Avispa Fukuoka vs Fagiano Okayama – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1 penalties
07/02/2026 at 23:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 1

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.670.50
Ball possession
60%40%
Total shots
136
Shots on target
51
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
64
Passes
77% (334/436)68% (198/293)
Yellow cards
13
Expected goals (xG)
0.670.50
xG on target (xGOT)
1.030.42
Total shots
136
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
34
Blocked shots
51
Shots inside the box
54
Shots outside the box
82
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
1513
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
1616
Passes
77% (334/436)68% (198/293)
Long passes
22% (13/60)44% (25/57)
Passes in final third
55% (55/100)51% (49/97)
Crosses
14% (3/21)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.360.53
Throw ins
1722
Fouls
1616
Tackles
67% (8/12)50% (2/4)
Duels won
5142
Clearances
2127
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
14
xGOT faced
0.421.03
Goals prevented
-0.580.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 40', Nago S. 🟨,
  • 44', 0 - 1, Matsumoto M. , Ogura K. (A),
  • 45+2', Kimura T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', Ichimi K. 🟨,
  • 63', Ichimi K. , Werik Popo ,
  • 69', Okuno K. , Maeda K. ,
  • 69', Shigemi M. , Sato S. ,
  • 69', Usui S. , Michiwaki Y. ,
  • 75', Matsumoto M. , Yamane T. ,
  • 76', Kimura T. , Kawano K. ,
  • 76', Fujita I. 🟨,
  • 78', 1 - 1, Maeda K. ,
  • 80', Esaka A. , Fujii K. ,
  • 80', Fujita I. , Miyamoto E. ,
  • 83', Nago S. , Kitajima Y. ,
  • 90', Miki T. , Zahedi S. ,
  • Penalties (6 - 5)
  • 1, Hashimoto Y. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Kawano K. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Kitajima Y. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Werik Popo (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Kamijima T. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Yamane T. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Maeda K. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Fujii K. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Zahedi S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Miyamoto E. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 6, Sato S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 6, Ogura K. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 7, Maejima Y. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 7, Kudo K. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Avispa Fukuoka
46.3%
Draw
31.4%
Fagiano Okayama
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.4% 31.8% 24.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Avispa Fukuoka - Fagiano Okayama Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (2.18)
    2.99
    (2.97)
    4.19
    (3.82)
    6.3%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka - Fagiano Okayama?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Okayama (2.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Avispa Fukuoka will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.76%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Avispa Fukuoka will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka (votes: 3 - 75%). Okayama (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 2.
    • Avispa Fukuoka will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There are questionable in Okayama: Kamiya Yuta (Injury) Nishikawa J. (Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Avispa Fukuoka won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Avispa Fukuoka - Fagiano Okayama were as follows:
    15.06.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Avispa Fukuoka 0:1
    25.04.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Fagiano Okayama 1:1
    Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
    Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
    Japan J1 League Table
    2026

    East
    PlWWLLPts
    1Kashima Antlers9702016:723
    2FC Tokyo10432116:920
    3Machida10431216:1619
    4Kawasaki Frontale9321316:1714
    5Verdy9320414:1413
    6Kashiwa Reysol9310515:1311
    7Urawa Reds9302413:1311
    8Mito9123311:1810
    9Yokohama F. Marinos9300612:159
    10Chiba920259:168


    West
    PlWWLLPts
    1Vissel Kobe10612120:1022
    2Gamba Osaka9332116:1317
    3Nagoya Grampus9412215:1216
    4Shimizu S-Pulse10323214:1216
    5Kyoto9321312:1114
    6V-Varen Nagasaki9400510:1412
    7Sanfrecce Hiroshima9310513:1311
    8Cerezo Osaka922149:1111
    9Okayama9213310:1511
    10Avispa Fukuoka912159:178

          Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)