Partick Thistle vs Ayr United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
24/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 23
  • Referee: Irvine G. (Sco)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPTFC TV

Match Stats

Ball possession
43%57%
Total shots
84
Shots on target
62
Corner kicks
94
Yellow cards
03
Total shots
84
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
22
Corner kicks
94

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Chalmers L. , Reading P. (A),
  • 14', 2 - 0, Samuel A. , McBeth L. (A),
  • 18', Chalmers L. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Bonnar J. , Main C. ,
  • 60', 2 - 1, Main C. ,
  • 64', Chalmers L. , Crawford R. ,
  • 71', Rus M. 🟨,
  • 76', Dowds A. , Oakley G. ,
  • 78', Stanway B. , Martin S. ,
  • 81', Dempsey B. , Summers B. ,
  • 81', Holt K. , Dick L. ,
  • 86', King L. 🟨,
  • 90', Dempsey B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Partick Thistle
47.6%
Draw
27.8%
Ayr United
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.1% 28.3% 25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1% 28.3% 25.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Partick Thistle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Ayr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Partick Thistle than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Partick Thistle - Ayr United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.98)
    3.33
    (3.23)
    3.76
    (3.57)
    7.8%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Partick Thistle - Ayr United?
  • Users Predictions: Partick Thistle will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Partick Thistle will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Partick won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Ayr may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Partick is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Partick won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 36:21. (average 1.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Partick won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:7. (average 1.6:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Partick Thistle - Ayr United were as follows:
    06.12.2025 Ayr United - Partick Thistle 0:0
    21.10.2025 Partick Thistle - Ayr United 2:1
    16.08.2025 Partick Thistle - Ayr United 2:0
    09.05.2025 Ayr United - Partick Thistle 0:2
    06.05.2025 Partick Thistle - Ayr United 0:1
    Latest results of Partick Thistle
    Latest results of Ayr United
    Scottish Football Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1St Johnstone301710353:223161
    2Partick Thistle291411442:311153
    3Arbroath301211738:33547
    4Dunfermline291171142:34840
    5Ayr29714834:35-135
    6Queen's Park308111132:42-1035
    7Raith29891231:32-133
    8Morton307121130:40-1033
    9Ross County306101427:45-1828
    10Airdrieonians30691524:39-1527

          Promotion ~ Premiership
          Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Quarter~finals)
          Championship (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ League One