Result
2:1
24/04/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 31
- Referee: Rosa D. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Croatia | SportKlub 6 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.87 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (241/319) | 85% (498/589) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.87 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (241/319) | 85% (498/589) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (18/45) | 47% (26/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (53/87) | 67% (107/160) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.56 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.08 | 1.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.92 | -0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Naves ⚽, Touaizi N. (A),
- 35', De Arruabarrena I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 49', 1 - 1, van Ee E. ⚽, Kuipers B. (A),
- 59', Gozalbez P. ↓, Trezza A. ↑,
- 61', Fontan J. 🟨,
- 67', Rocha M. 🟨,
- 68', Gomez S. ↓, Baseya S. ↑,
- 68', Sandro Lima ↓, Marezi ↑,
- 70', van Ee E. 🟨,
- 71', 2 - 1, Marezi ⚽, Chiquinho (A),
- 75', Lee H. ↓, Flores M. ↑,
- 76', van Ee E. ↓, Pedro Santos ↑,
- 82', Figueiredo ↓, Gui D. ↑,
- 83', Rocha M. ↓, Mayulu F. ↑,
- 83', Fukui T. ↓, Mansilla B. ↑,
- 89', Trezza A. 🟨,
- 90+1', Rhaldney ↓, Moreira V. ↑,
- 90+1', Chiquinho ↓, Spencer D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Alverca
42.8% | Draw
28.9% | Arouca
28.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alverca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Arouca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Alverca - Arouca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↓
(2.27) |
3.26 ↓
(3.36) |
3.35 ↑
(3.13) |
5.8%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Alverca - Arouca?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Alverca will win (votes: 16 - 69.6%). Arouca will win (votes: 1 - 4.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 26.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alverca: 50.8% – 88.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 11).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Alverca could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Alverca: Abdulai S.
(Injury)
Mendes T.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Arouca: Nandin D.
(Injury)
Sanchez J.
(Yellow Cards)
Valido J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Alverca: Chissumba
(Injury)
Diarra S.
(Muscle Injury)
Martinez J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alverca won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Alverca won against Arouca?
Alverca has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arouca won against Alverca?
Arouca has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alverca - Arouca were as follows:
14.12.2025
Arouca
-
Alverca
1:0
Latest results of Alverca
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 31 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 63:15 | 48 | 82 |
| 2 | Benfica | 31 | 22 | 9 | 0 | 67:20 | 47 | 75 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 77:22 | 55 | 73 |
| 4 | Braga | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 59:31 | 28 | 56 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 39:27 | 12 | 51 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 49 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 38:43 | -5 | 42 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 34:45 | -11 | 39 |
| 9 | Alverca | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 34:49 | -15 | 38 |
| 10 | Estoril | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 51:52 | -1 | 37 |
| 11 | Arouca | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 39:60 | -21 | 35 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 33:52 | -19 | 34 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 28:38 | -10 | 32 |
| 14 | Nacional | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 34:41 | -7 | 31 |
| 15 | Estrela | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 34:51 | -17 | 28 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 29:55 | -26 | 26 |
| 17 | Tondela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 23:52 | -29 | 22 |
| 18 | AFS ✔ | 31 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 22:65 | -43 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
AFS is Relegated to Liga Portugal 2
