Ayr United vs Arbroath – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

15/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Somerset Park (Ayr).

Championship - Round 15
Referee: Steven C. (Sco)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Arbroath FC TV, Ayr United Media

Match Stats


Ball Possession
59%	41%
Total shots
5	4
Shots on target
2	2
Corner Kicks
3	3
Yellow Cards
4	2
Total shots
5	4
Shots on target
2	2
Shots off target
3	2
Corner Kicks
3	3

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Marshall F. ⚽,
40', Main C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bonnar J. 🟨,
56', Mebude D. 🟨,
56', Bannigan S. ↓, Dempsey B. ↑,
56', Main C. ↓, Want S. ↑,
60', Mebude D. ↓, Reilly G. ↑,
67', Bonnar J. ↓, Dowds A. ↑,
78', McMann S. 🟨,
86', Cochrane H. ↓, Pettifer A. ↑,
87', 1 - 1, Holt K. ⚽,
90+1', Rus M. 🟨,
90+1', Dow R. ↓, Hamilton C. ↑,
90+4', Reilly G. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Ayr United
55.7%

Draw
25.4%

Arbroath
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

24.5%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

23.6%

18.7%

Ayr United - Arbroath Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.6)	3.66 ↓ (3.76)	4.97 ↓ (5.12)	7.8% (8.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Ayr United - Arbroath?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ayr will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Arbroath will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ayr: 46.4% – 99%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Arbroath (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Quarter~finals))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ayr won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Arbroath may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Ayr is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ayr won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:19. (average 1.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Ayr won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:6. (average 1.9:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Ayr United won against Arbroath?

Ayr United has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Arbroath won against Ayr United?

Arbroath has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Ayr United - Arbroath were as follows:

01.08.2025 Arbroath - Ayr United 1:1

19.07.2025 Ayr United - Arbroath 4:0

13.04.2024 Ayr United - Arbroath 5:0

23.01.2024 Ayr United - Arbroath 2:0

13.01.2024 Arbroath - Ayr United 0:0

Latest results of Ayr United

08.11.2025 Ross County - Ayr United 3:3 ✺

31.10.2025 Ayr United - Dunfermline Athletic 0:1 ✺

25.10.2025 Queens Park - Ayr United 0:0 ✺

21.10.2025 Partick Thistle - Ayr United 2:1 ✺

18.10.2025 Ayr United - Greenock Morton 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Arbroath

08.11.2025 Greenock Morton - Arbroath 1:0 ✺

01.11.2025 Arbroath - Ross County 3:0 ✺

25.10.2025 Airdrieonians - Arbroath 1:0 ✺

18.10.2025 Arbroath - St. Johnstone 3:1 ✺

11.10.2025 Arbroath - Queens Park 4:1 ✺

Scottish Football Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	St Johnstone	17	10	5	2	33:15	18	35
2	Partick Thistle	17	10	5	2	27:17	10	35
3	Arbroath	17	7	5	5	22:22	0	26
4	Ayr	17	5	9	3	20:16	4	24
5	Dunfermline	17	6	4	7	23:17	6	22
6	Morton	17	4	9	4	17:18	-1	21
7	Raith	17	5	5	7	14:18	-4	20
8	Airdrieonians	17	3	5	9	15:26	-11	14
9	Queen's Park	16	2	7	7	14:26	-12	13
10	Ross County	16	2	6	8	18:28	-10	12

      Promotion ~ Premiership
      Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Quarter~finals)
      Championship (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ League One