Result
1:0
23/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 31
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 76% | 24% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (671/741) | 67% (161/240) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (671/741) | 67% (161/240) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (24/47) | 35% (17/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (99/134) | 54% (36/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 33% (2/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.20 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | -0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', Shichi T. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 0, Marcelo Ryan ⚽, Anzai S. (A),
- 45+1', Wellington 🟨,
- 45+3', Wellington 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Iwasaki Y. ↓, Ben Khalifa N. ↑,
- 46', Shichi T. ↓, Fujimoto K. ↑,
- 55', Ben Khalifa N. ↓, Zahedi S. ↑,
- 66', Higashi K. ↓, Hashimoto K. ↑,
- 66', Nozawa L. ↓, Endo K. ↑,
- 66', Tawaratsumida K. ↓, Marcos Guilherme ↑,
- 76', Marcelo Ryan ↓, Nakagawa T. ↑,
- 76', Nago S. ↓, Konno K. ↑,
- 83', Oda I. ↓, Yuzawa M. ↑,
- 86', Hashimoto K. 🟨,
- 89', Anzai S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tokyo
43.5% | Draw
28.9% | Avispa Fukuoka
27.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tokyo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Tokyo - Avispa Fukuoka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↑
(2.08) |
3.25 ↓
(3.44) |
3.41
(3.41) |
6.4%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Tokyo - Avispa Fukuoka?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Tokyo will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tokyo: 23.4% – 70.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tokyo (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 2.
- Tokyo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Avispa Fukuoka has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Tokyo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y.
(Knee Injury)
Shirai K.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Tokyo: Ogashiwa T.
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 0.7:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.6:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo won against Avispa Fukuoka?
Tokyo has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Avispa Fukuoka won against Tokyo?
Avispa Fukuoka has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo - Avispa Fukuoka were as follows:
15.03.2025
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Tokyo
1:0
30.06.2024
Tokyo
-
Avispa Fukuoka
0:1
16.03.2024
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Tokyo
1:3
10.09.2023
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Tokyo
2:0
06.09.2023
Tokyo
-
Avispa Fukuoka
1:0
Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 52:28 | 24 | 66 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 53:33 | 20 | 63 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 58:36 | 22 | 61 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 43:28 | 15 | 61 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 39:23 | 16 | 59 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 65:48 | 17 | 56 |
| 7 | Machida | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 49:35 | 14 | 56 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 40:36 | 4 | 52 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 46:52 | -6 | 50 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 52:50 | 2 | 46 |
| 11 | FC Tokyo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 36:46 | -10 | 42 |
| 12 | Verdy | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 22:35 | -13 | 42 |
| 13 | Avispa Fukuoka | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 32:37 | -5 | 41 |
| 14 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 38:44 | -6 | 41 |
| 15 | Okayama | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 30:37 | -7 | 41 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:50 | -8 | 40 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 36:44 | -8 | 34 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 23:39 | -16 | 32 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:58 | -29 | 26 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 30:56 | -26 | 22 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
