Result
3:2
21/06/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
China | K-Ball |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.10 | 0.53 |
Ball Possession |
---|
31% | 69% |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
79% (224/282) | 91% (573/633) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.10 | 0.53 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.47 | 0.66 |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
24 | 12 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
79% (224/282) | 91% (573/633) |
Long passes |
---|
50% (21/42) | 38% (15/40) |
Passes in final third |
---|
69% (72/104) | 83% (107/129) |
Crosses |
---|
25% (3/12) | 17% (3/18) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.73 | 0.54 |
Throw-ins |
---|
15 | 20 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
60% (6/10) | 42% (5/12) |
Duels won |
---|
41 | 33 |
Clearances |
---|
16 | 20 |
Interceptions |
---|
12 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 2 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.66 | 1.47 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.34 | -1.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 2)
- 4', 0 - 1, Inamura H. ⚽, Miyamoto E. (A),
- 9', 1 - 1, Konno K. ⚽, Kitajima Y. (A),
- 16', 2 - 1, Usui S. ⚽, Hashimoto Y. (A),
- 19', Fujimoto K. ↓, Iwasaki Y. ↑,
- 36', 2 - 2, Taniguchi K. ⚽, Danilo Gomes (A),
- 45', 3 - 2, Kitajima Y. ⚽, Iwasaki Y. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Kamijima T. ↓, Maejima Y. ↑,
- 61', Miyamoto E. ↓, Akiyama H. ↑,
- 63', Konno K. ↓, Nago S. ↑,
- 63', Akino H. ↓, Shigemi M. ↑,
- 75', Hasegawa M. ↓, Kasai K. ↑,
- 75', Okumura J. ↓, Ota S. ↑,
- 75', Danilo Gomes ↓, Yamura K. ↑,
- 81', Usui S. ↓, Wellington ↑,
- 90', Nago S. 🟨,
- 90+2', Hoshi Y. ↓, Takagi Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Avispa Fukuoka 40.9% | Draw 31.2% | Albirex Niigata 27.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.27 ↓ (2.39) |
3.05 ↑ (3.05) |
3.47 ↑ (3.34) |
5.7% (4.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Niigata will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Avispa Fukuoka: 19.1% – 73.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Niigata (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 3.
- Avispa Fukuoka is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Niigata has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Niigata may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Niigata has had a series of home games.
- Avispa Fukuoka could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Zahedi S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Niigata: Akiyama H.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Avispa Fukuoka: Ikeda J.
(Knee Injury)
Nara T.
(Knee Injury)
Oda I.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Avispa Fukuoka won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Avispa Fukuoka won against Albirex Niigata?
Avispa Fukuoka has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Albirex Niigata won against Avispa Fukuoka?
Albirex Niigata has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata were as follows:
02.04.2025
Albirex Niigata
-
Avispa Fukuoka
0:1
17.08.2024
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Albirex Niigata
0:1
25.05.2024
Albirex Niigata
-
Avispa Fukuoka
1:2
18.08.2023
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Albirex Niigata
0:1
24.05.2023
Albirex Niigata
-
Avispa Fukuoka
1:2
Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
Latest results of Albirex Niigata
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
8 | Urawa Reds | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 37 |
9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 31 |
12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League