Kashiwa Reysol vs Avispa Fukuoka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Kashiwa Reysol - Avispa Fukuoka
Result
2:1
31/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 28
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.441.07
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
158
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
67
Passes
82% (372/456)80% (307/383)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
3.441.07
xG on target (xGOT)
3.391.78
Total shots
158
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
106
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
67
Touches in opposition box
2519
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
912
Passes
82% (372/456)80% (307/383)
Long passes
38% (18/47)35% (16/46)
Passes in final third
75% (115/154)52% (38/73)
Crosses
8% (1/13)38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.760.65
Throw-ins
1917
Fouls
1210
Tackles
67% (10/15)88% (14/16)
Duels won
4652
Clearances
2116
Interceptions
912
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.783.39
Goals prevented
0.781.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 20', Hosoya M. (Pen),
  • 24', Iwasaki Y. , Sato S. ,
  • 31', Matsuoka D. 🟨,
  • 34', 0 - 1, Kamijima T. , Nago S. (A),
  • 36', Hashimoto Y. 🟨,
  • 45+5', 1 - 1, Kubo T. , Koyamatsu T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 62', Nara T. 🟨,
  • 64', Nakagawa N. 🟨,
  • 69', Koizumi Y. , Watai M. ,
  • 72', Ando T. 🟨,
  • 75', Sato S. , Zahedi S. ,
  • 75', Hashimoto Y. , Oda I. ,
  • 76', 2 - 1, Segawa Y. (Pen),
  • 80', Segawa Y. , Nakama H. ,
  • 80', Hosoya M. , Kakita Y. ,
  • 80', Koyamatsu T. , Diego ,
  • 85', Konno K. , Shigemi M. ,
  • 85', Kamijima T. , Shichi T. ,
  • 90+1', Kubo T. , Inukai T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kashiwa Reysol
54.6%
Draw
26.1%
Avispa Fukuoka
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.5% 27.8% 22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8% 27.6% 22.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kashiwa Reysol's performance.
  • Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Kashiwa Reysol - Avispa Fukuoka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.91)
    3.58
    (3.41)
    4.84
    (4.17)
    6.3%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol - Avispa Fukuoka?
  • Users Predictions: Kashiwa Reysol will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 66.11%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kashiwa Reysol will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Kashiwa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Avispa Fukuoka has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Kashiwa is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Kashiwa: Kumasaka K. (Knee Injury) Tezuka K. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Hisashi J. (Knee Injury) Ikeda J. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:21. (average 1.4:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kashiwa won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.4:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kashiwa Reysol - Avispa Fukuoka were as follows:
    15.02.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Kashiwa Reysol 0:1
    03.11.2024 Avispa Fukuoka - Kashiwa Reysol 2:1
    02.06.2024 Kashiwa Reysol - Avispa Fukuoka 0:2
    22.05.2024 Kashiwa Reysol - Avispa Fukuoka 2:1
    23.09.2023 Kashiwa Reysol - Avispa Fukuoka 1:3
    Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
    Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers33205852:282465
    2Kyoto33179757:352260
    3Kashiwa Reysol331612548:331560
    4Vissel Kobe33186943:281560
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima33177939:231658
    6Machida331671049:351455
    7Kawasaki Frontale331411860:451553
    8Urawa Reds331410940:32852
    9Gamba Osaka331551346:47-150
    10Cerezo Osaka3311101250:49143
    11Shimizu S-Pulse3310111235:39-441
    12Okayama331181429:35-641
    13FC Tokyo331181436:46-1041
    14Avispa Fukuoka3310101332:37-540
    15Nagoya Grampus331091440:48-839
    16Verdy331091421:35-1439
    17Yokohama F. Marinos33871832:44-1231
    18Yokohama FC33871821:37-1631
    19Shonan Bellmare33672028:57-2925
    20Albirex Niigata334101930:55-2522

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