Result
1:3
31/12/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 Malaysia | SPOTV |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 1 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.52 | 2.58 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 71% | 29% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (474/544) | 72% (173/239) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.52 | 2.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 2.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 59 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (474/544) | 72% (173/239) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 74% (35/47) | 21% (9/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (189/228) | 54% (33/61) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (18/61) | 50% (2/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.39 | 0.80 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (11/20) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 63 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.50 | 1.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.50 | 0.90 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 6', Badolato A. ↓, Dobson W. ↑,
- 7', 0 - 1, Rose L. ⚽, Taylor C. (A),
- 12', Cooper M. 🟨,
- 13', 1 - 1, Randall J. ⚽,
- 16', 1 - 2, Dobson W. ⚽,
- 18', Brook L. 🟨,
- 21', Cooper M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Elliot C. ↓, Sakai H. ↑,
- 46', Taylor C. ↓, Bertoncello X. ↑,
- 46', Adams E. ↓, Shaughnessy J. ↑,
- 54', Randall J. ↓, Rogerson L. ↑,
- 65', Brook L. ↓, Bidois J. ↑,
- 65', Gallegos L. F. ↓, Howieson C. ↑,
- 75', Bertolissio J. 🟨,
- 76', Bertoncello X. ↓, Mizunuma K. ↑,
- 79', Grozos K. 🟨,
- 79', May G. ↓, Francois M. ↑,
- 85', Delianov J. 🟨,
- 86', Bayliss L. ↓, Bracco C. ↑,
- 90+1', Dobson W. 🟨,
- 90+6', 1 - 3, Rose L. ⚽, Natta M. (A),
Chances of winning
Auckland FC
58.3% | Draw
21% | Newcastle Jets
20.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Auckland FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Newcastle Jets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auckland FC than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Auckland FC - Newcastle Jets Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↓
(1.71) |
4.48 ↑
(4.02) |
4.54 ↑
(4.02) |
5.9%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Auckland FC - Newcastle Jets?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Auckland (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Auckland (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 4 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Auckland FC will win
(16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Auckland (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9).
- Auckland is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Newcastle has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Auckland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Auckland is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Newcastle: Fryer O.
(Knee Injury)
James N.
(Knee Injury)
Nassiep A.
(Inactive)
Wilmering D.
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Newcastle: Bracco C.
(Inactive)
Nunes A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Auckland won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Auckland won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Auckland FC won against Newcastle Jets?
Auckland FC has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle Jets won against Auckland FC?
Newcastle Jets has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Auckland FC - Newcastle Jets were as follows:
29.11.2025
Auckland FC
-
Newcastle Jets
1:2
09.03.2025
Newcastle Jets
-
Auckland FC
1:1
29.11.2024
Auckland FC
-
Newcastle Jets
2:0
Latest results of Auckland FC
Latest results of Newcastle Jets
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 19 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 41:29 | 12 | 37 |
| 2 | Auckland FC | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 32:18 | 14 | 35 |
| 3 | Sydney FC | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 26:18 | 8 | 32 |
| 4 | Adelaide United | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33:28 | 5 | 30 |
| 5 | Melbourne Victory | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 28:24 | 4 | 28 |
| 6 | Macarthur FC | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 25 |
| 7 | Central Coast Mariners | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24:26 | -2 | 23 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
| 9 | Melbourne City | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 20:27 | -7 | 22 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 22:30 | -8 | 21 |
| 11 | WS Wanderers | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 20 |
| 12 | Wellington Phoenix | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 28:39 | -11 | 20 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
