Kashiwa Reysol vs Avispa Fukuoka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

31/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium (Kashiwa).

J1 League - Round 28
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
3.44	1.07
Ball Possession
54%	46%
Total shots
15	8
Shots on target
6	4
Big Chances
5	2
Corner Kicks
6	7
Passes
82% (372/456)	80% (307/383)
Yellow Cards
1	4
Expected Goals (xG)
3.44	1.07
xG on target (xGOT)
3.39	1.78
Total shots
15	8
Shots on target
6	4
Shots off target
5	3
Blocked Shots
4	1
Shots inside the Box
10	6
Shots outside the Box
5	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
5	2
Corner Kicks
6	7
Touches in opposition box
25	19
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
9	12
Passes
82% (372/456)	80% (307/383)
Long passes
38% (18/47)	35% (16/46)
Passes in final third
75% (115/154)	52% (38/73)
Crosses
8% (1/13)	38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.76	0.65
Throw-ins
19	17
Fouls
12	10
Tackles
67% (10/15)	88% (14/16)
Duels won
46	52
Clearances
21	16
Interceptions
9	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	4
xGOT faced
1.78	3.39
Goals prevented
0.78	1.39

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', Hosoya M. (Pen),
24', Iwasaki Y. ↓, Sato S. ↑,
31', Matsuoka D. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Kamijima T. ⚽, Nago S. (A),
36', Hashimoto Y. 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 1, Kubo T. ⚽, Koyamatsu T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Nara T. 🟨,
64', Nakagawa N. 🟨,
69', Koizumi Y. ↓, Watai M. ↑,
72', Ando T. 🟨,
75', Sato S. ↓, Zahedi S. ↑,
75', Hashimoto Y. ↓, Oda I. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Segawa Y. (Pen),
80', Segawa Y. ↓, Nakama H. ↑,
80', Hosoya M. ↓, Kakita Y. ↑,
80', Koyamatsu T. ↓, Diego ↑,
85', Konno K. ↓, Shigemi M. ↑,
85', Kamijima T. ↓, Shichi T. ↑,
90+1', Kubo T. ↓, Inukai T. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Kashiwa Reysol
54.6%

Draw
26.1%

Avispa Fukuoka
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

27.8%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

27.6%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kashiwa Reysol's performance.

Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Kashiwa Reysol - Avispa Fukuoka Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.91)	3.58 ↑ (3.41)	4.84 ↑ (4.17)	6.3% (5.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol - Avispa Fukuoka?

Users Predictions: Kashiwa Reysol will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kashiwa Reysol will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Kashiwa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Avispa Fukuoka has had a series of away games.
In this match, Kashiwa is the team to beat.
There will not play in Kashiwa: Kumasaka K. (Knee Injury) Tezuka K. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Hisashi J. (Knee Injury) Ikeda J. (Knee Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:21. (average 1.4:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Kashiwa won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.4:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Avispa Fukuoka?

Kashiwa Reysol has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Avispa Fukuoka won against Kashiwa Reysol?

Avispa Fukuoka has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Kashiwa Reysol - Avispa Fukuoka were as follows:

15.02.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Kashiwa Reysol 0:1

03.11.2024 Avispa Fukuoka - Kashiwa Reysol 2:1

02.06.2024 Kashiwa Reysol - Avispa Fukuoka 0:2

22.05.2024 Kashiwa Reysol - Avispa Fukuoka 2:1

23.09.2023 Kashiwa Reysol - Avispa Fukuoka 1:3

Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol

22.08.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Urawa Red Diamonds 4:2 ✺

17.08.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Kashiwa Reysol 2:1 ✺

10.08.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Shonan Bellmare 2:0 ✺

30.07.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Reims 2:1 ✺

20.07.2025 Kashima Antlers - Kashiwa Reysol 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka

23.08.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Kashima Antlers - Avispa Fukuoka 1:1 ✺

09.08.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Avispa Fukuoka 2:5 ✺

06.08.2025 Kashima Antlers - Avispa Fukuoka 3:2 ✺

27.07.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Avispa Fukuoka 0:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	35	20	7	8	53:29	24	67
2	Kashiwa Reysol	35	18	12	5	55:33	22	66
3	Kyoto	35	17	11	7	59:37	22	62
4	Vissel Kobe	34	18	7	9	43:28	15	61
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	35	17	8	10	39:26	13	59
6	Machida	35	16	9	10	49:35	14	57
7	Kawasaki Frontale	35	15	11	9	65:50	15	56
8	Urawa Reds	35	14	11	10	40:36	4	53
9	Gamba Osaka	35	16	5	14	48:52	-4	53
10	Cerezo Osaka	35	13	10	12	54:50	4	49
11	FC Tokyo	35	12	9	14	39:47	-8	45
12	Shimizu S-Pulse	35	11	11	13	39:44	-5	44
13	Verdy	35	11	9	15	22:36	-14	42
14	Avispa Fukuoka	34	10	11	13	32:37	-5	41
15	Okayama	35	11	8	16	31:40	-9	41
16	Nagoya Grampus	35	10	10	15	42:52	-10	40
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	35	10	7	18	39:44	-5	37
18	Yokohama FC	35	8	8	19	23:41	-18	32
19	Shonan Bellmare ✔	34	6	8	20	29:58	-29	26
20	Albirex Niigata ✔	34	4	10	20	30:56	-26	22

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League

Clinched Spots for Teams

Shonan Bellmare is Relegated to J2 League
Albirex Niigata is Relegated to J2 League