Result
1:2
18/04/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 5
- Referee: de Lima M. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 2.24 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (394/466) | 73% (219/300) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 2.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 3.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (394/466) | 73% (219/300) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (20/51) | 39% (27/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (66/106) | 56% (44/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/18) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.30 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 81% (13/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.16 | 0.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.16 | -0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 34', Luiz Henrique 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 0, Jean Lucas ⚽, Thayllon (A),
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Willian Pottker (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Saravia Salvia R. A. ↓, Luis Phelipe ↑,
- 46', Romildo Del Piage ↓, Cristiano ↑,
- 57', Walace Franca ↓, Avenatti F. ↑,
- 60', Willian Pottker (Penalty Awarded),
- 60', 1 - 2, Diego Tavares ⚽,
- 62', Jean Lucas ↓, Sorriso ↑,
- 69', Bryan Borges 🟨,
- 75', Willian Pottker ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
- 77', Thayllon 🟨,
- 77', Thayllon ↓, Isaias ↑,
- 77', Luiz Henrique ↓, Jamerson ↑,
- 79', Sorriso 🟨,
- 82', Thalys 🟨,
- 84', Diego Tavares ↓, Brandao ↑,
- 85', Bryan Borges ↓, Rodrigo Souza ↑,
- 88', Kevyson ↓, Danilo Barcelos ↑,
- 90+5', Wallison 🟨,
Chances of winning
Avaí
52.4% | Draw
27.6% | Ponte Preta
20.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Ponte Preta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Avaí - Ponte Preta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↑
(1.7) |
3.44 ↑
(3.37) |
4.55 ↓
(5.25) |
6.6%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Avaí - Ponte Preta?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.75 - Avaí (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Avaí will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Avaí (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 2.
- Avaí has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ponte Preta is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Avaí may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Avaí is considered a favorite.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 0.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Avaí won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 0.6:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Avaí won against Ponte Preta?
Avaí has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ponte Preta won against Avaí?
Ponte Preta has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avaí - Ponte Preta were as follows:
22.11.2024
Avaí
-
Ponte Preta
2:1
04.08.2024
Ponte Preta
-
Avaí
1:0
04.11.2023
Ponte Preta
-
Avaí
0:1
08.07.2023
Avaí
-
Ponte Preta
0:1
Latest results of Ponte Preta
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fortaleza | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 14 |
| 2 | Sao Bernardo | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Sport Recife | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Operario-PR | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 12 |
| 5 | Vila Nova FC | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Criciuma | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Juventude | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | Nautico | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Ceara | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Botafogo SP | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 9 |
| 11 | Avai | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 12 | Novorizontino | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Atletico GO | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 8 |
| 15 | Cuiaba | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 | Ponte Preta | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 | Goias | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | CRB | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 5 |
| 19 | Londrina | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
| 20 | America MG | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4:12 | -8 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
