Arbroath vs Ayr United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Scottish Football Championship Arbroath - Ayr United
Result
1:1
01/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 1
  • Referee: Graham C. (Sco)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
italyItalyComo TV
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
scotlandScotlandBBC Scotland
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomArbroath FC TV, Ayr United Media, BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
154
Shots on target
51
Corner Kicks
62
Yellow Cards
25
Total shots
154
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
103
Corner Kicks
62
Goalkeeper Saves
04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Murphy J. , McMann S. (A),
  • 42', Muirhead A. 🟨,
  • 44', Bonnar J. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Oakley G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Thomas D. , Ure K. ,
  • 60', Stewart S. 🟨,
  • 60', Bonnar J. , Walker E. ,
  • 66', Main C. , Want S. ,
  • 69', Ure K. 🟨,
  • 70', Murphy J. , Rus M. ,
  • 70', Watret D. , Hastie J. ,
  • 72', Marshall F. , Callachan R. ,
  • 76', Want S. 🟨,
  • 85', Cochrane H. , Todorov N. ,
  • 89', 1 - 1, Todorov N. , Watson C. (A),
  • 90+3', Reilly G. , Pettifer A. ,
  • 90+6', McAllister N. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Arbroath
23.4%
Draw
25%
Ayr United
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.8% 24.7% 51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3% 24.2% 52.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arbroath has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • The chances for Ayr United have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arbroath than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Arbroath - Ayr United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.96
    (3.9)
    3.67
    (3.74)
    1.81
    (1.8)
    8%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Arbroath - Ayr United?
  • Users Predictions: Ayr United will win (20 of 20 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ayr United will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arbroath won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Ayr could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Arbroath won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:26. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arbroath won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arbroath - Ayr United were as follows:
    19.07.2025 Ayr United - Arbroath 4:0
    13.04.2024 Ayr United - Arbroath 5:0
    23.01.2024 Ayr United - Arbroath 2:0
    13.01.2024 Arbroath - Ayr United 0:0
    02.09.2023 Arbroath - Ayr United 2:1
    Latest results of Arbroath
    26.07.2025 Forfar Athletic - Arbroath 1:0
    22.07.2025 Arbroath - Annan Athletic 6:0
    19.07.2025 Ayr United - Arbroath 4:0
    12.07.2025 Arbroath - St. Mirren 1:0
    05.07.2025 Arbroath - Dundee United 1:1
    Latest results of Ayr United
    27.07.2025 St. Mirren - Ayr United 2:1
    19.07.2025 Ayr United - Arbroath 4:0
    04.07.2025 Kilmarnock - Ayr United 1:0
    Scottish Football Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1St Johnstone11005:143
    2Airdrieonians10102:201
    3Ross County10102:201
    4Ayr10101:101
    5Queen's Park10101:101
    6Raith10101:101
    7Arbroath10101:101
    8Morton10100:001
    9Dunfermline10100:001
    10Partick Thistle10011:5-40

          Promotion ~ Premiership
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          Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Quarter~finals)
          Championship (Relegation)
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