Avispa Fukuoka vs Fagiano Okayama – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1 penalties
07/02/2026 at 23:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 1

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.670.50
Ball possession
60%40%
Total shots
136
Shots on target
51
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
64
Passes
77% (334/436)68% (198/293)
Yellow cards
13
Expected goals (xG)
0.670.50
xG on target (xGOT)
1.030.42
Total shots
136
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
34
Blocked shots
51
Shots inside the box
54
Shots outside the box
82
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
1513
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
1616
Passes
77% (334/436)68% (198/293)
Long passes
22% (13/60)44% (25/57)
Passes in final third
55% (55/100)51% (49/97)
Crosses
14% (3/21)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.360.53
Throw ins
1722
Fouls
1616
Tackles
67% (8/12)50% (2/4)
Duels won
5142
Clearances
2127
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
14
xGOT faced
0.421.03
Goals prevented
-0.580.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 40', Nago S. 🟨,
  • 44', 0 - 1, Matsumoto M. , Ogura K. (A),
  • 45+2', Kimura T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', Ichimi K. 🟨,
  • 63', Ichimi K. , Werik Popo ,
  • 69', Okuno K. , Maeda K. ,
  • 69', Shigemi M. , Sato S. ,
  • 69', Usui S. , Michiwaki Y. ,
  • 75', Matsumoto M. , Yamane T. ,
  • 76', Kimura T. , Kawano K. ,
  • 76', Fujita I. 🟨,
  • 78', 1 - 1, Maeda K. ,
  • 80', Esaka A. , Fujii K. ,
  • 80', Fujita I. , Miyamoto E. ,
  • 83', Nago S. , Kitajima Y. ,
  • 90', Miki T. , Zahedi S. ,
  • Penalties (6 - 5)
  • 1, Hashimoto Y. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Kawano K. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Kitajima Y. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Werik Popo (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Kamijima T. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Yamane T. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Maeda K. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Fujii K. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Zahedi S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Miyamoto E. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 6, Sato S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 6, Ogura K. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 7, Maejima Y. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 7, Kudo K. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Avispa Fukuoka
46.3%
Draw
31.4%
Fagiano Okayama
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.4% 31.8% 24.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Avispa Fukuoka - Fagiano Okayama Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (2.18)
    2.99
    (2.97)
    4.19
    (3.82)
    6.3%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka - Fagiano Okayama?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Okayama (2.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Avispa Fukuoka will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.76%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Avispa Fukuoka will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka (votes: 3 - 75%). Okayama (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 2.
    • Avispa Fukuoka will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There are questionable in Okayama: Kamiya Yuta (Injury) Nishikawa J. (Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Avispa Fukuoka won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Avispa Fukuoka - Fagiano Okayama were as follows:
    15.06.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Avispa Fukuoka 0:1
    25.04.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Fagiano Okayama 1:1
    Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
    Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
    Japan J1 League Table
    2026

    East
    PlWWLLPts
    1Verdy321008:48
    2FC Tokyo312006:37
    3Urawa Reds320105:27
    4Kashima Antlers320104:27
    5Machida311108:76
    6Kawasaki Frontale311017:55
    7Mito301115:73
    8Chiba300211:52
    9Yokohama F. Marinos300032:60
    10Kashiwa Reysol300034:90


    West
    PlWWLLPts
    1Sanfrecce Hiroshima321007:38
    2Kyoto311105:36
    3Gamba Osaka311103:26
    4Vissel Kobe311014:25
    5Nagoya Grampus311013:35
    6Cerezo Osaka310113:34
    7Shimizu S-Pulse310112:34
    8V-Varen Nagasaki310024:63
    9Okayama300213:62
    10Avispa Fukuoka301022:52

          Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
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