Partick Thistle vs Ayr United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Firhill Stadium (Glasgow).

Championship - Round 7
Referee: Scott C. (Sco)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Ayr United Media, PTFC TV

Match Stats


Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
8	5
Shots on target
4	4
Corner Kicks
8	4
Yellow Cards
2	5
Red Cards
0	1
Total shots
8	5
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
4	1
Corner Kicks
8	4

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Reading P. 🟨,
39', Walker E. 🟨,
45+1', Ashcroft L. ↓, McBeth L. ↑,
45+2', 0 - 1, Walker E. ⚽, Murphy J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Samuel A. ↓, Watt T. ↑,
46', 1 - 1, Letsosa T. ⚽, Chalmers L. (A),
50', 2 - 1, Stanway B. ⚽,
60', Murphy J. 🟨,
62', Holt K. 🟨,
63', McAllister N. ↓, Watret D. ↑,
64', Dempsey B. ↓, Bonnar J. ↑,
72', Stanway B. ↓, Turner K. ↑,
72', Walker E. 🟨,
77', Rus M. ↓, Dowds A. ↑,
84', Murphy J. ↓, Bannigan S. ↑,
84', McKenzie M. ↓, Thomas D. ↑,
85', Ure K. 🟨,
86', Chalmers L. ↓, Lawless S. ↑,
87', Letsosa T. ↓, Mcardle S. ↑,
87', O'Reilly D. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Partick Thistle
45.3%

Draw
27.9%

Ayr United
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

26.1%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

26.8%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Partick Thistle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Ayr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Partick Thistle than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Partick Thistle - Ayr United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (2)	3.38 ↓ (3.53)	3.49 ↑ (3.33)	6.6% (8.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Partick Thistle - Ayr United?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Partick will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Ayr will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Partick: 50.6% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ayr (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Quarter~finals))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Partick won 3.
Partick is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Ayr is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Partick might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Partick won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 39:20. (average 2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Partick won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 1.5:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Partick Thistle won against Ayr United?

Partick Thistle has won 9 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ayr United won against Partick Thistle?

Ayr United has won 4 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Partick Thistle - Ayr United were as follows:

16.08.2025 Partick Thistle - Ayr United 2:0

09.05.2025 Ayr United - Partick Thistle 0:2

06.05.2025 Partick Thistle - Ayr United 0:1

15.03.2025 Partick Thistle - Ayr United 2:0

25.01.2025 Ayr United - Partick Thistle 2:1

Latest results of Partick Thistle

18.10.2025 Partick Thistle - Ross County 1:0 ✺

11.10.2025 Greenock Morton - Partick Thistle 1:1 ✺

04.10.2025 Partick Thistle - Arbroath 1:1 ✺

30.09.2025 Queens Park - Partick Thistle 0:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Dunfermline Athletic - Partick Thistle 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Ayr United

18.10.2025 Ayr United - Greenock Morton 2:1 ✺

11.10.2025 Raith Rovers - Ayr United 0:2 ✺

04.10.2025 St. Johnstone - Ayr United 0:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Ayr United - Airdrieonians 4:2 ✺

23.09.2025 Dunfermline Athletic - Ayr United 0:1 ✺

Scottish Football Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	St Johnstone	12	8	3	1	23:8	15	27
2	Partick Thistle	12	7	3	2	18:15	3	24
3	Ayr	12	4	6	2	15:11	4	18
4	Arbroath	12	5	3	4	16:19	-3	18
5	Raith	12	5	2	5	12:12	0	17
6	Dunfermline	12	4	3	5	18:12	6	15
7	Ross County	12	2	5	5	14:17	-3	11
8	Morton	12	1	8	3	10:15	-5	11
9	Queen's Park	12	1	7	4	8:14	-6	10
10	Airdrieonians	12	1	4	7	9:20	-11	7

      Promotion ~ Premiership
      Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Quarter~finals)
      Championship (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ League One