Leioa vs Aurrerá de Vitoria – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
08/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 66', 2 - 0, ,
  • 69', 3 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Leioa
61.1%
Draw
24.9%
Aurrerá de Vitoria
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 29.1% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6% 27.9% 28.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leioa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leioa's performance.
  • Aurrerá de Vitoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aurrerá de Vitoria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (-18.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leioa that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurrerá de Vitoria than the current prediction. (+14.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aurrerá de Vitoria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Leioa - Aurrerá de Vitoria Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (2.24)
    4.04
    (3.15)
    7.2
    (3.05)
    -0.6%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Leioa might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Leioa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Leioa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leioa - Aurrerá de Vitoria were as follows:
    18.02.2023 Leioa - Aurrerá de Vitoria 3:0
    16.10.2022 Aurrerá de Vitoria - Leioa 1:2
    Latest results of Leioa
    02.11.2025 Zarautz KE - Leioa 1:1
    26.10.2025 Eibar C - Leioa 0:1
    18.10.2025 Leioa - Añorga 7:1
    11.10.2025 Durango - Leioa 0:0
    05.10.2025 Leioa - Aretxabaleta 2:4
    Latest results of Aurrerá de Vitoria
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portugalete23192251:163559
    2Leioa23133734:231142
    3Lagun Onak23131936:221440
    4Touring KE23108528:181038
    5San Ignacio23114824:18637
    6Aurrera de Vitoria23114829:29037
    7Alaves C23106737:241336
    8Derio23113936:28836
    9Durango2389623:19433
    10UD Aretxabaleta2395938:39-132
    11Real Sociedad C231021126:28-232
    12Santurtzi2368923:31-826
    13Zamudio23741225:36-1125
    14Anorga23731323:42-1924
    15Eibar C23651225:38-1323
    16Pasaia23651215:29-1423
    17Zarautz KE23631420:40-2021
    18SD Deusto23451417:30-1317

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation