Tokyo vs Avispa Fukuoka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

23/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Ajinomoto Stadium (Tokyo).

J1 League - Round 31
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.57	0.24
Ball Possession
76%	24%
Total shots
12	5
Shots on target
6	2
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
3	0
Passes
91% (671/741)	67% (161/240)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.57	0.24
xG on target (xGOT)
0.95	0.03
Total shots
12	5
Shots on target
6	2
Shots off target
3	3
Blocked Shots
3	0
Shots inside the Box
8	3
Shots outside the Box
4	2
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
3	0
Touches in opposition box
24	6
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
18	7
Passes
91% (671/741)	67% (161/240)
Long passes
51% (24/47)	35% (17/48)
Passes in final third
74% (99/134)	54% (36/67)
Crosses
22% (4/18)	33% (2/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.73	0.20
Throw-ins
19	13
Fouls
7	18
Tackles
43% (3/7)	62% (8/13)
Duels won
51	44
Clearances
20	17
Interceptions
8	12
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	5
xGOT faced
0.03	0.95
Goals prevented
0.03	-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Shichi T. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Marcelo Ryan ⚽, Anzai S. (A),
45+1', Wellington 🟨,
45+3', Wellington 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Iwasaki Y. ↓, Ben Khalifa N. ↑,
46', Shichi T. ↓, Fujimoto K. ↑,
55', Ben Khalifa N. ↓, Zahedi S. ↑,
66', Higashi K. ↓, Hashimoto K. ↑,
66', Nozawa L. ↓, Endo K. ↑,
66', Tawaratsumida K. ↓, Marcos Guilherme ↑,
76', Marcelo Ryan ↓, Nakagawa T. ↑,
76', Nago S. ↓, Konno K. ↑,
83', Oda I. ↓, Yuzawa M. ↑,
86', Hashimoto K. 🟨,
89', Anzai S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Tokyo
43.5%

Draw
28.9%

Avispa Fukuoka
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

27.3%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

27.1%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokyo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Tokyo - Avispa Fukuoka Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.08)	3.25 ↓ (3.44)	3.41 (3.41)	6.4% (6.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Tokyo - Avispa Fukuoka?

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Tokyo will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tokyo: 23.4% – 70.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tokyo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Avispa Fukuoka (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Tokyo (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Tokyo (votes: 2 - 50%). Avispa Fukuoka (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 2.
Tokyo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Avispa Fukuoka has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Tokyo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y. (Knee Injury) Shirai K. (Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Tokyo: Ogashiwa T. (Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 0.7:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.6:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo won against Avispa Fukuoka?

Tokyo has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Avispa Fukuoka won against Tokyo?

Avispa Fukuoka has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo - Avispa Fukuoka were as follows:

15.03.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Tokyo 1:0

30.06.2024 Tokyo - Avispa Fukuoka 0:1

16.03.2024 Avispa Fukuoka - Tokyo 1:3

10.09.2023 Avispa Fukuoka - Tokyo 2:0

06.09.2023 Tokyo - Avispa Fukuoka 1:0

Latest results of Tokyo

20.09.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Tokyo 0:1 ✺

15.09.2025 Tokyo - Tokyo Verdy 1:0 ✺

31.08.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo 1:1 ✺

27.08.2025 Tokyo - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:1 ✺

24.08.2025 Tokyo - Kyoto Sanga 0:4 ✺

Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka

20.09.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Avispa Fukuoka 2:0 ✺

13.09.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Cerezo Osaka 2:4 ✺

31.08.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Avispa Fukuoka 2:1 ✺

23.08.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Kashima Antlers - Avispa Fukuoka 1:1 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2026

East

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	13	10	0	2	1	21:9	32
2	FC Tokyo	13	7	3	2	1	27:13	29
3	Machida	12	5	4	1	2	20:18	24
4	Verdy	12	5	3	0	4	19:16	21
5	Kawasaki Frontale	13	5	2	1	5	20:23	20
6	Mito	13	2	3	4	4	19:27	16
7	Urawa Reds	13	4	0	3	6	18:19	15
8	Yokohama F. Marinos	13	5	0	0	8	20:24	15
9	Kashiwa Reysol	13	3	1	0	9	16:20	11
10	Chiba	13	2	0	3	8	13:24	9

West

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	12	7	1	3	1	23:13	26
2	Nagoya Grampus	13	5	2	3	3	23:19	22
3	Gamba Osaka	14	3	5	3	3	23:21	22
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	13	5	2	1	5	21:18	20
5	Kyoto	12	4	3	1	4	19:16	19
6	Cerezo Osaka	13	4	3	1	5	15:13	19
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	13	3	2	4	4	16:18	17
8	Okayama	13	3	2	4	4	17:24	17
9	Avispa Fukuoka	14	3	3	2	6	17:25	17
10	V-Varen Nagasaki	13	5	0	1	7	13:20	16

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