. Tucuman1635815:20-514
    14Aldosivi160886:19-138
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1512125:22-175

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Independiente is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    San Lorenzo is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Belgrano is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Gimnasia L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)