Result
1:1
12/10/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 South-america | Claro Sports 2 Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 41', Amaya W. 🟨,
- 45', Vivas J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 59', 🟨,
- 65', Ceballos M. ↓, Joj J. ↑,
- 69', Galindo A. ↓, Ruiz D. ↑,
- 70', Lovato N. ↓, Ticuru J. ↑,
- 77', Chuc D. ↓, Elington E. ↑,
- 78', 🟨,
- 79', 0 - 1, Ticuru J. ⚽,
- 83', Vivas J. ↓, Batres J. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 1, Linton O. ⚽,
- 88', Bajan D. ↓, Soriano J. ↑,
- 88', 🟨,
- 89', 🟨,
- 90+4', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Marquense
45.6% | Draw
29.2% | Aurora
25.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marquense than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marquense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Marquense - Aurora Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↑
(1.82) |
3.15 ↓
(3.3) |
3.64 ↓
(3.96) |
8.9%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Marquense is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Aurora has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Aurora may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Marquense could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Marquense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Marquense won against Aurora?
Marquense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aurora won against Marquense?
Aurora has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marquense - Aurora were as follows:
03.08.2025
Aurora
-
Marquense
1:1
Latest results of Marquense
Guatemala Liga Nacional Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Mixco | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 35 |
| 2 | Municipal | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 30:12 | 18 | 33 |
| 3 | Aurora F.C | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 27:19 | 8 | 32 |
| 4 | Antigua | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 29 |
| 5 | Xelaju | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 26:21 | 5 | 21 |
| 6 | Deportivo Achuapa | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19:20 | -1 | 19 |
| 7 | Mictlan | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:17 | -3 | 19 |
| 8 | Coban Imperial | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18:21 | -3 | 18 |
| 9 | Marquense | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 18 |
| 10 | Malacateco | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 19:28 | -9 | 16 |
| 11 | Comunicaciones | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11:20 | -9 | 13 |
| 12 | Guastatoya | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13:28 | -15 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
