Avispa Fukuoka vs Albirex Niigata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata
Result
3:2
21/06/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 21
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.100.53
Ball Possession
31%69%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
79% (224/282)91% (573/633)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.100.53
xG on target (xGOT)
1.470.66
Total shots
810
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
2412
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
148
Passes
79% (224/282)91% (573/633)
Long passes
50% (21/42)38% (15/40)
Passes in final third
69% (72/104)83% (107/129)
Crosses
25% (3/12)17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.730.54
Throw-ins
1520
Fouls
814
Tackles
60% (6/10)42% (5/12)
Duels won
4133
Clearances
1620
Interceptions
125
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
0.661.47
Goals prevented
-1.34-1.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 2)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Inamura H. , Miyamoto E. (A),
  • 9', 1 - 1, Konno K. , Kitajima Y. (A),
  • 16', 2 - 1, Usui S. , Hashimoto Y. (A),
  • 19', Fujimoto K. , Iwasaki Y. ,
  • 36', 2 - 2, Taniguchi K. , Danilo Gomes (A),
  • 45', 3 - 2, Kitajima Y. , Iwasaki Y. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Kamijima T. , Maejima Y. ,
  • 61', Miyamoto E. , Akiyama H. ,
  • 63', Konno K. , Nago S. ,
  • 63', Akino H. , Shigemi M. ,
  • 75', Hasegawa M. , Kasai K. ,
  • 75', Okumura J. , Ota S. ,
  • 75', Danilo Gomes , Yamura K. ,
  • 81', Usui S. , Wellington ,
  • 90', Nago S. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Hoshi Y. , Takagi Y. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Avispa Fukuoka
40.9%
Draw
31.2%
Albirex Niigata
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40% 31.4% 28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2% 31.2% 28.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (2.39)
    3.05
    (3.05)
    3.47
    (3.34)
    5.7%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Niigata will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Avispa Fukuoka: 19.1%73.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Niigata (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 3.
    • Avispa Fukuoka is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Niigata has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Niigata may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Niigata has had a series of home games.
    • Avispa Fukuoka could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Zahedi S. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Niigata: Akiyama H. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Avispa Fukuoka: Ikeda J. (Knee Injury) Nara T. (Knee Injury) Oda I. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Avispa Fukuoka won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.9:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata were as follows:
    02.04.2025 Albirex Niigata - Avispa Fukuoka 0:1
    17.08.2024 Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata 0:1
    25.05.2024 Albirex Niigata - Avispa Fukuoka 1:2
    18.08.2023 Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata 0:1
    24.05.2023 Albirex Niigata - Avispa Fukuoka 1:2
    Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
    Latest results of Albirex Niigata
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers32204852:282464
    2Vissel Kobe32186843:271660
    3Kyoto31168754:332156
    4Kashiwa Reysol311511543:291456
    5Machida32167948:331555
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima32167937:221555
    7Kawasaki Frontale31149855:401551
    8Urawa Reds321310939:32749
    9Gamba Osaka321541346:47-149
    10Cerezo Osaka3111101048:45343
    11Shimizu S-Pulse3210101234:38-440
    12Okayama321171428:34-640
    13FC Tokyo311171333:42-940
    14Avispa Fukuoka329101331:37-637
    15Nagoya Grampus32991438:47-936
    16Verdy32991420:35-1536
    17Yokohama F. Marinos31771729:41-1228
    18Yokohama FC31771720:36-1628
    19Shonan Bellmare31671828:55-2725
    20Albirex Niigata32491929:54-2521

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
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          Relegation ~ J2 League