Ayr United vs Arbroath – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Somerset Park (Ayr).

Championship - Round 33
Referee: Stuart P. (Sco)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Arbroath FC TV, Ayr United Media

Chances of winning

Ayr United
41.5%

Draw
29.5%

Arbroath
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

28.5%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

27.3%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayr United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Arbroath has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arbroath than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Ayr United - Arbroath Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.31)	3.13 ↓ (3.28)	3.21 ↑ (3)	7.9% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ayr won 2.
Ayr is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Arbroath has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Ayr may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Ayr will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ayr won 5 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 1.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Ayr won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:6. (average 1.9:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Ayr United won against Arbroath?

Ayr United has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Arbroath won against Ayr United?

Arbroath has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Ayr United - Arbroath were as follows:

03.03.2026 Arbroath - Ayr United 1:1

15.11.2025 Ayr United - Arbroath 1:1

01.08.2025 Arbroath - Ayr United 1:1

19.07.2025 Ayr United - Arbroath 4:0

13.04.2024 Ayr United - Arbroath 5:0

Latest results of Ayr United

07.04.2026 Ayr United - Dunfermline Athletic 0:3 ✺

04.04.2026 Ayr United - Partick Thistle 1:1 ✺

27.03.2026 Raith Rovers - Ayr United 3:0 ✺

21.03.2026 Ayr United - Greenock Morton 0:1 ✺

14.03.2026 Queens Park - Ayr United 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Arbroath

04.04.2026 Arbroath - St. Johnstone 2:4 ✺

28.03.2026 Greenock Morton - Arbroath 2:1 ✺

21.03.2026 Arbroath - Queens Park 1:0 ✺

14.03.2026 Airdrieonians - Arbroath 0:0 ✺

07.03.2026 Arbroath - Ross County 0:0 ✺

Scottish Football Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	St Johnstone	32	18	11	3	58:25	33	65
2	Partick Thistle	32	16	12	4	48:33	15	60
3	Arbroath	32	12	11	9	41:39	2	47
4	Dunfermline	31	13	7	11	48:35	13	46
5	Queen's Park	32	9	12	11	34:43	-9	39
6	Raith	31	9	9	13	34:34	0	36
7	Ayr	32	7	15	10	35:42	-7	36
8	Morton	32	8	12	12	33:44	-11	36
9	Airdrieonians	31	7	9	15	28:39	-11	30
10	Ross County	33	6	10	17	28:53	-25	28

      Promotion ~ Premiership
      Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Quarter~finals)
      Championship (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ League One