Marquense vs Aurora – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Guatemala Liga Nacional Marquense - Aurora
Result
1:1
12/10/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 14
  • Where to Watch on TV:
south-americaSouth-americaClaro Sports 2 Latin America

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
55
Corner Kicks
98
Yellow Cards
52
Total shots
107
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
52
Corner Kicks
98

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 41', Amaya W. 🟨,
  • 45', Vivas J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 59', 🟨,
  • 65', Ceballos M. , Joj J. ,
  • 69', Galindo A. , Ruiz D. ,
  • 70', Lovato N. , Ticuru J. ,
  • 77', Chuc D. , Elington E. ,
  • 78', 🟨,
  • 79', 0 - 1, Ticuru J. ,
  • 83', Vivas J. , Batres J. ,
  • 83', 1 - 1, Linton O. ,
  • 88', Bajan D. , Soriano J. ,
  • 88', 🟨,
  • 89', 🟨,
  • 90+4', 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Marquense
45.6%
Draw
29.2%
Aurora
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.8% 27.4% 22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8% 29.1% 21.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marquense than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marquense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • Marquense - Aurora Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (1.82)
    3.15
    (3.3)
    3.64
    (3.96)
    8.9%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Marquense is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Aurora has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Aurora may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Marquense could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Marquense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marquense - Aurora were as follows:
    03.08.2025 Aurora - Marquense 1:1
    Latest results of Marquense
    20.09.2025 Municipal - Marquense 3:0
    06.09.2025 Marquense - Mictlán 1:0
    31.08.2025 Xelajú - Marquense 3:1
    Latest results of Aurora
    05.10.2025 Aurora - Municipal 1:0
    20.09.2025 Deportivo Mixco - Aurora 2:2
    13.09.2025 Xelajú - Aurora 2:2
    07.09.2025 Aurora - Malacateco 1:0
    Guatemala Liga Nacional Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Mixco16112325:151035
    2Municipal1696130:121833
    3Aurora F.C1695227:19832
    4Antigua1692529:20929
    5Xelaju1663726:21521
    6Deportivo Achuapa1554619:20-119
    7Mictlan1654714:17-319
    8Coban Imperial1653818:21-318
    9Marquense1553713:23-1018
    10Malacateco16511019:28-916
    11Comunicaciones1634911:20-913
    12Guastatoya16331013:28-1512

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