Fagiano Okayama vs Avispa Fukuoka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

15/06/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

City Light Stadium (Okayama).

J1 League - Round 20
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
Hong-kong	myTV SUPER
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	PSJ TV
Japan	DAZN Japan
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.21	1.77
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
7	21
Shots on target
1	3
Big Chances
1	4
Corner Kicks
3	4
Passes
70% (204/291)	77% (268/349)
Yellow Cards
3	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.21	1.77
xG on target (xGOT)
0.04	0.77
Total shots
7	21
Shots on target
1	3
Shots off target
5	13
Blocked Shots
1	5
Shots inside the Box
5	15
Shots outside the Box
2	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	2
Big Chances
1	4
Corner Kicks
3	4
Touches in opposition box
17	32
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
0	3
Free Kicks
8	12
Passes
70% (204/291)	77% (268/349)
Long passes
32% (18/56)	48% (28/58)
Passes in final third
56% (63/112)	68% (74/109)
Crosses
33% (7/21)	33% (6/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.90	1.59
Throw-ins
18	35
Fouls
12	8
Tackles
61% (11/18)	58% (7/12)
Duels won
49	75
Clearances
23	32
Interceptions
7	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	1
xGOT faced
0.77	0.04
Goals prevented
-0.23	0.04

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Sato R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Ichimi K. ↓, Lucao ↑,
56', Sato R. ↓, Matsumoto M. ↑,
67', Fujimoto K. ↓, Iwasaki Y. ↑,
69', 0 - 1, Ando T. ⚽, Iwasaki Y. (A),
72', Kamiya Yuta ↓, Motoyama H. ↑,
72', Kimura T. ↓, Werik Popo ↑,
74', Kitajima Y. ↓, Nago S. ↑,
74', Hashimoto Y. ↓, Maejima Y. ↑,
77', Motoyama H. 🟨,
83', Werik Popo 🟨,
84', Kudo K. ↓, Iwabuchi H. ↑,
86', Konno K. ↓, Kanamori T. ↑,
86', Akino H. ↓, Shigemi M. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Fagiano Okayama
38.9%

Draw
33.2%

Avispa Fukuoka
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

33.9%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

34.8%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Fagiano Okayama - Avispa Fukuoka Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.56)	2.82 ↑ (2.78)	3.36 ↑ (3.2)	6.5% (6.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama - Avispa Fukuoka?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Okayama will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.6% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Okayama (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Okayama won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Okayama may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There are questionable in Okayama: Werik Popo (Inactive)
There are questionable in Avispa Fukuoka: Ikeda J. (Knee Injury) Nara T. (Knee Injury) Oda I. (Knee Injury)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Okayama won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Okayama won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Fagiano Okayama won against Avispa Fukuoka?

Fagiano Okayama has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Avispa Fukuoka won against Fagiano Okayama?

Avispa Fukuoka has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Fagiano Okayama - Avispa Fukuoka were as follows:

25.04.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Fagiano Okayama 1:1

Latest results of Fagiano Okayama

11.06.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Giravanz Kitakyushu 0:2 ✺

01.06.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Fagiano Okayama 1:1 ✺

25.05.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Machida Zelvia 2:2 ✺

18.05.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Albirex Niigata 2:1 ✺

10.05.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Fagiano Okayama 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka

11.06.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Okinawa SV 2:0 ✺

08.06.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Avispa Fukuoka 2:1 ✺

04.06.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:0 ✺

31.05.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Tokyo Verdy 0:0 ✺

24.05.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Avispa Fukuoka 2:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kyoto	27	15	6	6	47:30	17	51
2	Kashima Antlers	27	16	3	8	40:26	14	51
3	Machida	28	15	5	8	42:26	16	50
4	Kashiwa Reysol	27	14	8	5	40:27	13	50
5	Vissel Kobe	28	15	5	8	36:26	10	50
6	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	28	15	4	9	33:19	14	49
7	Urawa Reds	27	12	8	7	38:30	8	44
8	Kawasaki Frontale	27	11	9	7	45:35	10	42
9	Okayama	27	11	6	10	26:23	3	39
10	Cerezo Osaka	27	10	8	9	41:38	3	38
11	Avispa Fukuoka	27	9	10	8	27:26	1	37
12	Gamba Osaka	28	11	4	13	33:40	-7	37
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	27	8	8	11	30:35	-5	32
14	Verdy	27	8	7	12	16:28	-12	31
15	FC Tokyo	27	8	6	13	29:41	-12	30
16	Nagoya Grampus	27	7	7	13	33:41	-8	28
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	27	6	7	14	26:34	-8	25
18	Shonan Bellmare	27	6	7	14	22:42	-20	25
19	Yokohama FC	27	6	4	17	18:35	-17	22
20	Albirex Niigata	27	4	8	15	27:47	-20	20

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League