AVS vs Arouca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal AVS - Arouca
Result
0:1
08/03/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 25
  • Referee: Nogueira M. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV1
romaniaRomaniaAntenaPLAY
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 6

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.832.35
Ball Possession
43%57%
Goal Attempts
920
Shots on Goal
18
Shots off Goal
68
Blocked Shots
24
Big Chances
16
Corner Kicks
17
Shots inside the Box
613
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
01
Goalkeeper Saves
71
Free Kicks
1715
Offsides
01
Fouls
1517
Yellow Cards
11
Throw-ins
2732
Touches in the Opposition Box
1625
Passes
75% (284/377)81% (407/504)
Passes in the final third
65% (50/77)63% (99/158)
Crosses
14% (2/14)18% (4/22)
Tackles
58% (7/12)63% (12/19)
Clearances Total
3522
Interceptions
2213

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 42', Lucas Fernandes 🟨,
  • 45+4', Nandin D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Rodrigues R. , Veiga E. ,
  • 46', Mendonca G. , Galletto T. ,
  • 56', Ribeiro R. , Tunde Akinsola ,
  • 63', Lucas Fernandes , Nene ,
  • 67', Nandin D. , Yalcin G. ,
  • 67', Trezza A. , Puche ,
  • 73', Simao D. , Pedro Santos ,
  • 85', Sylla M. , Mansilla B. ,
  • 85', Mercado J. , Mena Y. ,
  • 90', 0 - 1, Tiago Esgaio ,

Chances of winning


AVS
29%
Draw
30.5%
Arouca
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.6% 29.9% 37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9% 30.1% 37.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AVS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Arouca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AVS than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • AVS - Arouca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.25
    (2.9)
    3.1
    (3.17)
    2.34
    (2.53)
    5.8%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for AVS - Arouca?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. AVS will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Arouca will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Arouca: 19%81%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 15 and 13).
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in AVS: Aburjania G. (Thigh Injury) Grau J. (Yellow Cards) Kiki (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Arouca: Galovic N. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches AVS won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams AVS won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AVS - Arouca were as follows:
    05.10.2024 Arouca - AVS 1:1
    26.09.2023 AVS - Arouca 1:2
    Latest results of AVS
    02.03.2025 Farense - AVS 0:1
    23.02.2025 AVS - Sporting Lisbon 2:2
    16.02.2025 Rio Ave - AVS 1:1
    08.02.2025 AVS - Santa Clara 1:2
    01.02.2025 Vitoria Guimarães - AVS 2:0
    Latest results of Arouca
    01.03.2025 Arouca - Porto 0:2
    23.02.2025 Arouca - Farense 2:2
    15.02.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Arouca 2:2
    10.02.2025 Arouca - Rio Ave 1:1
    01.02.2025 Nacional - Arouca 1:2
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estrela00000:000
    2Vitoria Guimaraes00000:000
    3Estoril00000:000
    4Gil Vicente00000:000
    5Rio Ave00000:000
    6Santa Clara00000:000
    7Moreirense00000:000
    8FC Porto00000:000
    9Sporting CP00000:000
    10Benfica00000:000
    11Braga00000:000
    12Nacional00000:000
    13Arouca00000:000
    14Casa Pia00000:000
    15Tondela00000:000
    16Alverca00000:000
    17Famalicao00000:000
    18AFS00000:000

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