Avispa Fukuoka vs Albirex Niigata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
21/06/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 21
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.100.53
Ball Possession
31%69%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
79% (224/282)91% (573/633)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.100.53
xG on target (xGOT)
1.470.66
Total shots
810
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
2412
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
148
Passes
79% (224/282)91% (573/633)
Long passes
50% (21/42)38% (15/40)
Passes in final third
69% (72/104)83% (107/129)
Crosses
25% (3/12)17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.730.54
Throw-ins
1520
Fouls
814
Tackles
60% (6/10)42% (5/12)
Duels won
4133
Clearances
1620
Interceptions
125
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
0.661.47
Goals prevented
-1.34-1.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 2)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Inamura H. , Miyamoto E. (A),
  • 9', 1 - 1, Konno K. , Kitajima Y. (A),
  • 16', 2 - 1, Usui S. , Hashimoto Y. (A),
  • 19', Fujimoto K. , Iwasaki Y. ,
  • 36', 2 - 2, Taniguchi K. , Danilo Gomes (A),
  • 45', 3 - 2, Kitajima Y. , Iwasaki Y. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Kamijima T. , Maejima Y. ,
  • 61', Miyamoto E. , Akiyama H. ,
  • 63', Konno K. , Nago S. ,
  • 63', Akino H. , Shigemi M. ,
  • 75', Hasegawa M. , Kasai K. ,
  • 75', Okumura J. , Ota S. ,
  • 75', Danilo Gomes , Yamura K. ,
  • 81', Usui S. , Wellington ,
  • 90', Nago S. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Hoshi Y. , Takagi Y. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Avispa Fukuoka
40.9%
Draw
31.2%
Albirex Niigata
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40% 31.4% 28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2% 31.2% 28.5%

Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.27
(2.39)
3.05
(3.05)
3.47
(3.34)
5.7%
(4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Niigata will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Avispa Fukuoka: 19.1%73.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Niigata (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25, 1st Half - Avispa Fukuoka (2.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Avispa Fukuoka (3.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Niigata (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Niigata (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Niigata (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Niigata (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Niigata (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 3.
    • Avispa Fukuoka is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Niigata has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Niigata may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Niigata has had a series of home games.
    • Avispa Fukuoka could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Zahedi S. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Niigata: Akiyama H. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Avispa Fukuoka: Ikeda J. (Knee Injury) Nara T. (Knee Injury) Oda I. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Avispa Fukuoka won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.9:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata were as follows:
    02.04.2025 Albirex Niigata - Avispa Fukuoka 0:1
    17.08.2024 Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata 0:1
    25.05.2024 Albirex Niigata - Avispa Fukuoka 1:2
    18.08.2023 Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata 0:1
    24.05.2023 Albirex Niigata - Avispa Fukuoka 1:2
    Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
    Latest results of Albirex Niigata
    Japan J1 League Table
    2026

    East
    PlWWLLPts
    1Mito000000:00
    2Verdy000000:00
    3Yokohama F. Marinos000000:00
    4Kawasaki Frontale000000:00
    5Kashiwa Reysol000000:00
    6Chiba000000:00
    7Urawa Reds000000:00
    8FC Tokyo000000:00
    9Kashima Antlers000000:00
    10Machida000000:00


    West
    PlWWLLPts
    1Avispa Fukuoka000000:00
    2Cerezo Osaka000000:00
    3Kyoto000000:00
    4Nagoya Grampus000000:00
    5Shimizu S-Pulse000000:00
    6Vissel Kobe000000:00
    7Sanfrecce Hiroshima000000:00
    8Gamba Osaka000000:00
    9Okayama000000:00
    10V-Varen Nagasaki000000:00

          Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)